Realized P&L
-$52.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.3K
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved
70
Trades
1,326
lifetime
Volume
$376.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$284
Open exposure
$182.2K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 18:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
60% 71% +$5,891
Politics
32% 55% -$65,202
Sports
6% 55% +$6,352
Tech
1% 100% +$210
Crypto
1% 50% +$106
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +91,000 $83,160 96¢ $87.2K +$4,063 07-20 18:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +42,292 $35,949 92¢ $39.1K +$3,172 07-20 18:11
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +26,711 $24,367 93¢ $24.9K +$515 10-27 16:37
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +15,148 $9,998 96¢ $14.6K +$4,567 07-28 18:41
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +6,204 $5,004 80¢ $5.0K -$10 10-22 09:21
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,226 $2,450 43¢ $3.1K +$654 07-20 07:41
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,298 $2,252 66¢ $2.9K +$607 10-23 14:17
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +1,482 $1,319 91¢ $1.3K +$30 09-21 06:07
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1,412 $1,158 86¢ $1.2K +$56 10-21 20:04
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +1,100 $990 96¢ $1.1K +$60 07-13 23:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +544 $507 98¢ $530 +$23 10-27 18:06
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +400 $340 94¢ $374 +$34 09-10 10:41
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,053 $551 27¢ $283 -$268 07-21 02:09
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +300 $287 85¢ $255 -$31 09-10 09:15
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +495 $425 50¢ $245 -$181 06-23 08:38
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +120 $94 72¢ $87 -$7 09-30 19:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +400 $73 17¢ $70 -$3 10-27 12:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +33 $6 17¢ $6 $0 10-25 12:58