Realized P&L
-$621.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$327
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
1,081
Trades
27,762
lifetime
Volume
$10.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$379
Open exposure
$11.9K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-28 19:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 218 days
Categories
Other
89% 49% -$679,556
Politics
7% 50% +$63,214
Sports
3% 56% -$2,025
Crypto
1% 60% -$2,384
Tech
0% 50% -$638
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 627 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +20,000 $6,200 44¢ $8.9K +$2,700 09-24 21:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10,000 $1,700 12¢ $1.1K -$550 09-17 00:57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +15,256 $2,746 8¢ $1.1K -$1,602 08-07 17:35
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3,184 $478 14¢ $446 -$32 08-05 17:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +5,050 $343 2¢ $93 -$250 05-18 07:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,000 $450 2¢ $85 -$365 07-14 13:10
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? Yes +1,200 $132 3¢ $34 -$98 10-07 01:11
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +56 $2 2¢ $1 $0 06-05 14:50
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +0 $130 4¢ $0 -$130 07-13 11:35