Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
454
Trades
1,827
lifetime
Volume
$8.46K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$21
17 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 10-27 12:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Crypto
70% 68% -$16
Other
19% 63% -$23
Sports
5% 55% -$8
Politics
4% 79% +$36
Tech
0% 67% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +4 $4 95¢ $4 $0 10-25 07:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -4 -$2 70¢ $-2 -$1 07-18 05:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-25 12:15
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -2 -$2 96¢ $-2 $0 07-20 13:20
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -2 -$1 94¢ $-2 $0 07-19 15:18
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -2 -$2 92¢ $-2 $0 07-19 12:44
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No -2 -$1 82¢ $-2 $0 07-19 12:46
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes -2 -$1 66¢ $-1 $0 10-24 01:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -2 -$1 56¢ $-1 +$0 07-18 10:22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No -2 -$1 44¢ $-1 +$0 10-05 14:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $1 48¢ $1 $0 10-27 12:39
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No -2 -$1 34¢ $-1 +$0 07-17 16:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -2 -$1 30¢ $-0 +$0 07-17 15:46
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -2 $0 18¢ $-0 +$0 07-19 05:33
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -2 $0 8¢ $-0 +$0 07-19 04:27
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? Yes +0 $9 16¢ $0 -$9 07-05 22:00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $2 18¢ $0 -$2 07-20 07:34