Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
open
Total volume
$355
Trades
42
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,387
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-10
last 08-09 22:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+94.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $3
vs crowd: 6% YES on $242)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $4 | $102 | $98 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $5 | $36 | $31 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $5 | $91 | $86 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Median | 2 | — | $36 | $36 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $0 | $100 | $100 |
| unranked | 7 | $5 | $93 | $88 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | No | +98 | $95 | $95 | 2 | 08-06 14:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x5539…6dbb | No | +94 | $91 | $91 | 3 | 07-04 09:16 |
| Loathsome-Recommendation 0x81b7…d59f | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-06 14:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 04:40 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $1 | $4 | 6 | 08-06 14:46 |
| Polite-Cooking-Participant 0x29a5…a3c4 | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 01:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-18 16:31 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 22:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-09 22:11 |
| Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-04 16:54 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-09 22:11 |
| Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-04 22:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-04 16:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 22:11:07 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xdf676f… |
| 08-09 22:11:07 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdf676f… |
| 08-08 12:58:49 | Regal-Typhoon 0x40f2…a57c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe1c610… |
| 08-08 12:58:49 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe1c610… |
| 08-06 14:46:24 | Regal-Typhoon 0x40f2…a57c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x55cd8e… |
| 08-06 14:46:24 | Loathsome-Recommendation 0x81b7…d59f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x55cd8e… |
| 08-06 14:46:24 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | No | BUY | 58 | 97¢ | $56 | 0x55cd8e… |
| 08-06 14:46:20 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x325512… |
| 08-06 14:46:20 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x325512… |
| 08-04 16:54:45 | Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb9c968… |
| 08-04 16:54:45 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb9c968… |
| 08-04 16:54:45 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xb9c968… |
| 07-09 05:03:40 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc0b8c1… |
| 07-09 05:03:40 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc0b8c1… |
| 07-06 00:54:01 | Intentional-Miss 0x7db0…8c18 | No | SELL | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0xc418ba… |
| 07-06 00:54:01 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 32 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xc418ba… |
| 07-04 22:48:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5c4e99… |
| 07-04 22:48:49 | Squeaky-Electrocardiogram 0xc901…0c1d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5c4e99… |
| 07-04 22:48:14 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x84a3ec… |
| 07-04 22:48:14 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x84a3ec… |
| 07-04 17:58:49 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4b76fa… |
| 07-04 17:58:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4b76fa… |
| 07-04 09:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x5539…6dbb | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x1308fa… |
| 07-04 09:16:22 | Intentional-Miss 0x7db0…8c18 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x1308fa… |
| 06-21 04:40:26 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5e5e6d… |
| 06-21 04:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5e5e6d… |
| 06-21 04:40:26 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5e5e6d… |
| 06-18 16:31:14 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x679a1d… |
| 06-18 16:31:14 | (anonymous) 0x5cf7…3b1b | Yes | SELL | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x679a1d… |
| 06-18 16:31:14 | Intentional-Miss 0x7db0…8c18 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x679a1d… |
| 06-13 13:43:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9848b3… |
| 06-13 13:43:49 | Regal-Typhoon 0x40f2…a57c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9848b3… |
| 06-13 10:16:45 | (anonymous) 0x5539…6dbb | No | BUY | 59 | 97¢ | $57 | 0x117eba… |
| 06-13 10:16:45 | Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | SELL | 59 | 97¢ | $57 | 0x117eba… |
| 06-13 10:08:52 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xea877b… |
| 06-13 10:08:52 | Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xea877b… |
| 06-13 08:33:27 | (anonymous) 0x5539…6dbb | No | BUY | 27 | 97¢ | $26 | 0x89876c… |
| 06-13 08:33:27 | Regal-Typhoon 0x40f2…a57c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x89876c… |
| 06-13 08:33:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x89876c… |
| 06-10 01:57:06 | Polite-Cooking-Participant 0x29a5…a3c4 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xe71720… |
| 06-10 01:57:06 | Intentional-Miss 0x7db0…8c18 | No | BUY | 41 | 89¢ | $36 | 0xe71720… |
| 06-10 01:57:06 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe71720… |