Obedient-Mini — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

Trades

272

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 06-23 11:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

61% 50% $-3

Other

21% 0% $-2

Crypto

13% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	Yes		+200	$14	3¢	$7	$-7	05-29 14:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	22	$1.6K	2,020	2,020	+0	open	—	05-14 11:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$865	949	949	+0	open	—	05-07 15:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	14	$783	400	400	+0	open	—	04-07 06:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$587	300	300	+0	open	—	04-07 03:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$533	300	300	+0	open	—	04-07 04:16
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$426	230	230	+0	open	—	04-21 08:08
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	2	$397	200	200	+0	open	—	04-13 09:22
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	4	$394	400	400	+0	open	—	04-24 11:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$394	200	200	+0	open	—	04-13 13:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	04-07 04:52
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	12	$232	230	301	-70	open	—	03-13 22:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$208	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 13:06
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 08:59
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	4	$196	200	200	+0	Yes	$-3	04-24 11:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-05 12:20
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 14:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	4	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 13:58
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$175	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 12:36
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$160	83	83	+0	open	—	04-13 05:18
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 100 119	2	$151	95	95	+0	open	—	03-27 16:11
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$141	100	100	+0	open	—	05-25 11:46
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	6	$129	200	200	+0	open	—	03-28 22:54
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	13	$113	150	107	+43	open	—	03-13 20:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$104	100	100	+0	open	—	05-07 13:26
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	2	$103	100	100	+0	open	—	05-25 11:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$93	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	05-25 10:30
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 80 99	3	$92	200	200	+0	open	—	03-19 21:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$70	155	155	+0	open	—	05-07 16:05
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 100 119	2	$69	109	109	+0	open	—	03-28 14:31
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 80 99	1	$68	200	0	+200	open	—	03-24 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 11:21:53	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x0b4df6…
06-23 11:20:29	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x69fa71…
06-23 11:15:55	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0x0ff434…
06-23 11:14:56	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x940b5f…
06-23 11:14:56	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x791766…
06-23 11:14:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xbfbe9d…
06-23 11:14:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x4ca682…
06-23 11:14:52	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x347a97…
06-23 11:14:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xfdebc5…
06-23 11:14:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xbc2d5e…
06-23 11:14:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x7aa7bf…
06-23 11:14:47	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xa95acd…
06-23 11:14:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x1bea93…
06-23 11:14:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xd6cd49…
06-23 11:14:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xd5109a…
06-23 11:14:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xd01b8e…
06-23 11:11:29	will mu dip to 1110 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x93434d…
06-23 11:10:59	will mu dip to 1110 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x7a8770…
06-23 11:10:22	will mu dip to 1110 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x38840e…
06-23 11:07:43	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x7c7adb…
06-23 11:07:14	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x36d7b5…
06-23 11:06:52	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x691992…
06-23 11:06:43	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5762c8…
06-23 11:06:43	will the announcers say nutmeg meg during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729520	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x4d6107…
06-23 11:02:28	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x833b5e…
06-23 11:01:56	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x272b63…
06-23 10:59:46	will the announcers say nutmeg meg during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729520	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xb4fbb1…
06-18 05:56:47	will the announcers say history during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751361	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x1a1ff6…
06-18 05:56:37	will the announcers say record during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456427	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x21f718…
06-18 05:55:59	will the announcers say record during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456427	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xd3c16e…
06-18 05:55:58	will the announcers say messi during the canada vs qatar fifa world cup match 20260616212316353	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x39ef77…
06-18 05:55:47	will the announcers say history during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751361	No	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x430870…
06-18 05:55:38	will the announcers say champion during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456422	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xe007c2…
06-18 05:55:16	will the announcers say history during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751361	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x2c18f9…
06-18 05:55:07	will the announcers say messi during the canada vs qatar fifa world cup match 20260616212316353	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x597533…
06-18 05:52:07	will the announcers say history during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751361	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xf7f699…
06-18 05:51:56	will the announcers say champion during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456422	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xf9a52e…
06-18 05:51:47	will the announcers say history during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751361	No	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x00e0b3…
06-18 05:51:16	will the announcers say history during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751361	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x4e7227…
06-18 05:49:58	will the announcers say qatar during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456410	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xf400a2…
06-18 05:49:25	will the announcers say qatar during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456410	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x4b794a…
06-18 05:38:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	263	1¢	$2	0xebf0de…
06-11 10:23:04	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xffdb0a…
06-11 10:21:43	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd32b56…
06-11 10:21:31	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xfc9ce1…
06-11 10:21:31	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x838155…
06-11 10:18:58	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xe26038…
06-11 10:17:37	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xef6991…
06-11 10:04:03	will hood reach 95 in june 2026	No	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0x560e5f…
06-11 10:02:30	will hood reach 95 in june 2026	No	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x2a09e9…
06-06 22:22:09	will drake have 3 albums in the billboard 200 top 10 20260602162056895	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$7	0x69b9ed…
06-06 19:40:57	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0x94fad1…
06-06 19:40:12	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	852	1¢	$5	0x92155d…
06-06 19:39:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	333	6¢	$20	0x69efa1…
06-03 16:41:10	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	667	1¢	$5	0x3320db…
06-03 16:08:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x6cfbde…
06-03 16:04:51	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$6	0x74abf6…
06-02 09:45:38	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xb5d230…
06-02 09:40:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x8cc2be…
06-02 09:39:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x8c2c73…
06-02 09:11:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x2bd875…
05-30 11:57:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xe8060d…
05-29 17:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa1bf57…
05-29 15:19:42	Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xc1ad66…
05-29 15:16:02	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0xe39a66…
05-29 14:27:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xf3eeb7…
05-29 14:25:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0x8c5e6f…
05-29 14:24:17	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xd9ef09…
05-29 14:10:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x5aa115…
05-25 18:12:58	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0x25f64b…
05-25 12:01:42	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xe0dc11…
05-25 11:46:44	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x102f74…
05-25 11:40:38	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x6bcb01…
05-25 11:38:43	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x3dbd17…
05-25 11:37:31	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xd55bf3…
05-25 11:20:59	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$4	0xd83f98…
05-25 11:18:55	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0x6e6984…
05-25 11:06:59	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x20e83a…
05-25 10:30:37	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3e6e03…
05-25 10:30:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x01dfef…
05-19 13:21:59	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4aa1e3…
05-19 04:53:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd2aaf8…
05-14 14:24:54	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xb1b7db…
05-14 13:58:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x6d39a8…
05-14 13:41:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x179dc2…
05-14 13:41:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	88	97¢	$85	0xf6eb9b…
05-14 13:25:34	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x42f854…
05-14 12:18:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x97a3ac…
05-14 11:13:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x252a45…
05-14 06:45:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbcda54…
05-07 16:18:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$55	0x285b88…
05-07 16:18:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x3761a5…
05-07 16:15:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$57	0xc58179…
05-07 16:14:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	29¢	$22	0xa96d4e…
05-07 16:14:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	29¢	$36	0x7cba61…
05-07 16:05:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	155	22¢	$34	0x33ca0e…
05-07 16:04:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	23¢	$36	0x86eb92…
05-07 15:43:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	30¢	$119	0xedf29d…
05-07 15:42:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	31¢	$124	0xe8e345…
05-07 15:29:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0xca88bc…