Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

-$75

Hit rate

26.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,499

lifetime

Volume

$90.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

$59.9K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-20 12:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

48% 0% -$47

Other

39% 100% +$1

Sports

13% 52% -$115

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+25,375	$24,417	98¢	$25.0K	+$539	10-19 10:38
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+9,659	$9,194	98¢	$9.4K	+$238	10-19 12:09
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+8,428	$8,060	88¢	$7.4K	-$664	10-13 12:50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+4,826	$4,510	97¢	$4.7K	+$170	10-15 02:05
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+2,571	$2,372	95¢	$2.4K	+$64	09-02 23:00
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+1,938	$1,898	98¢	$1.9K	+$0	09-11 13:17
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+1,951	$1,732	92¢	$1.8K	+$53	10-18 07:54
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+1,342	$1,303	98¢	$1.3K	+$17	09-26 09:07
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+8,428	$392	12¢	$1.0K	+$640	10-17 21:55
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+1,010	$989	99¢	$1.0K	+$14	08-29 06:47
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+968	$937	97¢	$942	+$5	10-13 19:02
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	+568	$529	98¢	$558	+$30	09-10 08:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+25,375	$1,012	2¢	$419	-$594	10-19 02:19
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	+387	$347	94¢	$365	+$18	10-02 15:36
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+341	$319	98¢	$332	+$14	08-29 06:28
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+280	$273	96¢	$269	-$4	08-21 04:51
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+9,659	$458	2¢	$227	-$231	10-19 05:42
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+230	$223	96¢	$221	-$1	10-20 03:57
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+1,951	$221	8¢	$166	-$55	10-20 12:27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	+4,826	$311	3¢	$145	-$166	10-20 01:30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,571	$202	5¢	$135	-$67	09-04 07:30
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+1,938	$40	2¢	$40	$0	09-10 09:16
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+968	$30	3¢	$26	-$4	10-20 06:18
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	+387	$41	6¢	$22	-$19	10-10 10:49
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+1,342	$39	2¢	$22	-$17	09-16 19:47
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+280	$7	4¢	$10	+$3	08-19 22:26
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+568	$40	2¢	$10	-$30	09-11 14:48
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+230	$7	4¢	$9	+$2	10-18 22:01
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	+341	$24	2¢	$8	-$16	08-26 12:57
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,010	$22	1¢	$8	-$14	08-27 19:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	314	$25.4K	50,749	+50,749	open	—	10-19 10:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	114	$10.3K	20,534	+20,534	Yes	-$31	10-19 16:04
Trump out as President before 2027?	119	$9.7K	19,319	+19,319	open	—	10-19 12:09
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	90	$8.5K	16,856	+16,856	open	—	10-17 21:55
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	210	$7.7K	15,312	+15,312	No	+$1	08-28 09:22
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	308	$7.2K	14,374	+14,374	Yes	-$6	09-30 08:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	56	$4.9K	9,701	+9,701	No	-$9	09-29 16:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	48	$4.8K	9,651	+9,651	open	—	10-20 01:30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	39	$2.6K	5,142	+5,142	open	—	09-04 07:30
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	22	$2.0K	3,901	+3,901	open	—	10-20 12:27
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	31	$1.9K	3,876	+3,876	open	—	09-11 13:17
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	27	$1.3K	2,684	+2,684	open	—	09-26 09:07
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	30	$1.0K	2,021	+2,021	open	—	08-29 06:47
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	30	$967	1,935	+1,935	open	—	10-20 06:18
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	12	$568	1,137	+1,137	open	—	09-11 14:48
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	9	$388	774	+774	open	—	10-10 10:49
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	10	$343	681	+681	open	—	08-29 06:28
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	5	$280	560	+560	open	—	08-21 04:51
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$230	461	+461	open	—	10-20 03:57
nba bkn was 2026 01 02	1	$60	122	+122	Wizards	+$62	01-02 10:31
nba sas ind 2026 01 02	1	$60	86	+86	Spurs	+$26	01-02 10:30
nba okc phx 2026 01 04	1	$40	51	+51	Suns	-$40	01-04 15:43
nba mil sac 2026 01 04	1	$40	56	+56	Bucks	+$16	01-04 15:44
nba nyk det 2026 01 05	1	$40	65	+65	Pistons	-$40	01-04 15:45
nba atl nyk 2026 01 02	1	$40	55	+55	Hawks	-$40	01-02 10:33
nba cha okc 2026 01 05	1	$40	44	+44	Hornets	-$40	01-05 14:04
nba phi tor 2026 01 11	1	$20	32	+32	Raptors	-$20	01-11 09:42
nba ind orl 2026 01 04	1	$20	29	+29	Magic	+$9	01-04 15:40
nba den bkn 2026 01 04	1	$20	34	+34	Nets	-$20	01-04 15:41
nba nop mia 2026 01 04	1	$20	27	+27	Heat	+$7	01-04 15:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 12:27:41	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x781ae8…
10-20 06:18:53	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	140	3¢	$5	0x244691…
10-20 03:57:18	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	230	97¢	$223	0xb1038a…
10-20 01:30:15	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	413	7¢	$29	0x1a2912…
10-19 16:04:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	248	9¢	$22	0x8f13bd…
10-19 12:09:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xbdfb3c…
10-19 10:38:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x10421f…
10-19 05:42:38	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x496809…
10-19 05:42:26	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	261	4¢	$10	0xa441a0…
10-19 04:59:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$67	0xbbadd2…
10-19 04:58:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	130	95¢	$124	0xbc191a…
10-19 04:58:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	76	95¢	$73	0xb43a68…
10-19 02:19:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	282	5¢	$14	0xce415d…
10-19 01:30:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	155	95¢	$147	0xb33263…
10-19 01:22:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$61	0x024862…
10-18 22:02:29	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	232	96¢	$223	0x7dd2ff…
10-18 22:01:50	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x1a6fca…
10-18 21:58:23	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xe54b7c…
10-18 19:12:11	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	313	96¢	$301	0xceb076…
10-18 17:53:51	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	198	4¢	$7	0x9eaf5a…
10-18 15:34:14	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x9f4ff5…
10-18 13:06:33	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	81	3¢	$3	0x3623aa…
10-18 11:17:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	239	5¢	$12	0xb44ffe…
10-18 09:17:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	130	5¢	$7	0xfa459d…
10-18 09:07:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0xa22aad…
10-18 08:08:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x8c0db9…
10-18 08:02:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x97004f…
10-18 07:54:47	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	318	90¢	$286	0x826d28…
10-18 07:02:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x05fe2f…
10-18 06:52:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0xc33fcb…
10-18 06:45:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa732b3…
10-18 06:18:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x631ec5…
10-18 03:24:53	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xc9247c…
10-18 01:15:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x00cc8d…
10-17 23:49:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	235	95¢	$223	0x267db7…
10-17 22:24:50	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	224	96¢	$216	0x398709…
10-17 21:55:11	Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	79	7¢	$6	0x0d1e53…
10-17 21:53:39	Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xadcf4e…
10-17 21:34:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	236	96¢	$226	0xf0990d…
10-17 20:02:09	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	6¢	$9	0x48c38e…
10-17 19:34:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	268	5¢	$14	0x368899…
10-17 17:41:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	252	95¢	$239	0x8e50b7…
10-17 17:27:23	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x51889e…
10-17 17:23:51	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0xe38e6f…
10-17 15:51:11	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	286	9¢	$26	0x87f05e…
10-17 15:30:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	287	5¢	$15	0x53331d…
10-17 15:05:05	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	117	4¢	$5	0x08f269…
10-17 12:19:12	Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xbe6714…
10-17 11:07:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	232	96¢	$222	0x033ddf…
10-17 06:12:37	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	244	4¢	$10	0x924532…
10-16 16:52:33	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	105	4¢	$4	0x30066b…
10-16 15:15:15	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x0edb0f…
10-16 15:12:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	140	4¢	$6	0x8ccfb2…
10-16 10:28:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x1743c6…
10-16 10:28:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	152	96¢	$146	0x384277…
10-16 09:30:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	236	96¢	$227	0x69cac9…
10-16 08:27:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	227	4¢	$9	0x02936a…
10-16 07:38:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	259	4¢	$11	0xe37fab…
10-16 06:26:39	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	128	9¢	$11	0xc52761…
10-16 03:03:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	63	4¢	$3	0x039ab9…
10-16 02:03:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0x962061…
10-16 00:22:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	196	96¢	$189	0xe79441…
10-15 22:32:36	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	282	96¢	$272	0x0528f4…
10-15 22:08:20	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	158	3¢	$5	0xfa4b1f…
10-15 21:31:56	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	261	96¢	$252	0xf71774…
10-15 20:29:39	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	288	97¢	$278	0x696665…
10-15 20:27:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	127	96¢	$122	0xec70b8…
10-15 20:01:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xc715a7…
10-15 19:54:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfd8310…
10-15 19:53:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xb51d07…
10-15 19:49:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x077498…
10-15 19:18:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	225	96¢	$215	0x2bdecf…
10-15 19:00:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x247c0e…
10-15 18:35:23	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	214	4¢	$8	0x3424de…
10-15 18:00:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x75ce41…
10-15 17:27:08	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	252	4¢	$10	0x086a16…
10-15 16:38:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0xbad7a3…
10-15 16:23:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$28	0x482286…
10-15 15:07:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	241	4¢	$10	0x6dafd4…
10-15 12:17:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	277	96¢	$265	0xdb29d9…
10-15 11:30:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	313	96¢	$299	0xdfa785…
10-15 09:42:19	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	276	6¢	$17	0x10a9e7…
10-15 09:35:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x403882…
10-15 08:54:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcd5068…
10-15 08:53:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xed169a…
10-15 07:44:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	130	5¢	$6	0x7fbe78…
10-15 07:01:38	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	235	96¢	$226	0x3ca216…
10-15 05:29:40	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	184	10¢	$18	0xf14f07…
10-15 02:05:50	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0xcfea80…
10-14 21:12:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	248	5¢	$11	0xb0288c…
10-14 20:04:40	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	198	93¢	$184	0xfb5098…
10-14 19:13:09	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	147	90¢	$132	0x35a06f…
10-14 11:54:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	301	95¢	$287	0x2c7e58…
10-14 11:50:32	Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x476205…
10-14 11:49:07	Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x93278e…
10-14 11:10:05	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x08275f…
10-14 10:45:59	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	124	94¢	$117	0xf5020d…
10-14 10:45:32	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	247	94¢	$232	0xae7539…
10-14 10:33:40	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	273	94¢	$257	0xf7a4e1…
10-14 10:26:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	262	5¢	$12	0xa6d00e…