Realized P&L
-$44.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.9K
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved
74
Trades
1,374
lifetime
Volume
$425.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$310
Open exposure
$193.0K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 17:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
58% 72% +$5,928
Politics
34% 56% -$56,651
Sports
6% 55% +$6,352
Tech
1% 100% +$210
Crypto
1% 50% +$106
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +91,000 $83,160 98¢ $89.0K +$5,884 07-20 18:21
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +33,330 $30,846 98¢ $32.7K +$1,901 11-06 17:35
Trump out as President before 2027? No +27,075 $26,172 97¢ $26.3K +$117 11-06 09:42
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +15,148 $9,998 98¢ $14.8K +$4,779 07-28 18:41
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +13,897 $11,704 84¢ $11.7K +$39 11-06 10:07
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No +7,694 $6,848 90¢ $6.9K +$77 11-06 09:38
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,226 $2,450 45¢ $3.2K +$798 07-20 07:41
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +1,633 $1,372 84¢ $1.4K +$7 11-06 14:57
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +1,482 $1,319 91¢ $1.3K +$30 09-21 06:07
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1,412 $1,158 90¢ $1.3K +$120 10-21 20:04
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +1,100 $990 98¢ $1.1K +$90 07-13 23:07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,053 $551 68¢ $713 +$163 07-21 02:09
will marine le pen advance to the second round of the next french presidential election Yes +743 $608 90¢ $672 +$64 07-20 18:56
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +495 $425 88¢ $438 +$12 06-23 08:38
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +400 $340 98¢ $391 +$51 09-10 10:41
Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30? Yes +318 $280 97¢ $308 +$28 11-04 17:26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,600 -$307 19¢ $-303 +$4 11-06 09:39
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +300 $287 85¢ $255 -$31 09-10 09:15
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? No +50 $46 93¢ $46 +$0 10-18 23:23
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +33 $6 33¢ $11 +$5 10-25 12:58
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? No +0 $196 16¢ $0 -$196 10-26 21:46