Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$519

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

29.9%

Resolved

101

Trades

233

lifetime

Volume

$2.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-27 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

53% 24% -$262

Crypto

27% 43% -$82

Sports

19% 20% -$175

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+115	$15	12¢	$14	-$1	10-26 14:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+188	$6	4¢	$7	+$1	10-26 14:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	Yes	+1,250	$10	0¢	$6	-$4	10-26 14:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	-56	-$7	6¢	$-3	+$4	07-13 17:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	8	$208	580	580	+0	open	—	10-26 21:59
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	10	$186	1,468	610	+857	No	-$90	10-26 22:15
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$93	185	115	+69	Yes	-$15	10-26 22:19
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$59	409	0	+409	No	-$59	07-11 20:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:05 UTC	5	$55	49	49	+0	Up	+$15	08-31 15:08
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	4	$53	310	310	+0	open	—	10-15 15:45
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$50	90	0	+90	Argentina	-$50	07-13 17:34
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$47	31	31	+0	No	+$7	08-31 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:15 UTC	7	$43	67	53	+14	Down	+$3	08-31 15:18
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	4	$41	28	28	+0	open	—	10-25 17:39
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$40	143	0	+143	Max Holloway	-$40	07-11 21:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:35 UTC	6	$39	535	35	+500	Down	-$1	08-31 15:39
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	3	$35	235	235	+0	open	—	08-31 14:50
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	2	$34	135	135	+0	open	—	08-31 14:36
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	1	$30	158	0	+158	No	-$30	07-19 00:47
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	1	$29	56	0	+56	No	-$29	07-19 00:46
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	2	$28	54	54	+0	open	—	10-25 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:30 UTC	4	$27	25	25	+0	Up	+$7	08-31 15:32
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$25	106	0	+106	No	-$25	07-06 14:40
Will "Clayface" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$23	331	0	+331	No	-$23	10-22 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$21	17	17	+0	Up	+$9	09-03 14:42
Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$20	108	0	+108	No	-$20	10-26 22:19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	2	$20	57	0	+57	Yes	+$37	10-20 20:24
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$20	192	0	+192	No	-$20	06-09 19:49
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	1	$20	61	0	+61	Yes	+$41	07-19 00:47
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$20	53	0	+53	No	-$20	03-01 21:57
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	3	$19	61	0	+61	Yes	+$42	10-25 20:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	2	$19	357	357	+0	No	-$1	09-03 14:16
bad bunny video becomes most viewed sb halftime on youtube in 1st month	2	$19	115	115	+0	No	-$11	02-11 15:26
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$17	41	0	+41	Spain	-$17	07-19 00:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:52:30	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xad3797…
10-27 13:35:08	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xab0b2c…
10-27 13:34:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x7c2d9b…
10-26 22:19:11	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x38cd78…
10-26 22:19:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	69	27¢	$19	0x775c52…
10-26 22:15:26	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	134	19¢	$25	0x1102a8…
10-26 21:59:45	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	15¢	$75	0xa76901…
10-26 17:38:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x2b6393…
10-26 15:30:03	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf9343c…
10-26 14:16:33	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0xdb7430…
10-26 14:02:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	244	4¢	$10	0x31fd47…
10-26 14:02:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x53a98e…
10-26 13:04:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	89	34¢	$30	0xa59067…
10-26 04:10:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0x033ee3…
10-26 04:10:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	128	20¢	$26	0x047c8d…
10-25 20:54:15	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x0e676d…
10-25 20:53:48	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 4 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	246	1¢	$3	0xfda3f9…
10-25 20:53:39	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 3 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x72989a…
10-25 20:52:18	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x681735…
10-25 17:43:57	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x9d4f74…
10-25 17:39:50	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$5	0x7eb292…
10-25 17:39:11	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	28	83¢	$24	0x5f78a5…
10-25 17:38:47	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	54	15¢	$8	0xe92e21…
10-25 16:13:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0x6ccf9a…
10-23 13:42:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xad8320…
10-22 13:44:54	Will "Clayface" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	128	3¢	$4	0x05ab18…
10-22 06:20:56	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x11cb2d…
10-21 13:29:05	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 4 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0xf3c456…
10-21 13:28:44	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 3 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0xa98ef7…
10-21 13:26:42	Will "Clayface" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0xa5ea33…
10-21 13:26:05	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	19¢	$22	0x8fdffa…
10-20 20:24:33	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x096fe3…
10-20 15:53:33	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xdf6460…
10-20 15:29:23	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf5c910…
10-19 18:44:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xfd0063…
10-19 14:30:24	Will "Clayface" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	53	8¢	$4	0x158264…
10-16 20:08:29	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf780da…
10-16 00:58:57	Will "Clayface" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	49	21¢	$10	0x536312…
10-15 20:49:11	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5c2b38…
10-15 17:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x6431eb…
10-15 17:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2e805a…
10-15 17:51:38	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x3d2cad…
10-15 17:51:16	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2da506…
10-15 17:49:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	26	36¢	$9	0xa12998…
10-15 15:45:43	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	310	6¢	$20	0x50f2b6…
10-15 12:51:07	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x893b95…
10-14 23:20:16	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0x8978d1…
10-14 13:37:33	Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xcc17d9…
10-14 13:34:18	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x0de6f5…
10-14 13:27:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x8e20f0…
10-14 13:27:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	514	4¢	$18	0x52a905…
10-13 15:12:16	Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf78a32…
10-13 15:11:34	Will Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	114	14¢	$16	0xf057af…
10-05 15:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xfdfc3d…
10-05 15:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xd892e9…
10-05 15:25:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc0cf74…
10-05 15:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x097a3d…
10-05 15:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9fd112…
10-05 15:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xf8470d…
10-05 15:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x350082…
10-05 15:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x691575…
10-05 15:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8572d6…
10-05 15:08:56	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x088a9c…
10-05 15:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0xdcb975…
10-05 15:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x50f271…
10-05 15:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0x0a683d…
10-05 15:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x48e335…
09-22 17:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x2a3ff5…
09-22 17:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf81f5f…
09-22 17:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xe322ce…
09-22 17:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x69246b…
09-22 17:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x77cac1…
09-22 17:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x19f77b…
09-22 17:03:58	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0d9580…
09-22 17:01:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	79	9¢	$8	0x531f27…
09-21 23:42:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x3ceeeb…
09-21 23:37:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x082622…
09-21 23:32:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x57bcd5…
09-21 23:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8a41e1…
09-21 23:22:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:20 UTC	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x5715e6…
09-21 23:21:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xbbfde1…
09-21 23:21:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x11f6c7…
09-21 23:21:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfeeba8…
09-21 19:32:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x2e449a…
09-21 19:30:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x863985…
09-21 19:22:46	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	531	8¢	$40	0x003cf8…
09-21 18:03:28	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	51¢	$40	0xe5ab25…
09-06 16:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x191ad2…
09-06 16:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xf91406…
09-06 16:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x4f566f…
09-06 16:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xa4d5f2…
09-06 16:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x62d6bc…
09-06 16:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xea907e…
09-06 16:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xac0e20…
09-06 16:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0xcb52a8…
09-06 16:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x0eef5c…
09-06 16:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xd7afe5…
09-06 16:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x5a2f7b…
09-06 16:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xb9b567…
09-06 15:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x6cd987…