Realized P&L (30d)
-$71.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$21.9K
Hit rate
69.6%
Resolved (30d)
8,793
Trades (30d)
200,257
1,755,573 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$6.75M
$62.6M lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$161.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Other
56% 66% -$218,624
Politics
29% 60% -$113,179
Sports
7% 69% -$5,057
Crypto
6% 77% -$4,917
Tech
2% 61% -$5,277
Pop-Culture
0% 60% -$1,050
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 9899 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +14,585 $9,616 97¢ $14.1K +$4,516 10-29 17:46
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20,131 $10,142 66¢ $13.4K +$3,215 10-30 02:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15,235 $11,744 82¢ $12.6K +$825 10-30 20:57
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +10,041 $3,903 98¢ $9.9K +$5,956 10-24 04:22
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +7,556 $5,012 84¢ $6.3K +$1,297 10-30 20:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6,736 $4,587 92¢ $6.2K +$1,644 10-27 19:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +18,368 $9,195 34¢ $6.2K -$3,014 10-30 20:47
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6,504 $4,681 84¢ $5.5K +$816 10-12 17:38
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +6,402 $5,203 78¢ $5.0K -$241 10-27 05:54
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +4,864 $3,763 100¢ $4.9K +$1,089 10-23 20:01
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,787 $5,405 83¢ $4.8K -$596 10-30 07:53
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,756 $4,670 99¢ $4.7K +$46 08-17 15:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +5,470 $3,352 86¢ $4.7K +$1,324 10-24 23:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +5,780 $4,223 72¢ $4.2K -$32 10-30 18:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4,415 $3,018 94¢ $4.2K +$1,132 10-30 20:35
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,286 $4,257 77¢ $4.1K -$176 10-30 18:01
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,976 $3,888 99¢ $3.9K +$37 08-22 03:02
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +3,880 $3,574 100¢ $3.9K +$302 09-13 13:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +4,789 $3,754 80¢ $3.8K +$60 10-30 20:52
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +6,192 $3,312 61¢ $3.8K +$483 10-30 19:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +5,250 $3,737 70¢ $3.7K -$36 10-30 21:25
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +9,397 $4,253 39¢ $3.6K -$616 10-26 21:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,640 $3,541 99¢ $3.6K +$68 10-07 13:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +3,929 $1,975 92¢ $3.6K +$1,620 10-24 16:25
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,628 $3,444 98¢ $3.6K +$124 08-21 17:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,110 $2,977 86¢ $3.5K +$537 10-30 13:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +7,309 $4,056 48¢ $3.5K -$548 10-29 22:42
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +3,602 $3,520 96¢ $3.5K -$53 10-27 06:40
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,474 $2,125 100¢ $3.5K +$1,342 10-27 22:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +6,571 $2,685 52¢ $3.4K +$732 10-29 05:41