Frayed-Student — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

-$125

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$3.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$416

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 06-12 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 0% $-92

Other

10% — —

Sports

8% — —

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,101	$230	16¢	$181	$-49	06-12 11:17
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	+602	$174	17¢	$100	$-74	06-07 09:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+300	$93	30¢	$91	$-1	06-07 07:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$43	44¢	$44	+$0	06-12 21:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	5	$393	945	0	+945	open	—	03-27 11:01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	12	$230	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	06-12 11:17
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	9	$208	450	0	+450	open	—	05-18 00:47
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	8	$174	602	0	+602	open	—	06-07 09:47
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	7	$169	135	135	+0	open	—	04-26 14:15
will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	2	$136	300	0	+300	open	—	06-08 05:12
bitcoin above 64k on february 24	2	$118	200	0	+200	open	—	02-24 16:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	2	$98	400	0	+400	open	—	05-18 15:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$93	300	0	+300	open	—	06-07 07:55
ethereum above 2000 on march 27	2	$90	301	0	+301	open	—	03-27 15:10
ethereum above 2100 on march 6	9	$73	500	0	+500	open	—	03-06 13:30
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$72	200	0	+200	open	—	02-27 17:57
bitcoin above 68k on march 27	10	$71	166	0	+166	open	—	03-27 08:45
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$55	100	0	+100	open	—	04-24 03:01
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$55	190	0	+190	open	—	04-24 15:08
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$53	400	0	+400	open	—	04-22 15:10
ethereum above 1900 on february 25	1	$52	200	0	+200	open	—	02-24 17:15
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$48	170	0	+170	open	—	04-24 17:14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	5	$48	250	0	+250	open	—	04-22 14:53
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$46	200	0	+200	open	—	02-27 17:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$43	100	0	+100	open	—	06-12 21:15
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$43	600	0	+600	open	—	04-26 14:29
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	1	$41	60	0	+60	open	—	02-27 12:27
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	3	$41	60	0	+60	open	—	02-27 17:45
ethereum above 2100 on february 26	1	$40	200	0	+200	open	—	02-26 07:42
ethereum above 1900 on february 28	3	$37	60	0	+60	open	—	02-27 17:49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 28?	1	$37	100	0	+100	open	—	04-27 15:44
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	1	$35	50	0	+50	open	—	02-27 17:35
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$34	1,900	0	+1,900	open	—	02-27 17:59
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 May 4-10?	1	$33	80	0	+80	Yes	$-33	05-05 06:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 21:15:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x480d9d…
06-12 11:17:27	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x7ee8a1…
06-08 05:12:57	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xca7163…
06-07 09:47:36	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xf9532a…
06-07 09:47:36	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xac13f8…
06-07 07:55:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x2c152f…
06-07 06:23:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xc690b0…
06-07 06:04:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x7dbfc8…
06-06 10:45:49	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	95	6¢	$5	0x7406d4…
06-06 10:33:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xf98d3d…
06-06 10:31:03	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x70ed57…
06-06 10:31:03	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x15faaa…
06-06 10:30:49	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xd3c7de…
06-06 05:45:27	bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026 188	Yes	BUY	93	18¢	$17	0xf58a5d…
06-06 05:45:13	bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026 188	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x27938d…
06-06 05:42:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x5e1ffc…
06-05 06:01:33	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xac6a25…
06-05 05:53:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x0f7579…
06-04 09:36:55	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	200	48¢	$97	0x634e42…
06-03 19:55:00	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xf0ad26…
06-03 16:25:42	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x2007a8…
06-03 15:52:09	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x4dd858…
06-03 14:28:31	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	29¢	$18	0x350db1…
06-03 14:25:39	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0x62ad00…
06-03 05:31:09	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb47f06…
06-03 05:29:18	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xcd4ac3…
06-03 05:26:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xc1ec77…
06-03 05:25:03	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x9f253c…
06-03 05:23:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	256	3¢	$8	0x4cf09a…
06-03 05:22:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0xb2deb4…
06-03 01:20:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	82	35¢	$29	0x354a74…
06-03 01:20:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x2d8179…
06-03 01:20:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	116	35¢	$41	0xe7ab93…
06-03 01:19:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	29¢	$116	0x9bab89…
06-03 01:15:21	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x0218a6…
05-23 02:37:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x15ef59…
05-18 15:23:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0x8e0ad3…
05-18 15:02:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x1cd985…
05-18 01:34:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xda574d…
05-18 00:47:50	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xecdc9b…
05-17 23:40:31	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x7d4e9b…
05-17 16:25:03	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x98cc17…
05-17 16:20:51	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xb37aec…
05-17 15:30:13	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x318dfb…
05-17 14:57:25	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	88	43¢	$38	0x5a648e…
05-13 15:12:43	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xb5b4af…
05-06 14:37:56	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x8c4377…
05-06 14:36:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x8a2bfd…
05-06 14:29:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9654ae…
05-06 03:34:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	80	35¢	$28	0xe165aa…
05-06 03:32:36	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xea412b…
05-05 06:21:58	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 May 4-10?	No	BUY	80	41¢	$33	0x1ebd30…
04-29 16:29:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0xe18a95…
04-29 16:26:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	143	8¢	$11	0xa6d47f…
04-29 04:36:06	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x8012ab…
04-29 04:33:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	233	1¢	$2	0xd23e12…
04-27 15:44:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x6c66cd…
04-26 14:40:18	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x25b3e4…
04-26 14:29:18	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0xae1fcd…
04-26 14:21:58	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xa6f92d…
04-26 14:21:16	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	211	2¢	$3	0x5c23e0…
04-26 14:15:22	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	135	91¢	$123	0x446b89…
04-24 17:14:28	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x427ccb…
04-24 17:03:16	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	70	28¢	$20	0x75ed47…
04-24 15:08:10	bitcoin above 78k on april 24	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xfe7067…
04-24 15:04:10	bitcoin above 78k on april 24	Yes	BUY	90	42¢	$38	0xbd95f6…
04-24 03:01:08	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xebc232…
04-22 15:10:48	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x30548e…
04-22 15:10:34	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x16d34d…
04-22 14:53:30	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xa2c2c1…
04-22 14:52:22	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xe4fac0…
04-20 16:26:56	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	19¢	$22	0x42e664…
04-20 16:26:56	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x1ae303…
04-20 14:48:50	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xddfe4d…
04-20 14:48:50	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	19¢	$11	0xafe92b…
04-20 14:44:52	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	300	14¢	$41	0xf8d8bc…
04-20 14:43:32	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0x909682…
04-08 03:08:25	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0xc93dcf…
03-28 06:25:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	836	1¢	$5	0xb5b30e…
03-27 15:10:29	ethereum above 2000 on march 27	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xdd1bdd…
03-27 15:10:27	ethereum above 2000 on march 27	Yes	BUY	281	30¢	$84	0x3120d8…
03-27 15:09:53	ethereum above 2100 on march 27	Yes	BUY	2,860	0¢	$6	0xf76481…
03-27 11:01:07	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	500	32¢	$160	0x0325f6…
03-27 09:06:07	ethereum above 2100 on march 27	Yes	BUY	94	10¢	$9	0xbb7f3c…
03-27 09:00:17	ethereum above 2100 on march 27	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x7c547c…
03-27 08:45:17	bitcoin above 68k on march 27	Yes	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0xfa3dc9…
03-27 08:44:13	bitcoin above 68k on march 27	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x834f44…
03-27 08:43:47	bitcoin above 68k on march 27	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xa86a92…
03-27 08:43:45	bitcoin above 68k on march 27	Yes	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x6d1f29…
03-27 08:43:19	bitcoin above 68k on march 27	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1a7ad5…
03-27 08:43:15	bitcoin above 68k on march 27	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xb93c66…
03-27 08:42:57	bitcoin above 68k on march 27	Yes	BUY	53	43¢	$23	0xb39997…
03-27 08:42:55	bitcoin above 68k on march 27	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xbd9f8e…
03-27 08:42:33	bitcoin above 68k on march 27	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x7a3921…
03-27 08:42:33	bitcoin above 68k on march 27	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x25b5c7…
03-26 06:41:45	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0xb9f624…
03-26 06:41:03	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xeaa7ff…
03-26 06:37:19	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	61	4¢	$2	0xbc85b1…
03-26 06:36:53	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0xf51ee0…
03-26 06:35:51	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x383c35…