(anonymous) 0xcf497d…aeca1b
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
51.0%
Resolved
251
Trades
2,337
lifetime
Volume
$3.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$72
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-08 19:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Politics
51% 57% +$6
Other
44% 50% +$9
Crypto
3% 38% $0
Tech
1% 0% -$5
Sports
1% 33% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +23 $16 78¢ $18 +$2 09-05 16:47
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +11 $7 90¢ $10 +$3 08-06 22:21
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +5 $3 90¢ $4 +$1 08-07 19:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 09-01 19:42
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +4 $2 94¢ $4 +$2 07-30 08:13
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5 $4 70¢ $3 -$1 09-02 04:57
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $2 70¢ $3 +$1 09-08 08:04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +15 $2 20¢ $3 +$1 09-07 14:42
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +4 $2 72¢ $3 +$1 09-06 15:09
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 08-28 17:32
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 09-05 09:39
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 09-06 18:25
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3 $2 74¢ $2 $0 09-07 01:08
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date Yes +10 $3 18¢ $2 -$1 08-07 14:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 07-17 20:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$0 08-28 17:25
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +25 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 07-31 07:57
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +2 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 09-01 17:23
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 $0 08-29 10:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +2 $1 40¢ $1 $0 09-08 19:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +1 $1 36¢ $0 $0 09-05 13:21
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-23 11:56
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 Yes +2 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 08-05 22:03
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +0 -$1 36¢ $0 +$1 09-05 16:37
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by october 31 2026 Yes +8 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 08-30 16:55
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? Yes +2 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 08-28 17:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 09-05 13:21