Frightened-Gymnastics 0x367e3a…6857bb
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
15
lifetime
Volume
$36
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$37
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-09 19:32
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56% — —
Other
44% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No -12 $-11 99¢ $-12 $-1 05-07 09:26
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? No +7 $6 89¢ $6 +$0 05-09 19:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3 $3 78¢ $3 +$0 05-07 21:55
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31? No -3 $-2 95¢ $-3 $-0 05-08 18:27
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 88¢ $2 $-0 05-09 18:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-2 48¢ $-2 $-0 05-07 09:27
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +3 $2 80¢ $2 $-0 05-09 18:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No -3 $-2 84¢ $-2 $-0 05-06 15:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +2 $1 84¢ $2 +$0 05-06 16:32
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 $-0 05-09 18:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +1 $1 85¢ $1 $-0 05-09 19:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +2 $1 63¢ $1 $-0 05-09 18:40