Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.58K
Unrealized P&L
+$17.2K
Hit rate
74.3%
Resolved (90d)
20
Trades (90d)
246
1,326 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$34.1K
$376.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$284
Open exposure
$186.2K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 11:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
60% 72% +$5,928
Politics
32% 55% -$65,202
Sports
6% 55% +$6,352
Tech
1% 100% +$210
Crypto
1% 50% +$106
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +91,000 $83,160 97¢ $88.1K +$4,973 07-20 18:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +42,292 $35,949 94¢ $40.0K +$4,018 07-20 18:11
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +26,806 $24,457 98¢ $26.2K +$1,746 10-29 15:01
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +15,148 $9,998 98¢ $14.8K +$4,810 07-28 18:41
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +6,204 $5,004 84¢ $5.2K +$176 10-22 09:21
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,948 $2,720 76¢ $3.8K +$1,066 10-30 13:31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,226 $2,450 40¢ $2.9K +$451 07-20 07:41
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +1,482 $1,319 88¢ $1.3K -$22 09-21 06:07
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1,412 $1,158 91¢ $1.3K +$127 10-21 20:04
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +1,100 $990 95¢ $1.0K +$60 07-13 23:07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,053 $551 47¢ $492 -$58 07-21 02:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +400 $340 96¢ $386 +$46 09-10 10:41
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +495 $425 66¢ $324 -$101 06-23 08:38
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +300 $287 84¢ $253 -$33 09-10 09:15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +400 $73 19¢ $75 +$2 10-27 12:13
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +120 $94 60¢ $72 -$22 09-30 19:21
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +33 $21 64¢ $21 +$0 11-03 11:01
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +33 $6 21¢ $7 +$1 10-25 12:58