Rowdy-Poignance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.93K

Unrealized P&L

+$198

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

468

Trades

798

lifetime

Volume

$111.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$140

Open exposure

$6.14K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 10:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Other

86% 55% -$5,648

Politics

13% 100% +$803

Tech

1% 100% +$155

Crypto

0% 100% +$18

Sports

0% 0% -$260

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+4,161	$3,802	97¢	$4.0K	+$236	10-09 12:21
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	-1,000	-$949	96¢	$-961	-$13	08-21 04:43
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	-600	-$552	95¢	$-570	-$18	08-19 01:36
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	-400	-$368	93¢	$-372	-$4	08-14 02:04
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	+233	$200	84¢	$197	-$3	10-25 02:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	9	$9.7K	7,226	3,065	+4,161	open	—	10-09 12:21
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	42	$6.3K	6,557	250	+6,307	Yes	+$26	05-11 08:18
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	6	$3.7K	3,700	400	+3,300	No	+$388	04-13 08:55
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	11	$3.7K	1,930	1,930	+0	Yes	+$63	01-29 02:31
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$3.5K	0	3,536	-3,536	No	-$56	05-11 01:28
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	6	$3.1K	1,233	2,233	-1,000	open	—	08-21 04:43
will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	12	$3.1K	3,574	500	+3,074	Yes	+$37	01-29 02:33
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$2.2K	2,260	0	+2,260	No	+$38	02-24 08:43
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	4	$1.5K	1,049	1,049	+0	TYLOO	-$55	10-26 12:44
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$24	05-16 01:21
will mathieu zywoo herbaut win the hltv player of the year award	6	$1.2K	1,328	0	+1,328	Yes	+$95	01-10 06:09
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	1	$972	1,200	0	+1,200	Yes	-$972	05-19 08:19
deepseek v4 released by february 28	2	$833	850	0	+850	No	+$17	02-27 13:58
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	7	$766	1,400	0	+1,400	Yes	-$766	01-21 21:11
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	17	$739	935	0	+935	No	-$739	02-06 06:42
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	3	$729	837	0	+837	No	+$108	02-26 17:56
dota2 vsn2 ts8 2026 08 15 game2	5	$621	356	356	+0	TEAM VISION	+$90	08-15 09:39
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	1	$600	822	0	+822	FURIA	+$222	10-18 07:07
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	3	$600	694	0	+694	PARIVISION	+$94	10-10 14:30
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$600	667	0	+667	Gen.G	+$67	10-25 02:27
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	3	$585	300	300	+0	No	+$3	05-20 03:34
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	1	$552	0	600	-600	open	—	08-19 01:36
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	2	$539	612	0	+612	No	+$74	05-23 05:31
dota2 ngx flc 2026 08 20	5	$530	599	371	+228	Nigma Galaxy	-$210	08-20 16:49
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner	2	$525	757	0	+757	TYLOO	+$232	06-03 16:06
will team falcons win krakow 2026	3	$523	601	0	+601	No	+$78	01-22 00:37
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner	3	$523	641	0	+641	Vitality	+$118	10-09 12:22
maduro mugshot released by monday	8	$506	593	0	+593	No	+$87	01-06 03:06
will mrbeast hit 109 billion views by january 31	12	$506	1,159	0	+1,159	Yes	-$506	01-07 12:44
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	2	$504	869	0	+869	Yes	-$504	01-08 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:37:17	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	183	71¢	$130	0x40bc56…
10-29 08:57:23	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner	FUT Esports	BUY	171	70¢	$120	0x2aa933…
10-29 07:49:19	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x9f1f31…
10-29 05:43:50	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x709352…
10-29 05:43:43	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	BUY	194	67¢	$130	0xbef81d…
10-29 05:43:22	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	188	64¢	$120	0xdcd716…
10-29 05:42:53	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x8d4172…
10-29 05:42:02	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xb6f58e…
10-29 05:41:58	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	435	69¢	$300	0x7e163c…
10-28 14:32:26	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x75d7a4…
10-28 13:41:46	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xab184a…
10-28 13:11:37	Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Astra Invicta (+1.5)	Team Yandex	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xa21f18…
10-28 13:11:05	Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)	Team Spirit	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0xc210fe…
10-28 12:18:11	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xbd846c…
10-28 12:06:16	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x2db910…
10-28 11:06:14	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x044915…
10-28 10:04:37	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xf4c098…
10-28 02:39:06	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xcb940e…
10-28 02:39:00	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	181	83¢	$150	0xbbbb7d…
10-28 02:38:35	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	214	70¢	$150	0xb6e438…
10-28 02:38:21	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	146	82¢	$120	0xfe28cc…
10-28 02:37:51	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	174	69¢	$120	0xac26e8…
10-27 12:15:21	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	Liquid	BUY	286	42¢	$120	0xbd5672…
10-27 11:40:48	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	Nemiga	BUY	222	63¢	$140	0x3ff676…
10-27 02:09:32	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	174	69¢	$120	0xae6c9a…
10-27 02:08:56	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	267	45¢	$120	0xde9c23…
10-26 15:08:06	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x72a449…
10-26 14:13:57	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	179	67¢	$120	0x210013…
10-26 12:48:38	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x5d6f33…
10-26 12:44:09	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	SELL	1,049	71¢	$745	0x63312f…
10-26 12:14:48	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner	9z	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x73ed31…
10-26 11:13:03	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner	9z	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x13bb8d…
10-26 11:00:45	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	181	72¢	$130	0x7baebf…
10-26 08:23:24	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	198	55¢	$110	0xcdf2ee…
10-26 08:12:39	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	174	69¢	$120	0x2e4211…
10-26 05:48:56	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	382	78¢	$300	0x647553…
10-26 03:29:47	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	158	76¢	$120	0x2dc4fb…
10-26 03:10:32	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	211	38¢	$80	0xd0d08e…
10-26 03:10:24	cs2 bb3 navi 2026 10 26 map handicap home 1pt5	BetBoom Team	BUY	119	67¢	$80	0xdfebb0…
10-26 03:08:59	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	185	65¢	$120	0xcbc470…
10-26 02:44:06	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x0d0425…
10-26 02:43:35	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	533	75¢	$400	0xaf0630…
10-26 02:43:06	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	158	76¢	$120	0x95728b…
10-26 02:40:09	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x2e393f…
10-26 02:35:21	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	LEGION	BUY	286	28¢	$80	0x131f77…
10-26 02:35:12	Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5)	LEGION	BUY	143	56¢	$80	0xcce020…
10-26 02:34:24	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	BUY	145	83¢	$120	0x4d0858…
10-26 02:34:15	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	203	59¢	$120	0xccbd4c…
10-25 18:33:38	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	215	65¢	$140	0x7d73d7…
10-25 17:31:27	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x76ff40…
10-25 17:14:14	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x7b230b…
10-25 15:31:24	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0xcc68fa…
10-25 13:53:30	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	G2	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x689dc3…
10-25 13:32:45	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	167	72¢	$120	0x47133c…
10-25 10:55:12	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x3ec831…
10-25 10:19:14	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	375	80¢	$300	0xba5c7f…
10-25 09:00:18	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0x81ee70…
10-25 02:32:20	Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astra Invicta (+1.5)	Team Spirit	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x9b99a3…
10-25 02:32:09	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	BUY	248	80¢	$200	0xf7042d…
10-25 02:31:56	Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)	Team Yandex	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x5dcc1b…
10-25 02:31:44	Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)	OG	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0xd0640e…
10-25 02:31:38	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	OG	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x7b4def…
10-25 02:30:24	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	123	57¢	$70	0x2a5403…
10-25 02:29:15	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x803faa…
10-25 02:29:00	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	Spirit	BUY	90	67¢	$60	0xc7e24a…
10-25 02:28:27	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xcf954b…
10-25 02:27:35	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	667	90¢	$600	0xbbce16…
10-25 02:26:54	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)	Gen.G	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x2024be…
10-25 02:26:38	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xd4e0ba…
10-25 02:25:42	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	164	73¢	$120	0xab8323…
10-25 02:23:42	Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0xec347e…
10-24 14:56:32	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x2b6ba7…
10-24 13:38:09	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x9c7e3e…
10-24 12:53:57	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x51e490…
10-24 11:43:53	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	293	75¢	$220	0x90a893…
10-24 08:11:26	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner	FUT Esports	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xbcfb6b…
10-24 07:51:05	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xfe968c…
10-24 02:11:02	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x9b59ec…
10-24 02:10:42	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	385	65¢	$250	0xc38e31…
10-24 02:10:32	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xbab541…
10-24 02:10:21	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x9629fa…
10-24 02:10:09	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x8d35ad…
10-24 02:10:00	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x0187ba…
10-24 02:07:02	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x284a9a…
10-24 02:06:45	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xeaa31e…
10-24 02:06:33	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xf95ee1…
10-24 02:06:12	Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	GamerLegion	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x4a2727…
10-23 13:15:14	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x7c0b4c…
10-23 13:14:59	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x8aa067…
10-23 13:13:15	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	192	78¢	$150	0x68a1ba…
10-23 10:17:53	Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner	OG	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xa51669…
10-23 03:45:08	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	167	78¢	$130	0xb55a9f…
10-22 14:46:23	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner	FaZe	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x5bb7fd…
10-22 14:03:12	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner	FaZe	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x1b9dda…
10-22 13:35:02	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner	FaZe	BUY	218	55¢	$120	0xa30285…
10-22 12:28:36	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	358	84¢	$300	0x315852…
10-22 05:48:23	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x1ac36d…
10-22 05:47:58	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	506	79¢	$400	0x021c13…
10-21 14:42:41	cs2 envy faze 2026 10 21	Envy	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x950128…
10-21 12:44:02	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs JiJieHao (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xdab1ab…