Excited-Carol 0xf7b309…a5eeb2 Create alert
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5.00K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.00K
Hit rate
87.4%
Resolved
337
Trades
9,737
lifetime
Volume
$661.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$10.5K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Politics
50% 87% +$7,541
Other
48% 81% -$2,634
Tech
2% 69% +$93
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5,135 $3,356 57¢ $3.0K -$404 11-06 18:52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,658 $1,773 88¢ $2.4K +$580 11-07 19:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +2,215 $1,815 72¢ $1.6K -$209 11-07 17:47
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +800 $592 73¢ $584 -$8 10-10 21:27
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +650 $478 87¢ $565 +$87 11-01 16:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +566 $23 84¢ $478 +$455 11-08 03:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +4,993 $3,098 6¢ $325 -$2,773 10-28 20:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +300 $234 96¢ $287 +$53 10-21 13:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +250 $192 92¢ $230 +$38 08-22 04:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -200 -$177 98¢ $-197 -$20 05-09 00:47
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -150 -$130 98¢ $-148 -$17 05-13 14:14
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -150 -$134 98¢ $-147 -$13 05-08 15:12
Trump out as President before 2027? No -100 -$85 98¢ $-98 -$13 04-30 05:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -100 -$85 97¢ $-97 -$12 10-07 21:07
US recession by end of 2026? No -100 -$155 96¢ $-96 +$59 08-30 16:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +100 $82 88¢ $88 +$6 08-17 12:34
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -318 -$68 21¢ $-67 +$1 05-06 14:55
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +57 -$128 95¢ $54 +$182 11-08 18:00
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -50 -$45 97¢ $-49 -$3 05-11 06:58
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +41 $29 96¢ $40 +$11 11-06 13:58
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -20 -$19 99¢ $-20 -$1 05-12 01:41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 $0 04-30 13:25
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 -$1 05-11 07:09