Realized P&L
+$6.46K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.86K
Hit rate
67.4%
Resolved
1,648
Trades
2,923
lifetime
Volume
$133.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$2.26K
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 10-21 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Politics
49% 32% +$11,397
Other
23% 51% -$4,256
Crypto
18% 79% -$884
Tech
8% 55% +$272
Sports
1% 50% -$74
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +12,052 $2,917 12¢ $1.5K -$1,410 10-21 06:53
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Yes +9,382 $724 8¢ $704 -$20 10-20 15:21
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? Yes +5,961 $185 1¢ $33 -$152 09-19 21:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,713 $1,807 1¢ $13 -$1,794 08-25 17:40
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +115 $353 3¢ $3 -$350 09-25 17:35
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20 $41 9¢ $2 -$40 06-18 09:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8 $7 18¢ $1 -$5 06-28 01:55
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +65 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 05-07 11:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +6 $525 6¢ $0 -$525 05-07 11:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +4 $343 2¢ $0 -$343 06-13 14:52
Will Venezuela become 51st state? Yes +2 $214 2¢ $0 -$214 06-13 14:52