Thorny-Preference 0xad3842…7e1ca1
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$220
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
45.7%
Resolved
238
Trades
414
lifetime
Volume
$1.44K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$101
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 10-26 13:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
43% 34% -$124
Crypto
43% 33% -$46
Politics
7% 29% -$13
Sports
4% 14% -$19
Tech
3% 40% -$15
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -15 -$14 96¢ $-14 +$0 10-26 13:07
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $13 66¢ $13 +$1 09-25 19:56
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $12 12¢ $12 $0 10-26 13:07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +20 $9 55¢ $11 +$2 10-03 17:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $10 62¢ $9 $0 10-03 17:51
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $9 9¢ $9 +$0 10-26 13:07
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $8 4¢ $8 $0 10-26 13:08
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +10 $6 57¢ $6 $0 07-20 18:23
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -5 -$5 94¢ $-5 $0 10-26 13:04
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -5 -$5 93¢ $-5 +$0 10-26 13:04
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +5 $3 90¢ $4 +$1 05-13 20:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 84¢ $4 +$1 05-13 20:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +30 $2 2¢ $1 -$2 05-11 10:14