Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

36.7%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$74

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-10

last 10-29 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

53% 33% -$2

Politics

28% 20% -$4

Tech

13% 67% $0

Crypto

6% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$1	60¢	$1	+$0	10-28 17:16
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	Yes	+27	$1	2¢	$1	$0	08-12 01:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+0	$1	12¢	$0	-$1	10-29 17:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:41:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x51558e…
10-28 17:16:05	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x115255…
10-28 15:12:31	Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x3cee53…
10-21 17:15:44	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xd1bbdb…
10-21 08:47:53	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x9a181e…
10-21 01:42:08	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xbc4ed9…
10-19 10:55:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xf69b46…
10-17 17:55:17	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x6c3464…
10-17 17:06:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6cf79d…
10-17 16:57:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd05a02…
10-17 16:31:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x714766…
10-17 16:20:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x3cd72a…
10-17 16:02:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xfc2786…
10-17 16:02:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x7899a4…
10-17 15:57:09	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xdcc9c9…
10-17 15:57:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x8db6db…
10-17 15:32:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x79130d…
10-16 08:32:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0xaa8902…
10-13 11:54:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xada3e1…
10-07 21:33:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x0511df…
10-04 22:08:10	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x566748…
10-04 21:50:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xb952ca…
09-10 12:43:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x7e8fe7…
09-09 17:01:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xb568d3…
08-30 17:13:37	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x3fdb7b…
08-30 17:09:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0b5fc3…
08-30 16:45:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x88610b…
08-29 18:13:18	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x59ca82…
08-29 17:37:46	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x4e01cd…
08-29 17:04:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x3728b8…
08-29 14:13:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x920024…
08-29 14:03:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x53aaf7…
08-29 13:29:00	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x5f3cf6…
08-29 11:24:45	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x7d6030…
08-29 05:37:01	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	158	0¢	$0	0xd05e3e…
08-29 05:15:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x3f682d…
08-29 01:55:52	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x78d206…
08-28 22:42:57	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x294405…
08-28 20:30:10	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x5bcb26…
08-28 16:17:06	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0xb1958d…
08-28 14:19:48	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x6a8fba…
08-28 14:16:49	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	917	0¢	$1	0x4bad82…
08-28 12:54:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	430	0¢	$1	0xd3557c…
08-28 12:49:43	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	487	0¢	$1	0x259179…
08-28 12:20:19	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xdeab0a…
08-25 20:03:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x41d2fb…
08-25 20:02:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x9b23a0…
08-20 05:27:03	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xb1a629…
08-18 18:18:36	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x5d0635…
08-18 18:15:07	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x4d22a8…
08-18 18:15:06	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x9b4af2…
08-18 13:57:30	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xe918d3…
08-18 12:38:57	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xd3ff94…
08-17 22:36:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3b566b…
08-17 22:02:48	No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf8a5a2…
08-17 21:41:01	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x13acee…
08-17 15:44:46	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xd4f6d6…
08-17 15:38:04	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x4bf6e7…
08-13 13:16:15	Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xaaf6ed…
08-13 12:58:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xdfd1b0…
08-12 17:47:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x1744f3…
08-12 14:27:40	will russia target kyiv on august 12 2026 20260810162903047	No	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x989f7d…
08-12 14:25:45	will russia target kyiv on august 12 2026 20260810162903047	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x6e27ea…
08-12 13:26:42	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2a5ce5…
08-12 12:48:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x647e90…
08-12 12:37:27	will russia target kyiv on august 12 2026 20260810162903047	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x84b2dc…
08-12 12:30:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x75d630…
08-12 12:21:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x0fa44f…
08-12 07:38:54	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x70a41e…
08-12 07:27:22	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x24f4ce…
08-12 02:34:10	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x0a7c91…
08-12 01:59:21	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xfd38d2…
08-12 01:41:19	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x6ba9c8…
08-12 01:37:13	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x2d2b7a…
08-12 01:37:01	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x496316…
08-12 00:00:30	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xad5684…
08-11 22:52:36	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x5cfd52…
08-11 22:52:03	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x7ab875…
08-11 22:51:48	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x14fd12…
08-11 22:51:01	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x66e7b8…
08-11 22:50:03	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xe0e9ec…
08-11 22:49:58	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x3aa0e4…
08-11 22:49:45	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x364ad5…
08-11 22:48:25	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x016ed4…
08-11 22:29:58	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xfbbfc9…
08-11 14:27:07	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xeb09e4…
08-10 12:24:21	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5d892f…
08-10 11:59:37	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xcbde44…
08-10 11:55:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0x389cfe…
08-10 11:20:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xcb13db…
08-10 10:28:49	Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe80ee0…
08-10 10:28:48	Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x9f7746…
08-10 10:28:46	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x879193…
08-10 10:28:46	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x68d1ba…
08-10 10:28:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xa1e542…
08-10 10:28:43	Will Mark Sanford place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x14f57e…
08-10 09:42:00	Will Mark Sanford place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x6623ec…
08-10 08:52:49	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xce8ca8…
08-10 08:43:09	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xba300c…
08-10 08:19:30	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x825844…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	3	$18	10	10	+0	No	$0	08-10 10:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$11	9	8	+0	No	+$0	08-12 12:21
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	10-17 16:31
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	26	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$0	08-20 05:27
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	20	$4	1,250	1,221	+30	No	-$2	08-30 17:13
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	10-28 15:12
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	3	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	08-10 10:28
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	08-28 12:20
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	2	$2	125	62	+63	Yes	-$2	08-12 17:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$2	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	08-13 12:58
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$1	9	6	+3	open	—	10-21 17:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	9	$1	3	2	+0	open	—	10-29 17:41
Will Mark Sanford place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	2	$1	19	19	+0	No	-$1	08-10 10:28
will russia target kyiv on august 12 2026 20260810162903047	3	$1	40	32	+8	Yes	-$1	08-12 14:27
will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	2	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	08-11 22:29
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-28 17:16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	10-17 17:06
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	24	0	+24	open	—	10-17 17:55
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	10-17 16:57
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	1	$1	27	0	+27	open	—	08-12 01:59
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	08-17 22:02
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	08-13 13:16