Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.58K
Unrealized P&L
+$16.3K
Hit rate
74.3%
Resolved (90d)
20
Trades (90d)
267
1,325 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$36.1K
$376.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$284
Open exposure
$185.3K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 13:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
60% 72% +$5,928
Politics
32% 55% -$65,202
Sports
6% 55% +$6,352
Tech
1% 100% +$210
Crypto
1% 50% +$106
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +91,000 $83,160 97¢ $88.4K +$5,246 07-20 18:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +42,292 $35,949 94¢ $40.0K +$4,018 07-20 18:11
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +26,806 $24,457 96¢ $25.8K +$1,303 10-29 15:01
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +15,148 $9,998 97¢ $14.7K +$4,673 07-28 18:41
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +6,204 $5,004 80¢ $4.9K -$72 10-22 09:21
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,948 $2,720 72¢ $3.5K +$818 10-30 13:31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,226 $2,450 40¢ $2.9K +$459 07-20 07:41
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +1,482 $1,319 87¢ $1.3K -$30 09-21 06:07
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1,412 $1,158 84¢ $1.2K +$21 10-21 20:04
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +1,100 $990 96¢ $1.1K +$60 07-13 23:07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,053 $551 44¢ $467 -$84 07-21 02:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +400 $340 96¢ $386 +$46 09-10 10:41
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +495 $425 57¢ $282 -$143 06-23 08:38
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +300 $287 84¢ $252 -$35 09-10 09:15
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +120 $94 70¢ $84 -$10 09-30 19:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +400 $73 20¢ $82 +$9 10-27 12:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +33 $6 19¢ $6 +$0 10-25 12:58