Realized P&L
+$17.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$92
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
96
lifetime
Volume
$10.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$106
Open exposure
$1.10K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-07 17:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
97% 60% +$17,830
Other
3%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,030 $472 46¢ $468 $-3 06-07 17:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1,395 $417 28¢ $384 $-33 06-01 17:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +645 $200 29¢ $184 $-16 05-27 20:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +422 $38 $19 $-19 06-04 19:50
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +1,015 $17 $16 $-1 06-01 17:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +224 $15 $14 $-1 06-07 17:32
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +258 $8 $7 $-1 06-07 17:32
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes +656 $6 $5 $-1 06-07 17:33
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? No +735 $10 $3 $-7 06-02 14:48
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? No +169 $9 $0 $-9 06-05 21:09