Sticky-Harbor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

27.4%

Resolved

297

Trades

715

lifetime

Volume

$15.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-27 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 64% -$6

Other

25% 50% -$9

Tech

1% 38% -$5

Sports

1% 67% $0

Politics

0% 82% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	+2	$2	94¢	$2	+$0	10-09 05:00
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	-2	-$2	98¢	$-2	$0	04-29 04:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+2	$1	88¢	$2	+$1	08-12 03:31
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	92¢	$1	+$0	10-27 02:51
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	$0	10-27 02:51
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2	$2	22¢	$1	-$1	09-28 13:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	7	$442	222	222	+0	No	$0	03-17 05:49
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	6	$422	212	212	+0	No	$0	04-24 02:41
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	10	$406	204	204	+0	No	$0	04-18 03:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	6	$342	175	175	+0	open	—	10-09 04:58
will bnb reach 1100 in march	5	$319	160	160	+0	No	$0	03-22 08:45
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	5	$309	155	155	+0	No	+$0	03-29 04:34
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	4	$299	150	150	+0	No	$0	06-18 08:12
will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	4	$289	145	145	+0	No	+$0	07-01 04:01
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	6	$280	142	142	+0	No	-$1	07-29 02:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	5	$262	132	132	+0	No	$0	09-10 03:56
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	5	$261	131	131	+0	No	$0	06-26 05:13
will solana reach 160 in june 2026	4	$260	130	130	+0	No	$0	06-23 11:03
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	6	$239	120	120	+0	No	$0	05-23 04:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	8	$239	120	120	+0	No	+$0	05-29 04:45
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$204	105	105	+0	open	—	10-27 02:49
will solana reach 150 in june 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	06-27 13:13
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	08-22 02:42
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	09-03 03:19
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	09-16 04:47
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-25 11:46
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	07-17 02:24
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	09-22 03:41
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	08-05 02:59
Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	09-14 10:32
will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-17 03:22
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	3	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-23 12:48
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	2	$178	90	90	+0	No	+$0	07-09 12:06
Will Solana reach $200 in September?	2	$178	90	90	+0	No	$0	09-08 02:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?	2	$172	86	86	+0	No	$0	08-28 06:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$170	85	85	+0	open	—	10-12 09:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:51:45	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf4311a…
10-27 02:51:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x65e4f8…
10-27 02:50:36	Will Solana reach $160 in October?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xb9d246…
10-27 02:49:53	Will XRP reach $2.20 in October?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0d6b9f…
10-27 02:49:08	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x0936e8…
10-27 02:48:56	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x46913b…
10-23 02:28:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 23?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x685145…
10-23 02:23:44	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb3ce1d…
10-23 02:19:51	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xac7033…
10-23 02:19:09	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x88fe27…
10-23 02:17:08	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xe2d122…
10-23 02:15:24	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x1f957c…
10-21 04:57:41	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc6cf61…
10-21 04:57:38	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfad943…
10-21 04:57:17	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x94baa2…
10-21 04:56:36	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x23c030…
10-21 04:56:03	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x11b31d…
10-21 04:55:56	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x623aa0…
10-16 07:23:45	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x23995a…
10-16 02:47:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 16?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcba7c9…
10-16 02:47:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd19b0b…
10-16 02:46:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf9ec12…
10-16 02:45:55	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd1664f…
10-16 02:44:10	will ethereum dip to 2300 on october 15 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3bb6a5…
10-16 02:38:33	Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x74a861…
10-16 02:38:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	85	98¢	$84	0x03e6b7…
10-14 04:06:28	Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x10cac0…
10-14 04:06:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa2c34…
10-14 04:06:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x65fe73…
10-14 04:04:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xf27ce8…
10-14 04:04:35	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc9bdc8…
10-14 04:04:26	Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xbaebd9…
10-12 09:28:49	Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0f3629…
10-12 09:28:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 12?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8a4fd0…
10-12 09:28:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc49b35…
10-12 09:27:41	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x765605…
10-12 09:27:22	Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdf2032…
10-12 09:26:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb8c300…
10-12 09:26:28	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x8187f4…
10-12 09:26:20	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x0addf1…
10-12 09:26:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xfb48c3…
10-09 05:02:39	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x49ba2e…
10-09 05:02:23	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3bbed9…
10-09 05:02:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x6c8f71…
10-09 05:00:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe82e25…
10-09 05:00:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x94ae0b…
10-09 04:58:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0x4024f1…
10-07 09:58:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x457fcb…
10-07 07:17:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc653c1…
10-07 05:09:29	XRP Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9060e5…
10-07 05:08:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xee087c…
10-07 05:07:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x23f15a…
10-05 12:12:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc18120…
10-05 12:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8f4267…
10-05 12:10:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x641358…
09-28 13:07:47	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x17d1da…
09-28 13:05:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x77fe18…
09-26 02:53:14	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x4ce780…
09-26 02:52:35	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x5c45ab…
09-24 02:53:10	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x216f37…
09-24 02:51:49	Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x69a655…
09-24 02:51:41	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x5ee918…
09-22 10:05:01	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x94a293…
09-22 09:28:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf073a4…
09-22 03:43:02	Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xbbb722…
09-22 03:41:29	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x6f91b0…
09-18 03:46:25	will trump and xi hug at their summit 20260916	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x206cb4…
09-18 03:26:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xcf8cb0…
09-18 03:24:33	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x604511…
09-16 04:49:21	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0c94ad…
09-16 04:48:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 16?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x589d83…
09-16 04:47:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa2582e…
09-16 04:47:48	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x79958e…
09-14 10:33:33	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x12dd91…
09-14 10:33:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x483856…
09-14 10:32:36	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xa18c29…
09-10 04:00:18	Dogecoin Up or Down on September 10?	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x42d6bc…
09-10 04:00:06	XRP Up or Down on September 10?	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf61bf1…
09-10 03:59:30	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x598b5f…
09-10 03:56:58	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x6c0de6…
09-10 03:56:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xd782fd…
09-08 02:56:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 8?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfbccdb…
09-08 02:54:51	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0cdd51…
09-08 02:54:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x964753…
09-08 02:53:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0138e8…
09-08 02:53:04	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x4dc8fb…
09-05 06:34:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3552f1…
09-05 06:33:27	will solana reach 200 in september 2026	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xa00ade…
09-05 06:32:03	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x725994…
09-05 06:31:55	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x828c63…
09-05 06:31:48	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf73561…
09-05 06:31:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xaa5615…
09-03 03:23:31	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8b0cd2…
09-03 03:23:10	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28d78c…
09-03 03:22:37	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcf7e58…
09-03 03:19:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xcd3cb3…
09-03 03:19:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x073b96…
09-03 03:19:16	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xb1a989…
09-01 05:20:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc43928…
09-01 05:20:19	will wti reach 150 in september 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3992d7…