Realized P&L
+$4.46K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.57K
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved
1,650
Trades
2,932
lifetime
Volume
$134.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$2.03K
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 11-06 14:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Politics
49% 30% +$9,405
Other
23% 51% -$4,256
Crypto
18% 79% -$884
Tech
8% 55% +$272
Sports
1% 50% -$74
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +12,909 $3,025 12¢ $1.6K -$1,411 11-06 14:47
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Yes +15,184 $1,089 3¢ $410 -$679 11-06 14:47
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +115 $353 2¢ $2 -$351 09-25 17:35
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20 $41 9¢ $2 -$39 06-18 09:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8 $7 17¢ $1 -$5 06-28 01:55
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +65 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 05-07 11:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +6 $525 2¢ $0 -$525 05-07 11:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +4 $343 1¢ $0 -$343 06-13 14:52
Will Venezuela become 51st state? Yes +2 $214 1¢ $0 -$214 06-13 14:52