Realized P&L
-$40
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
21
Trades
1,062
lifetime
Volume
$3.38K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$18
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 07-20 13:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Crypto
66% 79% $-34
Other
23% 67% $-5
Politics
7% 50% +$2
Sports
3% 0% $-3
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8 $7 70¢ $6 $-1 06-09 16:12
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -4 $-4 94¢ $-4 $-0 06-28 13:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +63 $8 $3 $-4 07-16 18:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 +$0 07-06 02:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5 $3 52¢ $2 $-1 07-09 17:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +7 $3 $0 $-3 06-24 13:27