Obedient-Mini — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

Trades

367

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 08-11 11:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

56% 50% $-3

Other

27% 0% $-2

Crypto

11% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	22	$1.6K	2,020	2,020	+0	open	—	05-14 11:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$865	949	949	+0	open	—	05-07 15:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	14	$783	400	400	+0	open	—	04-07 06:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	6	$624	600	600	+0	open	—	08-05 05:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$587	300	300	+0	open	—	04-07 03:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$533	300	300	+0	open	—	04-07 04:16
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$426	230	230	+0	open	—	04-21 08:08
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	2	$397	200	200	+0	open	—	04-13 09:22
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	4	$394	400	400	+0	open	—	04-24 11:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$394	200	200	+0	open	—	04-13 13:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	04-07 04:52
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	12	$232	230	301	-70	open	—	03-13 22:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$208	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 13:06
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 08:59
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	4	$196	200	200	+0	Yes	$-3	04-24 11:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-05 12:20
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 14:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	4	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 13:58
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$175	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 12:36
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$160	83	83	+0	open	—	04-13 05:18
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 100 119	2	$151	95	95	+0	open	—	03-27 16:11
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$141	100	100	+0	open	—	05-25 11:46
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	6	$129	200	200	+0	open	—	03-28 22:54
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$121	129	129	+0	open	—	07-11 23:57
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	13	$113	150	107	+43	open	—	03-13 20:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$104	100	100	+0	open	—	05-07 13:26
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	2	$103	100	100	+0	open	—	05-25 11:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$93	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	05-25 10:30
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 80 99	3	$92	200	200	+0	open	—	03-19 21:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$70	155	155	+0	open	—	05-07 16:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:57:21	ssi public model released by august 31 2026 20260810094604189	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x80484f…
08-11 11:57:21	ssi public model released by august 31 2026 20260810094604189	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x69f617…
08-11 11:47:24	ssi public model released by august 31 2026 20260810094604189	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x7785dc…
08-11 11:30:28	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x162aa4…
08-11 11:30:04	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x840bc9…
08-11 11:24:42	grok 4pt6 released by august 11 2026	No	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0xffe93e…
08-11 11:24:15	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x937e47…
08-11 11:23:52	grok 4pt6 released by august 11 2026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x660817…
08-11 11:22:55	grok 4pt6 released by august 11 2026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdd3405…
08-11 11:22:51	grok 4pt6 released by august 11 2026	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x1c0d0e…
08-11 11:16:45	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xee33f8…
08-11 11:15:43	grok 4pt6 released by august 11 2026	No	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0xd37052…
08-11 11:14:16	grok 4pt6 released by august 11 2026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaa3e45…
08-11 11:14:16	grok 4pt6 released by august 11 2026	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x17f32e…
08-11 11:05:31	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x2df655…
08-11 11:04:58	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x34f32f…
08-11 11:04:37	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x6bff06…
08-11 11:03:06	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xc0d28b…
08-11 11:00:45	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xeec915…
08-07 03:50:40	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 4 20260730205611339	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x624eed…
08-05 12:02:35	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 4 20260730205611339	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x358a8c…
08-05 05:34:27	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x232bcf…
08-05 05:33:03	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xf287aa…
08-05 05:32:15	will lyric medeiros be evicted in big brother season 28 week 4 20260730205611341	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x20009f…
08-05 05:31:54	will lyric medeiros be evicted in big brother season 28 week 4 20260730205611341	Yes	SELL	34	7¢	$2	0xabf39a…
08-05 05:29:14	will lyric medeiros be evicted in big brother season 28 week 4 20260730205611341	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x86644a…
08-05 05:25:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	200	52¢	$105	0x051d40…
08-05 05:24:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xb2a041…
08-05 05:24:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	200	52¢	$105	0x0d0f03…
08-05 05:23:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	200	52¢	$103	0x8bd558…
08-05 05:22:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	200	52¢	$105	0xab4d94…
08-05 05:19:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	200	52¢	$105	0x2a165b…
08-05 05:15:38	will lyric medeiros be evicted in big brother season 28 week 4 20260730205611341	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x131bd3…
08-05 05:10:51	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 4 20260730205611339	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0525d7…
08-05 05:10:15	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 4 20260730205611339	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x612a7f…
08-05 04:59:59	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x11e191…
08-05 04:59:32	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xbcb22f…
07-28 11:24:52	will trump say hell during fox friends appearance 20260728022316503	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x425a2a…
07-28 11:24:28	will trump say top five or top ten during tribute to lindsey graham 20260728013231957	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x55306a…
07-28 11:22:29	will trump say top five or top ten during tribute to lindsey graham 20260728013231957	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xe91dde…
07-28 11:20:46	will trump say transgender during cabinet meeting 20260727172357445	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xf1a890…
07-28 11:20:11	will trump say transgender during cabinet meeting 20260727172357445	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x53c73e…
07-28 11:17:01	will trump say transgender during cabinet meeting 20260727172357445	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x8bc552…
07-28 11:16:28	will trump say transgender during cabinet meeting 20260727172357445	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x4a86c9…
07-28 11:10:13	will trump say democrat during fox friends appearance 20260728022316508	No	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xc7644b…
07-28 11:08:02	will trump say six seven during cabinet meeting 20260727172357452	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xf7aed7…
07-28 11:07:47	will trump say trump derangement syndrome during cabinet meeting 20260727172357447	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x175175…
07-28 11:07:17	will trump say democrat during fox friends appearance 20260728022316508	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xf308ab…
07-28 11:06:26	will trump say top five or top ten during tribute to lindsey graham 20260728013231957	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x69f94f…
07-28 11:06:05	will trump say top five or top ten during tribute to lindsey graham 20260728013231957	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb1e4d6…
07-28 11:05:44	will trump say trump derangement syndrome during cabinet meeting 20260727172357447	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc4b6ba…
07-28 11:05:41	will trump say six seven during cabinet meeting 20260727172357452	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xad4d7d…
07-28 11:02:19	will trump say communist or communism during fox friends appearance 20260728022316511	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x5aabed…
07-28 11:01:53	will trump say democrat during fox friends appearance 20260728022316508	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x4bbfe4…
07-28 11:01:19	will trump say communist or communism during fox friends appearance 20260728022316511	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x87ef14…
07-28 11:00:08	will trump say democrat during fox friends appearance 20260728022316508	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x85b2a8…
07-28 11:00:04	will trump say ukraine during fox friends appearance 20260728022316509	No	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x868591…
07-28 10:54:16	will trump say ukraine during fox friends appearance 20260728022316509	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x790005…
07-28 10:53:41	will trump say ukraine during fox friends appearance 20260728022316509	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x3bf5b2…
07-28 10:45:58	will trump say hell during fox friends appearance 20260728022316503	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x7778cb…
07-18 06:39:49	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 20 2026 20260717132724267	Yes	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xd7e9e1…
07-18 06:38:49	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x3b0b19…
07-18 06:38:27	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc011fc…
07-18 06:38:03	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 20 2026 20260717132724267	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x76099b…
07-18 06:38:01	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 20 2026 20260717132724267	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x947084…
07-18 06:38:01	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 20 2026 20260717132724267	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x158ec5…
07-18 06:33:25	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x01ad2c…
07-18 06:32:57	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x14b352…
07-18 06:31:57	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xf7ac36…
07-18 06:29:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x396913…
07-18 06:28:33	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x7e73b2…
07-18 06:14:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa87b23…
07-18 06:09:43	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132206210	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xf8051f…
07-18 06:03:33	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xbc4657…
07-18 06:02:12	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717130414629	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x7ee4e2…
07-18 05:56:33	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717130414629	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x76087a…
07-18 05:55:03	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132206210	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x28bd54…
07-18 05:49:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xd48cb5…
07-18 05:36:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb76cff…
07-18 05:35:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x96331c…
07-14 04:32:07	will otto lopez record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249842	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xfb6a56…
07-14 04:25:25	will otto lopez record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249842	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x767da4…
07-11 23:57:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	129	46¢	$59	0xa263dc…
07-09 12:50:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	129	48¢	$62	0xa3a76d…
07-08 13:08:02	will erling haaland score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	93	59¢	$55	0xfd60f1…
07-07 04:14:52	will the announcers say cleat during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736123	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x1aaadb…
07-07 04:14:44	will the announcers say captain 5 times during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260707021728763	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xa4a17f…
07-07 04:14:20	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260706213505713	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x526e67…
07-07 04:13:46	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260706213505713	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x23eb0d…
07-07 04:03:35	will graham platner drop out by july 7	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xb5416d…
07-07 04:01:53	will graham platner drop out by july 7	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xca1e13…
07-07 03:59:46	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	90	7¢	$7	0x7898cf…
07-07 03:53:59	will the announcers say cleat during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736123	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x2bfdc2…
07-07 03:53:47	will the announcers say captain 5 times during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260707021728763	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xffc01a…
06-23 11:21:53	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x0b4df6…
06-23 11:20:29	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x69fa71…
06-23 11:15:55	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0x0ff434…
06-23 11:14:56	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x940b5f…
06-23 11:14:56	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x791766…
06-23 11:14:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xbfbe9d…