Realized P&L
-$923
Unrealized P&L
-$209
Hit rate
47.3%
Resolved
19
Trades
1,426
lifetime
Volume
$89.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$77.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-13 18:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
67% 0% -$14
Other
22% 100% +$9
Sports
11% 50% -$918
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +29,422 $24,957 82¢ $24.1K -$816 11-11 13:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +13,423 $12,973 98¢ $13.2K +$229 11-11 12:55
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10,021 $9,549 95¢ $9.5K +$0 09-20 02:36
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +28,956 $4,544 18¢ $5.2K +$654 11-11 09:59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,246 $3,870 91¢ $3.8K -$21 10-30 00:34
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,564 $3,439 98¢ $3.5K +$62 09-15 19:59
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +3,407 $3,148 98¢ $3.3K +$199 09-18 07:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,439 $2,889 90¢ $3.1K +$218 10-30 05:20
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,151 $1,944 83¢ $1.8K -$166 09-04 13:05
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2,048 $1,777 86¢ $1.8K -$26 11-11 13:10
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +1,494 $1,401 98¢ $1.5K +$65 09-04 13:32
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,475 $1,426 96¢ $1.4K -$18 11-09 14:25
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +947 $912 92¢ $875 -$37 08-28 03:41
Macron out by December 31, 2026? No +642 $631 98¢ $632 +$1 11-13 18:40
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +555 $500 99¢ $551 +$52 08-18 07:28
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10,021 $501 5¢ $471 -$30 09-20 16:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,246 $387 9¢ $397 +$10 10-30 15:37
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,151 $210 17¢ $373 +$163 08-31 22:33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,439 $568 10¢ $332 -$236 10-29 15:02
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +267 $261 98¢ $262 +$1 08-20 21:36
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,540 $192 15¢ $223 +$31 11-10 20:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +13,423 $473 2¢ $221 -$251 11-13 07:07
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +224 $212 95¢ $211 -$1 10-23 02:49
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +261 $193 78¢ $202 +$9 09-19 19:07
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +947 $38 8¢ $72 +$34 09-04 16:45
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +3,693 $272 2¢ $65 -$207 09-21 01:28
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,564 $126 2¢ $62 -$64 09-18 11:00
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +261 $69 22¢ $59 -$10 09-21 07:32
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,199 $40 4¢ $53 +$13 11-13 10:51
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? Yes +1,494 $96 2¢ $27 -$69 08-31 12:26