Snarling-Dugout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$884

Unrealized P&L

+$60

Hit rate

24.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$518

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-26 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

69% 25% -$542

Crypto

16% 14% -$219

Other

15% 29% -$118

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+1,731	$450	30¢	$511	+$61	10-26 13:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		-176	-$7	4¢	$-7	$0	10-26 13:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$450	1,731	0	+1,731	open	—	10-26 13:55
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	2	$396	900	900	+0	No	-$306	03-14 13:28
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$251	255	0	+255	Yes	+$4	02-28 06:44
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	1	$115	155	0	+155	No	-$115	03-01 15:18
will bill clinton say white house during his epstein testimony	1	$80	1,296	0	+1,296	No	-$80	02-28 11:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:20 UTC	2	$60	2,389	0	+2,389	Up	-$60	02-28 10:25
will bill clinton say plane during his epstein testimony	1	$50	765	0	+765	No	-$50	02-28 11:52
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	1	$45	211	0	+211	No	-$45	03-05 02:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:35 UTC	3	$42	51	0	+51	Down	+$10	02-28 10:39
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	1	$35	438	0	+438	No	-$35	05-16 19:35
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	1	$30	50	0	+50	Yes	+$20	03-14 13:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$21	133	133	+0	No	-$19	03-05 02:30
will bill clinton say hillary during his epstein testimony	1	$20	401	0	+401	No	-$20	02-28 11:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:05 UTC	1	$20	81	0	+81	Up	-$20	03-11 00:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:55 UTC	1	$20	65	0	+65	Up	-$20	03-10 23:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:15 UTC	2	$20	491	0	+491	Up	-$20	03-05 08:18
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	2	$20	1,984	0	+1,984	Yes	-$10	02-28 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC	2	$16	40	40	+0	Up	-$4	03-11 00:14
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$15	375	0	+375	No	-$15	03-14 13:51
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	1	$15	1,158	0	+1,158	No	-$15	02-24 18:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:45 UTC	2	$11	24	0	+24	Down	-$11	03-05 07:48
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	-$10	02-28 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 02:00 UTC	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	-$10	03-11 02:04
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	1	$10	258	0	+258	No	-$10	03-14 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$10	10-26 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:30 UTC	1	$10	3,622	0	+3,622	Up	-$10	03-05 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:00 UTC	1	$10	1,111	0	+1,111	Down	-$10	03-05 08:04
will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	1	$10	27	0	+27	No	-$10	02-28 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:20 UTC	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	03-11 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:30 UTC	1	$10	111	0	+111	Up	-$10	02-28 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5b5e51…
10-26 13:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfdff0c…
10-26 13:55:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,731	26¢	$450	0x5d981b…
10-26 13:55:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	176	4¢	$7	0x0cf260…
05-16 19:48:48	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	375	1¢	$3	0xd3bcba…
05-16 19:45:14	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x5a4ff5…
05-16 19:36:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	209	4¢	$8	0x702f2a…
05-16 19:36:42	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xb4826d…
05-16 19:35:23	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	438	8¢	$35	0x9d0a6b…
03-15 22:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb0d2d0…
03-14 13:55:47	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x549039…
03-14 13:51:33	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	375	4¢	$15	0x59fb56…
03-14 13:44:01	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	BUY	258	4¢	$10	0xef302d…
03-14 13:28:51	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	Yes	SELL	900	5¢	$45	0x7fb431…
03-11 17:27:29	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	Yes	BUY	900	39¢	$351	0x65d37c…
03-11 02:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x9c4f4b…
03-11 01:59:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf0bfb9…
03-11 00:24:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x68932c…
03-11 00:16:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x8edc60…
03-11 00:14:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC	Down	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x895aca…
03-11 00:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa4b238…
03-11 00:06:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0x384975…
03-10 23:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xb0b317…
03-05 08:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3,622	0¢	$10	0xfeb594…
03-05 08:18:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xa72b29…
03-05 08:18:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	158	6¢	$10	0xcd49e1…
03-05 08:14:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0xe83b93…
03-05 08:04:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0xfe884a…
03-05 07:57:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x3e559b…
03-05 07:52:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x0502ca…
03-05 07:48:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x747aa8…
03-05 07:48:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x178538…
03-05 02:39:05	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	211	21¢	$45	0xb7873d…
03-05 02:30:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	SELL	133	1¢	$1	0x0e8eb0…
03-05 02:30:31	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	Yes	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0xfb06bc…
03-01 15:18:29	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	155	74¢	$115	0x80509c…
03-01 11:09:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xdd907d…
02-28 14:00:25	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22dbac…
02-28 13:58:13	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x879e23…
02-28 13:58:03	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	No	BUY	1,974	1¢	$10	0x6546b4…
02-28 11:56:01	will bill clinton say white house during his epstein testimony	Yes	BUY	1,296	6¢	$80	0x2d4ef9…
02-28 11:53:07	will bill clinton say hillary during his epstein testimony	Yes	BUY	401	5¢	$20	0x3918bf…
02-28 11:52:55	will bill clinton say plane during his epstein testimony	Yes	BUY	765	7¢	$50	0xe2df52…
02-28 10:44:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xe2e915…
02-28 10:39:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x919ed5…
02-28 10:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	27	79¢	$21	0x43eed5…
02-28 10:36:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xebc1e9…
02-28 10:32:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x16d0d4…
02-28 10:27:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x9445ea…
02-28 10:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2,222	1¢	$20	0x14bbeb…
02-28 10:21:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0x7fc47d…
02-28 07:07:49	hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x95fc9b…
02-28 07:04:43	will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x614835…
02-28 07:02:13	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa5e65c…
02-28 06:58:01	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7162b4…
02-28 06:56:05	will trump say iran during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2759a8…
02-28 06:49:13	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 320 339	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x815854…
02-28 06:44:31	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xb6e0b5…
02-28 06:31:57	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0xc2f669…
02-24 18:42:08	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x668acc…
02-24 18:36:48	will jd vance clap between 8089 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x7c978a…
02-24 18:32:56	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,158	1¢	$15	0x6e2838…