Realized P&L
-$2.31K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.12K
Hit rate
45.9%
Resolved
6
Trades
6,498
lifetime
Volume
$447.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$5.81K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 00:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
54% 100% +$61
Politics
43% 25% $-2,371
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,300 $1,773 82¢ $1.9K +$124 07-01 08:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +4,509 $2,453 30¢ $1.3K $-1,123 07-01 09:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,600 $1,110 76¢ $1.2K +$107 07-01 15:26
US recession by end of 2026? No -550 $-487 88¢ $-487 +$0 06-25 01:44
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +376 $239 84¢ $318 +$79 06-29 22:58
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -275 $-315 83¢ $-229 +$87 06-22 06:28
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No -236 $-202 86¢ $-205 $-2 06-24 11:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +100 $107 100¢ $100 $-7 06-14 22:27
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -200 $-56 16¢ $-31 +$25 05-31 13:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +100 $413 $0 $-413 06-26 11:40