Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
18
lifetime
Volume
$21
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$8
7 positions
First seen
2026-10-26
last 10-28 02:59
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
44% — —
Other
39% — —
Tech
12% — —
Sports
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 $0 10-28 02:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 93¢ $1 $0 10-28 02:59
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-26 16:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 10-26 16:04
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 $0 10-26 16:01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 $0 10-26 15:56
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 10-28 02:55