Grouchy-Hair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$901

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-15 22:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% — —

Politics

23% 0% $-22

Tech

18% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		+10	$8	53¢	$5	$-2	06-02 10:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	35	$92	0	100	-100	open	—	01-31 15:47
lol sk shft 2026 02 08	9	$79	70	70	+0	open	—	02-08 18:15
will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	1	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	03-14 11:10
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	04-27 13:11
lol navi fnc 2026 02 16	3	$46	55	20	+35	open	—	02-16 16:36
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$36	50	0	+50	open	—	02-27 14:18
lol kc vit 2026 02 22	7	$34	30	63	-33	open	—	02-22 19:17
lol g2 mkoi 2026 02 27	3	$34	58	19	+39	open	—	02-22 17:19
lol vit mkoi 2026 02 07	6	$33	70	70	+0	open	—	02-07 19:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$31	115	105	+10	Yes	$-12	05-04 18:48
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$28	97	0	+97	open	—	01-15 13:40
lol navi g2 2026 02 07	2	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	02-07 18:46
lol mkoi lr 2026 01 31	4	$18	40	15	+25	open	—	01-31 21:10
lol shft navi 2026 02 01	2	$18	30	0	+30	open	—	02-01 16:09
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	3	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	05-29 17:07
lol fnc vit 2026 02 21	3	$18	35	0	+35	open	—	02-17 20:52
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	9	$15	245	10	+235	open	—	05-25 14:07
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	05-01 15:53
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	02-13 07:27
lol navi mkoi 2026 02 20 game2	3	$14	30	0	+30	open	—	02-20 17:11
ma quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 29 2026 4pt24	3	$14	80	80	+0	open	—	01-29 12:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$13	200	0	+200	open	—	04-09 14:48
will movistar koi win the lec 2026 versus	1	$12	50	0	+50	open	—	02-22 10:13
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	5	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	04-26 19:20
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$10	540	0	+540	open	—	03-13 17:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	05-27 21:13
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 15:37
lol vit gx 2026 02 01	3	$10	75	38	+38	open	—	02-01 18:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	$-9	05-04 17:16
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	2	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	04-29 19:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 22:12:28	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x34aa49…
06-02 10:43:20	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xe003bb…
06-01 23:40:27	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xd6638c…
05-29 17:07:32	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x96e605…
05-29 16:15:40	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x0c3cff…
05-27 21:13:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xf7ec37…
05-26 16:11:26	Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x9f942a…
05-25 20:12:31	Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xf68ff2…
05-25 14:07:23	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x332379…
05-25 13:08:10	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xe32dd5…
05-25 11:07:18	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x1c10c5…
05-25 10:30:05	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0xeec61d…
05-25 10:10:19	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x4d7176…
05-24 15:15:03	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x89e85b…
05-24 13:58:52	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xe4696b…
05-23 22:51:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xfd5dec…
05-23 13:37:30	Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xc90b5a…
05-22 02:13:49	Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9c8694…
05-21 18:36:26	Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x86f932…
05-21 13:54:34	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xd9a66e…
05-21 00:04:08	Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x64972a…
05-15 08:23:57	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x896ca3…
05-14 12:06:09	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xfa3dbf…
05-14 11:57:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x95fa3b…
05-14 11:57:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf2095e…
05-11 22:21:19	Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xac566b…
05-11 17:56:34	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x38f2be…
05-11 17:05:11	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x261709…
05-04 18:48:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3ca6bc…
05-04 17:16:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x6d4cb4…
05-01 22:18:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	9¢	$9	0x9c49a9…
05-01 15:53:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x0e35cf…
05-01 15:37:24	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x948561…
05-01 14:06:38	Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x2d7e9a…
05-01 12:03:46	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x3796f7…
04-29 19:05:08	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0x8c6fac…
04-29 19:04:22	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xf7e6f2…
04-27 13:11:14	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	92¢	$25	0x93f9b3…
04-27 10:55:10	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xc565f5…
04-26 21:33:20	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x97ff83…
04-26 19:20:48	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	4	34¢	$2	0x585b62…
04-26 18:40:08	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x90469c…
04-26 18:31:40	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7645e7…
04-26 16:30:08	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x6a0540…
04-26 13:35:34	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x05957f…
04-10 13:06:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	12¢	$13	0xff5dc5…
04-09 14:48:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x90bc13…
04-09 14:47:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x33d365…
03-16 14:17:03	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x0b51e3…
03-16 12:49:47	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	57	0¢	$0	0xf9eb92…
03-16 09:03:47	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe8d256…
03-14 11:10:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xb40153…
03-13 21:28:51	xrp all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xf02333…
03-13 18:40:39	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xa990fe…
03-13 17:59:45	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0x6dd13b…
03-13 17:18:49	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x2efca5…
03-13 17:03:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0xadc343…
03-13 16:00:57	will ethereum reach 2600 march 9 15	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x54b338…
03-13 14:37:17	will ethereum reach 2700 march 9 15	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x7fa94d…
03-05 20:13:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x2b2ca1…
03-03 18:49:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xb4d71b…
03-01 19:04:47	lol g2 kc 2026 03 01	Karmine Corp	BUY	38	17¢	$6	0x528cb6…
03-01 19:04:37	lol g2 kc 2026 03 01	Karmine Corp	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xacbc6f…
02-27 16:51:01	lol gx kc 2026 02 27 game1	GIANTX	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x1eada2…
02-27 14:18:49	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xc2cf58…
02-23 06:07:22	lol g2 mkoi 2026 02 27 game2	Movistar KOI	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xffa14c…
02-23 05:15:48	lol g2 mkoi 2026 02 27 game1	Movistar KOI	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x715b8a…
02-22 20:49:56	will team vitality win the lec 2026 versus	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x28549a…
02-22 20:48:40	will team vitality win the lec 2026 versus	Yes	SELL	177	2¢	$3	0x521349…
02-22 20:46:40	will team vitality win the lec 2026 versus	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xe4b28a…
02-22 19:37:30	lol kc vit 2026 02 22 game2	Team Vitality	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x088bf7…
02-22 19:35:28	lol kc vit 2026 02 22 game2	Team Vitality	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x8825bc…
02-22 19:17:26	lol kc vit 2026 02 22	Team Vitality	SELL	38	45¢	$17	0x621048…
02-22 19:11:16	lol kc vit 2026 02 22	Team Vitality	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xb00556…
02-22 19:07:54	lol kc vit 2026 02 22	Team Vitality	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x561127…
02-22 19:03:12	lol kc vit 2026 02 22	Team Vitality	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xf19c7e…
02-22 18:50:48	lol kc vit 2026 02 22	Team Vitality	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x3020c9…
02-22 18:36:32	lol g2 mkoi 2026 02 27 game2	Movistar KOI	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xf3f12b…
02-22 17:19:54	lol g2 mkoi 2026 02 27	Movistar KOI	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x9eba9c…
02-22 12:28:08	lol t1 dk 2026 02 22	T1	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9cc7b9…
02-22 10:26:12	lol kc vit 2026 02 22	Team Vitality	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x664ab5…
02-22 10:14:38	lol kc vit 2026 02 22	Team Vitality	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x836b2d…
02-22 10:13:36	will movistar koi win the lec 2026 versus	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xa3cb9a…
02-22 09:13:06	will team vitality win the lec 2026 versus	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc794b7…
02-22 08:16:54	will team vitality win the lec 2026 versus	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7fa058…
02-21 22:58:08	lol g2 mkoi 2026 02 27	Movistar KOI	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xf3a4a5…
02-21 20:46:12	lol g2 mkoi 2026 02 27 game3	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2f8953…
02-21 20:45:48	lol g2 mkoi 2026 02 27 game2	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2cbe86…
02-21 20:41:10	lol g2 mkoi 2026 02 27	Movistar KOI	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xf0bd6a…
02-20 18:04:24	lol kc g2 2026 02 20 game1	Karmine Corp	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xfd899b…
02-20 17:56:38	lol kc g2 2026 02 20 game1	Karmine Corp	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x5022e7…
02-20 17:11:44	lol navi mkoi 2026 02 20 game2	Movistar KOI	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xb512aa…
02-20 16:59:34	lol navi mkoi 2026 02 20 game2	Movistar KOI	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xc46b14…
02-20 16:55:28	lol navi mkoi 2026 02 20 game2	Movistar KOI	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe39f61…
02-20 15:28:08	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x61e899…
02-20 15:27:18	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4f7b36…
02-17 20:52:09	lol fnc vit 2026 02 21	Team Vitality	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xd20002…
02-17 16:36:39	lol fnc vit 2026 02 21	Team Vitality	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x08c891…
02-17 16:17:23	lol fnc vit 2026 02 21	Team Vitality	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf91b5f…
02-16 17:26:59	lol vit mkoi 2026 02 16	Team Vitality	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0x754637…