Realized P&L
-$393
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved
987
Trades
5,596
lifetime
Volume
$16.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$1
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-25 14:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Crypto
38% 40% -$268
Pop-Culture
29% 22% -$37
Other
20% 20% -$226
Tech
10% 47% +$16
Sports
3% 30% +$119
Politics
0% 29% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes +61 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-07 15:26
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? Yes +47 $0 0¢ $0 $0 08-17 07:42
will cmi declare a millennium prize problem solved by december 31 2026 20260723160122980 Yes +2 $0 4¢ $0 $0 08-07 15:23
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes +13 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-16 09:39
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 $0 08-07 15:19
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +2 $0 0¢ $0 $0 08-17 18:31
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 $0 08-07 20:54