Realized P&L
-$34
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
9.8%
Resolved
26
Trades
70
lifetime
Volume
$15.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$216
Open exposure
$2.92K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 10-26 09:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
42% 33% -$137
Politics
41% 0% $0
Sports
12% 100% +$102
Tech
4% 0% $0
Crypto
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -635 -$633 100¢ $-633 +$0 10-26 09:03
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -611 -$610 100¢ $-610 $0 10-13 11:11
Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No -611 -$610 100¢ $-610 $0 10-15 07:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No -555 -$553 100¢ $-554 -$1 10-21 11:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -505 -$484 96¢ $-485 -$2 10-26 09:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -505 -$21 4¢ $-20 +$1 10-26 09:03
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -635 -$1 0¢ $-2 -$1 10-26 09:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -555 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$0 10-21 11:30
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -611 -$1 0¢ $-1 $0 10-13 11:13
Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes -611 -$1 0¢ $-1 $0 10-15 07:55