(anonymous) 0xac349b…5fb1d8
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$137
Hit rate
28.4%
Resolved
30
Trades
913
lifetime
Volume
$48.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$44.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 05:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
46% 0% -$12
Sports
28% 48% -$2
Politics
25% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +12,378 $11,945 97¢ $12.0K +$75 10-30 23:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +7,801 $7,480 97¢ $7.5K +$68 10-31 07:48
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,032 $7,581 93¢ $7.5K -$99 10-30 22:39
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2,627 $2,505 98¢ $2.6K +$69 09-09 04:33
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,928 $2,392 82¢ $2.4K -$6 10-30 00:27
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,269 $1,149 90¢ $1.1K -$3 09-08 13:34
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,099 $966 94¢ $1.0K +$72 09-08 02:20
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +922 $901 97¢ $898 -$2 10-30 07:58
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +794 $773 96¢ $765 -$9 09-06 17:06
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +809 $709 90¢ $724 +$16 09-08 13:54
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +695 $671 98¢ $680 +$9 10-22 03:00
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +695 $661 95¢ $659 -$2 09-04 12:29
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +662 $650 99¢ $658 +$8 09-02 13:04
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +8,570 $504 7¢ $587 +$83 10-31 07:35
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,928 $553 18¢ $542 -$11 10-30 07:57
New pandemic in 2026? No +529 $509 97¢ $512 +$3 10-29 00:30
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +543 $468 92¢ $496 +$29 09-09 06:45
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +517 $457 94¢ $489 +$31 09-02 20:53
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +458 $449 97¢ $446 -$3 09-04 10:03
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +405 $394 98¢ $398 +$4 09-02 18:15
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +12,131 $454 3¢ $352 -$103 10-30 21:08
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +282 $266 94¢ $266 $0 10-31 00:10
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +275 $261 95¢ $261 $0 10-23 02:49
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +268 $262 97¢ $261 -$1 10-23 04:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +264 $249 94¢ $250 +$1 10-22 07:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +7,383 $313 3¢ $240 -$73 10-31 02:40
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +187 $185 99¢ $184 -$1 10-31 02:55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,269 $125 10¢ $123 -$2 09-07 12:01
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +124 $109 88¢ $109 +$0 10-22 19:03
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +809 $100 11¢ $85 -$15 09-06 11:37