Favorable-Webinar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.60K

Unrealized P&L

+$8.21K

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$215.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.28K

Open exposure

$87.2K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-07

last 08-17 01:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

83% 74% +$3,821

Tech

9% 100% +$1,489

Sports

4% 100% +$1,241

Politics

3% 67% +$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		+90,771	$78,971	96¢	$87.2K	+$8,215	05-15 17:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$79.0K	90,771	0	+90,771	open	—	05-15 17:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$30.0K	30,975	0	+30,975	No	+$975	07-17 22:28
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	7	$20.0K	23,861	0	+23,861	Joao Fonseca	+$3,861	05-31 22:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	29	$10.1K	5,129	5,129	-0	Yes	+$123	05-31 21:13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	45	$10.0K	11,377	0	+11,377	Yes	+$1,365	05-31 21:12
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	6	$8.2K	8,304	0	+8,304	No	+$134	07-01 22:48
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	10	$7.9K	8,215	1	+8,214	Yes	+$345	02-09 06:24
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$6.0K	6,430	0	+6,430	No	+$430	06-20 09:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$5.2K	5,615	0	+5,615	Yes	+$415	08-17 01:08
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	1	$5.0K	5,495	0	+5,495	Yes	+$495	06-20 09:51
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	2	$5.0K	6,010	0	+6,010	Yes	+$1,010	02-13 04:46
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$3.5K	4,642	0	+4,642	No	-$3,500	02-08 02:51
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	5	$2.2K	7,771	0	+7,771	Alexander Zverev	-$2,191	06-07 16:57
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	2	$2.1K	2,220	0	+2,220	Yes	+$80	06-17 18:58
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.1K	2,195	0	+2,195	Yes	+$95	06-20 22:07
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$2.0K	3,864	0	+3,864	Yes	+$1,864	02-16 00:13
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	3	$2.0K	2,316	0	+2,316	Yes	+$316	06-26 19:08
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	2	$2.0K	2,031	0	+2,031	Yes	+$31	06-20 21:59
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	2	$1.3K	1,595	0	+1,595	Over	+$245	06-20 21:05
winter games 2026 will usa or norway earn more medals	3	$1.2K	680	680	+0	Norway	-$61	02-08 06:48
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$1.1K	1,528	0	+1,528	Yes	+$469	02-08 06:49
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$1.0K	2,212	553	+1,659	Yes	+$1,682	02-28 06:30
french forces seize another oil tanker by feb 28	1	$1.0K	1,261	0	+1,261	Yes	-$1,001	02-08 06:37
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	2	$1000	1,191	0	+1,191	No	+$191	06-20 20:18
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 0pt5	2	$850	954	0	+954	Over	+$104	06-20 20:11
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	2	$633	713	0	+713	Yes	+$80	06-30 22:10
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	2	$600	1,052	0	+1,052	No	-$600	06-26 19:38
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	2	$600	707	0	+707	Over	+$107	06-30 22:13
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners second half total 5pt5	4	$540	697	0	+697	Under	-$540	06-30 22:21
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	1	$500	1,397	0	+1,397	Yes	-$500	06-07 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 01:08:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5,615	93¢	$5,200	0xd8df24…
07-17 22:28:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	30,975	97¢	$30,000	0x08ca97…
07-01 22:48:56	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0xce9ca7…
07-01 22:46:35	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	BUY	509	98¢	$500	0x2e87d6…
07-01 22:45:35	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	BUY	1,019	98¢	$1,000	0xf730e1…
07-01 22:43:47	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0x5f190f…
07-01 22:43:17	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	BUY	5,054	99¢	$5,000	0xb90ddb…
07-01 22:43:02	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xbe4d21…
07-01 22:39:14	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	SELL	502	14¢	$68	0xf3a0f1…
07-01 22:34:53	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	502	40¢	$200	0x460051…
06-30 22:31:07	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x88135a…
06-30 22:21:40	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners second half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x201cc3…
06-30 22:21:40	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners second half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x0b5356…
06-30 22:20:53	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners second half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	424	83¢	$350	0x47e048…
06-30 22:20:26	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners second half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x8b4551…
06-30 22:16:19	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 assists michael olise gte2	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xbee4da…
06-30 22:15:35	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 assists michael olise gte2	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xea556c…
06-30 22:14:28	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x41987f…
06-30 22:13:38	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0xfe57ec…
06-30 22:13:07	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x17f290…
06-30 22:11:56	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals bradley barcola gte1	Yes	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x51bb64…
06-30 22:10:16	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0xc60db4…
06-30 22:09:46	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	151	88¢	$133	0x599b45…
06-26 19:46:35	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	251	80¢	$200	0x52fa58…
06-26 19:45:01	Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x9034f0…
06-26 19:38:35	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x208621…
06-26 19:37:05	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x589dd2…
06-26 19:24:52	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	231	87¢	$200	0x314a31…
06-26 19:23:20	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x154644…
06-26 19:20:20	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	820	61¢	$500	0x14a9d9…
06-26 19:14:26	France leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0xdc7837…
06-26 19:12:01	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xe27272…
06-26 19:11:14	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x95998b…
06-26 19:10:16	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	208	72¢	$150	0x242937…
06-26 19:08:34	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x33af8f…
06-26 19:08:14	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x3d07a7…
06-26 19:07:35	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	649	77¢	$500	0x5708c2…
06-20 22:07:02	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,065	97¢	$2,000	0xbbe0b2…
06-20 21:59:43	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x06b3a5…
06-20 21:59:25	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0xc328ce…
06-20 21:34:59	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x2494d9…
06-20 21:10:55	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	325	62¢	$200	0x790d2b…
06-20 21:05:52	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,163	86¢	$1,000	0xa04f63…
06-20 20:41:16	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	285	70¢	$200	0xf9fe57…
06-20 20:18:37	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	602	83¢	$500	0xb412a1…
06-20 20:12:22	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	432	81¢	$350	0x5a5b48…
06-20 20:11:11	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	843	89¢	$750	0xc08352…
06-20 20:10:04	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x4fef64…
06-20 09:58:14	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0x948047…
06-20 09:56:02	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6,430	93¢	$6,000	0xf38f5d…
06-20 09:53:38	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x57c373…
06-20 09:52:41	Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	746	67¢	$500	0x917823…
06-20 09:51:31	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	5,495	91¢	$5,000	0xb13421…
06-17 18:58:53	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,020	99¢	$2,000	0xa3e9fb…
06-17 18:50:59	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xfb6b39…
06-07 16:57:07	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	2,670	37¢	$1,000	0x79a8bf…
06-07 16:45:15	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	418	19¢	$79	0x0b192d…
06-07 16:27:49	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	No	BUY	1,397	36¢	$500	0x848a77…
06-07 16:27:16	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set totals 4pt5	Over 4.5	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xc9f35b…
06-07 16:21:52	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	1,563	32¢	$500	0xae9f5e…
06-07 16:20:42	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set totals 4pt5	Over 4.5	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x87072c…
06-07 15:47:43	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	1,120	10¢	$112	0xe0fa52…
06-07 15:35:12	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	2,000	25¢	$500	0xf6040b…
05-31 22:20:44	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	3,030	99¢	$3,000	0xd23f0d…
05-31 22:19:13	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	2,105	95¢	$2,000	0xb4497b…
05-31 22:14:38	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	3,125	96¢	$3,000	0x11307a…
05-31 22:09:51	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	3,571	84¢	$3,000	0x99fe7f…
05-31 22:09:00	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	2,439	82¢	$2,000	0x4195f8…
05-31 21:59:10	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	2,344	85¢	$2,000	0x86909f…
05-31 21:13:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	5,129	100¢	$5,124	0xa1a276…
05-31 21:12:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	87¢	$12	0x32637c…
05-31 20:57:57	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	7,246	69¢	$5,000	0x1ddeb1…
05-16 13:13:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	9,825	88¢	$8,646	0x5bf7ce…
05-16 12:48:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	121	88¢	$107	0xa4e455…
05-16 12:40:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x70166d…
05-16 11:31:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0xea293e…
05-16 10:02:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0x4af37f…
05-16 09:51:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x40956f…
05-16 09:43:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x2a2fda…
05-16 09:38:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x03455b…
05-16 09:32:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	88¢	$26	0xc150ec…
05-16 09:29:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$17	0xefbd9f…
05-16 09:27:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0xd7391e…
05-16 09:24:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xe0b55b…
05-16 09:22:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	88¢	$24	0xd0e975…
05-16 09:11:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xbcdbca…
05-16 08:56:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8837bd…
05-16 08:30:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xba3160…
05-16 08:30:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$0	0xaea21a…
05-16 08:28:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x83de3e…
05-16 08:23:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0x2a0fc2…
05-16 08:14:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xe0b0e2…
05-16 08:12:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0x500786…
05-16 08:09:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x75e1b2…
05-16 08:04:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0x4a8048…
05-16 07:43:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0xee47d0…
05-16 07:40:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xd28eaa…
05-16 07:34:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x64eedb…
05-16 07:29:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0x3873ca…
05-16 07:28:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xe1a629…