Realized P&L
-$211
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
0.5%
Resolved
35
Trades
58
lifetime
Volume
$255
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$10
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 11-07 17:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Sports
76% 7% -$188
Other
13% 0% -$13
Politics
9% 0% -$10
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +270 $10 2¢ $4 -$6 11-07 17:21
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +111 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 05-18 21:07
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $6 2¢ $1 -$5 06-01 03:56
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +45 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 06-17 02:00
Will Alberta join the US? Yes +47 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 06-02 03:15
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +26 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 06-01 03:48
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? Yes +294 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 06-09 04:04
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-01 03:55
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31? Yes +114 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-09 04:07
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +12 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-18 21:05
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Yes +8 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-18 21:08
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? Yes +63 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-09 04:05
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +21 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-24 01:41