Excited-Carol — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.31K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

Trades

7,489

lifetime

Volume

$520.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 06:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$61

Politics

46% 25% $-2,371

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	192	$13.9K	10,907	4,700	+6,207	open	—	08-01 02:36
israel closes its airspace by august 15	187	$10.1K	8,156	3,800	+4,356	open	—	08-11 13:06
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	110	$10.1K	5,070	5,649	-579	open	—	06-28 22:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	102	$9.9K	9,000	9,800	-800	open	—	07-16 06:51
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	91	$9.8K	6,734	3,693	+3,041	open	—	07-15 01:23
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	95	$9.3K	9,220	9,720	-500	open	—	07-09 02:13
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	174	$8.6K	7,231	3,560	+3,670	open	—	08-12 00:20
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	6	$8.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	01-04 09:29
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	87	$7.6K	4,063	4,063	+0	open	—	01-28 20:48
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	62	$7.4K	2,551	5,001	-2,450	open	—	06-26 00:51
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	137	$7.3K	3,471	4,095	-624	open	—	01-30 00:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	78	$6.8K	6,059	3,150	+2,909	open	—	08-10 22:12
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	59	$6.0K	2,900	3,267	-367	open	—	01-28 05:08
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	74	$5.8K	5,251	800	+4,451	open	—	03-04 16:07
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	111	$5.6K	4,694	3,314	+1,380	open	—	07-02 00:34
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	61	$5.6K	2,796	2,996	-200	open	—	01-25 23:45
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	133	$5.4K	4,214	2,870	+1,344	open	—	08-09 05:28
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	38	$5.1K	4,138	1,150	+2,989	open	—	01-12 04:02
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	66	$4.7K	2,700	2,400	+300	open	—	03-16 09:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	50	$4.7K	4,106	1,400	+2,706	open	—	01-30 04:15
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	30	$4.6K	2,641	2,240	+401	open	—	06-15 03:17
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	6	$4.6K	3,582	1,000	+2,582	open	—	01-03 01:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	62	$4.5K	2,702	2,352	+350	open	—	05-25 11:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	46	$4.5K	2,233	2,400	-167	open	—	05-11 07:53
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	38	$4.4K	1,362	3,211	-1,849	open	—	06-10 07:45
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	66	$4.1K	2,241	2,261	-20	open	—	06-22 21:49
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	29	$4.0K	2,585	1,600	+985	open	—	01-24 05:46
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	64	$3.9K	1,992	2,082	-90	Yes	+$61	04-27 04:21
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	37	$3.9K	2,984	1,090	+1,894	open	—	01-15 07:06
us x russia nuclear deal by february 4	66	$3.8K	2,006	2,002	+5	open	—	02-05 07:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 06:18:31	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	65	92¢	$60	0xdc81fe…
08-12 00:20:34	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x755aff…
08-11 21:40:57	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbc0d0d…
08-11 21:07:24	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x50e1e7…
08-11 15:44:24	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0xa72e6a…
08-11 15:21:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x754a6d…
08-11 14:58:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x5e69cc…
08-11 13:06:18	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x6337be…
08-11 12:38:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x8b4831…
08-11 11:27:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x6766df…
08-11 11:27:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x0ecd93…
08-11 11:25:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x6ad788…
08-11 11:25:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x3eb04a…
08-11 11:25:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x7c399b…
08-11 11:20:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x4fc2f2…
08-11 10:29:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xa8cc5b…
08-11 10:00:42	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xcfb5c7…
08-10 22:55:49	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x0abfe2…
08-10 22:55:48	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xb6671b…
08-10 22:12:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xde4f6f…
08-10 22:10:31	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xe923f2…
08-10 22:04:34	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x5d73f9…
08-10 14:05:30	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	177	98¢	$173	0x92394e…
08-10 12:43:07	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x0b3837…
08-10 09:02:28	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by august 31 20260730185522346	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x6bcb3f…
08-10 07:55:07	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	No	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0x5d4d30…
08-10 07:44:34	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x51a5ca…
08-10 07:28:00	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x0fe94d…
08-10 06:42:48	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x5c6978…
08-10 06:37:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xf298b9…
08-10 06:29:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0xbb2bb7…
08-10 04:01:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xbea1d1…
08-10 03:12:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x1c8e32…
08-10 03:06:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	185	100¢	$184	0x5cb25e…
08-10 03:05:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x65ee11…
08-10 02:42:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0xb015e3…
08-09 13:03:25	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x2cb5b0…
08-09 12:51:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x8d9784…
08-09 12:34:28	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x1ba2d6…
08-09 09:50:13	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x0b8c92…
08-09 08:34:40	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x58ecca…
08-09 07:45:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xbcafa4…
08-09 07:28:55	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x441b45…
08-09 07:28:31	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x3f1eb3…
08-09 07:23:57	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x70dc1d…
08-09 05:28:12	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	85	75¢	$64	0xa3a85d…
08-09 05:22:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x73a1de…
08-09 04:48:40	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x7d5b9d…
08-09 04:32:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xbf34eb…
08-09 04:26:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xfdcb32…
08-09 04:20:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7059b7…
08-09 03:56:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	88	94¢	$82	0x284380…
08-09 03:54:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd99da4…
08-09 03:29:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x663c3b…
08-09 03:28:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x156be4…
08-09 03:27:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x607ebd…
08-09 03:25:06	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x6c75d8…
08-09 03:22:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x937bd0…
08-09 03:14:12	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x9fd0b7…
08-09 00:28:30	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	20	96¢	$20	0xb1d4b4…
08-08 23:48:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x7a05a2…
08-08 23:46:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x80d401…
08-08 23:46:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xccd27b…
08-08 23:46:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xa7645b…
08-08 23:46:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x1baefe…
08-08 23:43:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xd642de…
08-08 23:43:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x984043…
08-08 23:42:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x73e3f9…
08-08 23:42:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x24413c…
08-08 23:42:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x881b07…
08-08 23:29:25	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa88d6e…
08-08 23:29:19	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x73c5d2…
08-08 23:25:12	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4f5f12…
08-08 23:22:30	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0xca9619…
08-08 23:17:31	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb9963e…
08-08 23:14:16	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x1fe941…
08-08 23:14:13	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7f2cd0…
08-08 23:13:24	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe02d98…
08-08 22:54:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x8af225…
08-08 22:38:58	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	400	98¢	$390	0x3fd39e…
08-08 17:55:36	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xf2297c…
08-08 17:15:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x1a20ab…
08-08 17:07:51	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x8f2bca…
08-08 17:07:46	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0x11c045…
08-08 17:06:46	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x1bcbfd…
08-08 17:06:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xdf863a…
08-08 17:05:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x507a3d…
08-08 16:55:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xf4a14b…
08-08 16:29:45	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf3701b…
08-08 16:18:06	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x08ced5…
08-08 16:11:13	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x589daa…
08-08 14:27:31	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xd6662f…
08-08 14:18:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	98	96¢	$95	0xef3f43…
08-08 14:05:01	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0xedb6de…
08-08 13:59:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8d868e…
08-08 13:47:09	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x91286b…
08-08 13:38:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xacde2f…
08-08 13:10:15	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xe348fd…
08-08 13:06:55	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xda2e93…
08-08 12:49:10	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x6da709…