Realized P&L
+$17.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$161
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
96
lifetime
Volume
$10.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$106
Open exposure
$950
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-07 17:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
97% 60% +$17,830
Other
3%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,030 $472 42¢ $438 $-34 06-07 17:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1,395 $417 24¢ $342 $-75 06-01 17:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +645 $200 24¢ $158 $-42 05-27 20:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +224 $15 $8 $-7 06-07 17:32
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +258 $8 $5 $-3 06-07 17:32