Realized P&L
+$17.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$264
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
107
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$99
Open exposure
$1.23K
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-22 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
97% 60% +$17,830
Other
3%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,766 $737 36¢ $627 $-110 07-22 18:52
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1,395 $417 24¢ $328 $-89 06-01 17:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,145 $300 22¢ $246 $-54 07-22 18:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -657 $-18 $-25 $-7 07-07 20:58
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +258 $8 $3 $-5 06-07 17:32