Realized P&L (30d)
-$71.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$21.9K
Hit rate
69.6%
Resolved (30d)
8,793
Trades (30d)
200,257
1,755,573 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$6.75M
$62.6M lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$161.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Other
56%
66%
-$218,624
Politics
29%
60%
-$113,179
Sports
7%
69%
-$5,057
Crypto
6%
77%
-$4,917
Tech
2%
61%
-$5,277
Pop-Culture
0%
60%
-$1,050
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 9899 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 1,317 | $220.5K | 171,970 | 140,314 | +31,656 | open | — | 10-30 20:57 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 2,702 | $147.8K | 124,657 | 117,583 | +7,074 | No | +$9,310 | 10-26 17:04 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 2,393 | $138.0K | 154,366 | 116,685 | +37,681 | Yes | -$17,862 | 10-26 17:00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 812 | $123.1K | 83,614 | 76,749 | +6,865 | open | — | 10-30 21:18 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | 662 | $121.5K | 82,686 | 72,958 | +9,729 | open | — | 10-23 20:01 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1,696 | $117.2K | 69,547 | 74,635 | -5,088 | No | +$598 | 10-04 21:45 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | 562 | $111.5K | 73,667 | 63,427 | +10,240 | Yes | +$374 | 09-28 02:09 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 1,830 | $102.4K | 71,241 | 76,459 | -5,218 | No | +$3,097 | 10-26 16:58 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1,380 | $100.1K | 94,456 | 80,645 | +13,811 | No | +$2,249 | 10-25 02:52 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | 1,232 | $98.3K | 98,406 | 68,831 | +29,575 | open | — | 10-29 17:46 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 788 | $97.8K | 94,969 | 72,072 | +22,896 | Yes | -$4,749 | 09-16 18:00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 556 | $95.2K | 69,354 | 60,323 | +9,031 | open | — | 10-30 20:35 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 1,692 | $93.7K | 108,641 | 70,142 | +38,499 | open | — | 10-30 20:47 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 862 | $92.7K | 73,310 | 56,216 | +17,094 | Yes | -$3,518 | 10-04 23:57 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 850 | $90.0K | 64,695 | 58,592 | +6,103 | Yes | +$522 | 07-29 16:58 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | 722 | $81.4K | 75,615 | 67,256 | +8,359 | No | +$321 | 09-16 18:00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 1,019 | $81.1K | 66,881 | 52,246 | +14,635 | No | +$173 | 05-31 10:07 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | 799 | $80.0K | 66,043 | 51,391 | +14,652 | open | — | 10-30 20:49 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | 691 | $79.0K | 69,114 | 53,511 | +15,603 | Yes | +$445 | 08-31 16:19 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | 464 | $75.8K | 44,522 | 42,275 | +2,248 | open | — | 10-30 07:53 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 891 | $75.5K | 69,427 | 44,590 | +24,837 | Yes | -$4,160 | 03-01 01:33 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 865 | $72.3K | 52,369 | 43,635 | +8,734 | No | +$542 | 06-30 22:08 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 760 | $69.5K | 60,922 | 52,211 | +8,711 | No | -$182 | 06-29 09:52 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | 240 | $69.2K | 39,671 | 39,671 | +0 | open | — | 10-23 00:19 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | 583 | $68.8K | 53,561 | 44,559 | +9,002 | No | +$4 | 09-01 03:26 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 640 | $68.4K | 61,402 | 43,229 | +18,173 | No | +$795 | 05-29 14:11 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | 668 | $68.1K | 55,528 | 46,015 | +9,514 | No | +$1,164 | 06-21 21:52 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 987 | $67.4K | 58,445 | 45,213 | +13,232 | No | +$1,826 | 09-21 09:06 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | 772 | $66.8K | 56,202 | 45,456 | +10,746 | No | +$116 | 07-31 21:39 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | 576 | $66.5K | 70,244 | 55,783 | +14,461 | Yes | -$732 | 09-16 15:04 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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