Realized P&L
-$2.31K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.47K
Hit rate
45.9%
Resolved
6
Trades
6,916
lifetime
Volume
$485.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$70
Open exposure
$3.94K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 06:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
54% 100% +$61
Politics
44% 25% $-2,371
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,300 $1,634 54¢ $1.2K $-403 07-16 14:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,447 $967 78¢ $1.1K +$169 07-20 10:33
US recession by end of 2026? No -530 $-470 88¢ $-469 +$1 07-18 05:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +465 $360 82¢ $384 +$24 07-17 06:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -417 $-446 82¢ $-342 +$104 07-19 10:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +300 $173 74¢ $221 +$47 07-03 21:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +143 $91 64¢ $92 +$1 07-18 14:46
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -200 $-56 26¢ $-53 +$3 05-31 13:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -891 $1,410 $-9 $-1,419 07-06 01:41