Realized P&L
-$2.31K
Unrealized P&L
+$468
Hit rate
45.9%
Resolved
6
Trades
5,028
lifetime
Volume
$356.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$11.9K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
54% 100% +$61
Politics
43% 25% $-2,371
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No -2,450 $-2,395 99¢ $-2417 $-22 06-04 05:10
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -1,518 $-1,566 98¢ $-1493 +$73 06-10 04:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,300 $1,003 77¢ $1.0K $-2 06-07 11:24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -1,002 $-980 99¢ $-988 $-8 06-10 00:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -800 $-787 98¢ $-780 +$7 06-09 15:41
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,000 $820 76¢ $765 $-55 06-09 08:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -746 $-756 98¢ $-735 +$21 06-10 02:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +650 $600 96¢ $623 +$23 06-05 19:46
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +650 $467 72¢ $465 $-2 06-02 23:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +500 $418 90¢ $452 +$34 06-04 23:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +500 $395 84¢ $418 +$22 06-09 12:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -400 $-389 99¢ $-395 $-6 05-28 07:04
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +400 $373 95¢ $382 +$9 06-07 19:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +484 $243 78¢ $380 +$137 06-09 16:14
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +258 $143 80¢ $206 +$63 06-06 07:29
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +100 $82 86¢ $86 +$4 05-28 00:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-101 68¢ $-68 +$34 06-06 10:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -200 $-56 29¢ $-57 $-1 05-31 13:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +50 $-25 97¢ $49 +$73 06-09 21:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +50 $-8 94¢ $47 +$56 06-09 14:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +45 $33 73¢ $33 $-0 06-04 13:35
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -200 $-36 15¢ $-29 +$7 05-28 00:20