Recent-Stallion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$229

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

336

Trades

1,088

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$40

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 10-21 21:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

40% 84% +$11

Other

38% 70% -$241

Politics

18% 100% +$11

Sports

2% 33% -$23

Tech

1% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+40	$29	48¢	$19	-$10	08-25 07:55
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	+27	$25	62¢	$17	-$8	08-25 07:59
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	+14	$10	22¢	$3	-$7	10-20 09:09
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+50	$2	2¢	$1	-$1	07-26 18:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$700	380	380	+0	Yes	+$8	05-07 22:46
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	5	$392	211	211	+0	open	—	08-02 18:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$280	150	150	+0	Yes	+$0	05-02 21:43
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	7	$263	136	136	+0	No	+$0	08-02 23:23
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5	5	$162	101	101	+0	Over	-$18	05-02 13:46
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	5	$140	142	0	+142	Up	+$2	05-02 21:29
cs2 chama uno 2026 08 08	25	$138	104	71	+33	BORRACHEIROS	+$1	08-08 20:48
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	5	$138	141	0	+141	Up	+$2	05-02 22:29
cs2 alkaa paina 2026 08 08 game1	20	$127	146	85	+61	ALKA	-$70	08-08 20:50
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$120	121	0	+121	Down	+$1	05-02 22:24
russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	2	$116	71	71	+0	open	—	10-16 18:01
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	4	$110	77	77	+0	No	+$10	08-04 15:40
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$109	122	0	+122	Yes	+$13	07-31 08:52
lol bro1 genga 2026 08 06	14	$100	110	0	+110	HANJIN BRION Challengers	+$10	08-06 07:30
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-02 20:54
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$100	100	0	+100	Up	+$0	05-18 09:40
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$100	100	0	+100	Up	+$0	05-18 09:24
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5	2	$100	103	0	+103	Under	+$3	05-02 18:21
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	5	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	08-19 16:29
cs2 shk furia 2026 07 24	21	$94	86	86	+0	Sharks	+$30	07-24 21:29
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?	2	$93	198	198	+0	Yes	-$81	05-25 08:22
will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	4	$93	57	57	+0	Yes	+$13	07-03 01:15
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	3	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	08-06 13:16
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$90	91	0	+91	Up	+$1	05-02 21:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$90	91	0	+91	Up	+$1	05-02 21:34
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$89	91	0	+91	Down	+$2	05-02 20:44
cs2 mgc 3dmax 2026 07 24	9	$84	65	35	+30	3DMAX	+$12	07-24 11:57
cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12 game1	9	$83	82	61	+20	BetBoom Team	-$57	06-12 15:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$81	61	61	+0	open	—	08-20 12:45
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	2	$80	43	43	+0	open	—	08-17 12:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 21:14:57	Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x346a5a…
10-21 21:14:48	Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3f4dbd…
10-21 20:51:30	Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x280fb7…
10-21 20:50:00	Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xebcc14…
10-21 20:36:08	Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x00d3ac…
10-21 18:06:00	Exact Score: Como 1907 3 - 0 Manchester United FC?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4eac8b…
10-20 17:08:23	Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 0 - 1 Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xcdd3a4…
10-20 17:07:29	Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 0 - 1 Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5c926a…
10-20 09:09:35	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x21f880…
10-16 18:01:47	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	SELL	71	92¢	$66	0xfdba1b…
10-07 10:21:33	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x4abf36…
09-21 11:47:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0xe5e826…
08-26 23:34:04	Will 9z Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xde1e13…
08-25 10:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xcedaab…
08-25 09:08:43	Will Aurora Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb0e4a4…
08-25 09:08:43	Will 9z Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x520dad…
08-25 09:08:43	Will Aurora Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x0fc0af…
08-25 08:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb8ee45…
08-25 08:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc6c873…
08-25 08:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x9db207…
08-25 07:59:52	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x105934…
08-25 07:56:18	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa31110…
08-25 07:55:27	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x783ae6…
08-25 07:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1ac50e…
08-25 07:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 25?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x2a8142…
08-25 07:38:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 25?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x40f645…
08-25 07:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 26?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xac634b…
08-25 07:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xc797d4…
08-25 07:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x070ae9…
08-25 07:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3c317e…
08-25 07:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 25?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7e5771…
08-25 07:19:39	Will North Sunshine Eagles FC win on 2026-08-25?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xd7173d…
08-24 21:56:55	atp passaro gill 2026 08 24	Francesco Passaro	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa712e5…
08-24 21:42:57	atp passaro gill 2026 08 24	Francesco Passaro	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xbad492…
08-24 21:42:57	atp passaro gill 2026 08 24	Francesco Passaro	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9e79b9…
08-24 21:38:57	atp passaro gill 2026 08 24	Felix Gill	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x2c16c0…
08-24 21:38:57	atp passaro gill 2026 08 24	Felix Gill	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x177984…
08-24 21:38:55	atp passaro gill 2026 08 24	Felix Gill	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd17ee2…
08-24 20:43:04	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x75210c…
08-24 20:42:28	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-24?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x55a1c9…
08-24 19:02:24	Will 9z Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf2de97…
08-24 16:47:07	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	9z	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xc1155f…
08-24 16:03:57	Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x04a92f…
08-24 15:37:12	Will Arthur Fils Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x7ab477…
08-24 15:11:54	Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd2dd37…
08-24 12:49:10	Exact Score: CA Osasuna 1 - 3 Levante UD?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1360d2…
08-24 12:48:43	Exact Score: Málaga CF 0 - 0 RC Deportivo A Coruña?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xff62e1…
08-24 12:48:24	Exact Score: AS Roma 3 - 0 ACF Fiorentina?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x54e163…
08-24 12:48:18	Exact Score: AS Roma 0 - 2 ACF Fiorentina?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbd5455…
08-24 12:48:00	Exact Score: AS Roma 3 - 3 ACF Fiorentina?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa8bd0f…
08-24 12:47:42	Exact Score: CA Osasuna 3 - 1 Levante UD?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x7e37df…
08-24 12:47:21	Exact Score: CA Osasuna 2 - 3 Levante UD?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6878be…
08-24 12:46:12	Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 3 - 1 SS Lazio?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xde8e8a…
08-23 17:02:39	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	9z	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xf81749…
08-23 00:32:36	cs2 mouz 9z 2026 08 27	9z	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf44eab…
08-22 20:11:22	cs2 mouz 9z 2026 08 27	9z	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x9c7055…
08-22 19:52:06	cs2 lgc ts7 2026 08 22 game2	Legacy	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xc3eef1…
08-22 19:50:52	cs2 lgc ts7 2026 08 22 game2	Legacy	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbe852c…
08-22 16:58:16	cs2 furia fut 2026 08 22	FURIA	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf61191…
08-22 16:13:12	cs2 furia fut 2026 08 22	FUT Esports	SELL	51	44¢	$23	0x4f4cc5…
08-22 16:12:16	cs2 furia fut 2026 08 22	FUT Esports	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x167d20…
08-22 15:45:10	cs2 mouz 9z 2026 08 27	9z	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x4e1e4e…
08-22 15:43:10	cs2 furia fut 2026 08 22 game2	FURIA	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x90c0d2…
08-22 15:30:46	cs2 furia fut 2026 08 22 game2	FURIA	SELL	35	90¢	$32	0x37a61b…
08-22 15:21:04	cs2 mouz 9z 2026 08 27	9z	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x1ac457…
08-22 15:14:58	cs2 furia fut 2026 08 22 game2	FURIA	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xa2c94b…
08-22 15:14:58	cs2 furia fut 2026 08 22 game2	FURIA	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x3595c6…
08-22 14:39:51	cs2 furia fut 2026 08 22 game1	FUT Esports	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x7534d1…
08-22 13:59:04	cs2 furia fut 2026 08 22	FURIA	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xdc896d…
08-21 18:40:16	cs2 vit ts7 2026 08 21	Vitality	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf1c23c…
08-21 18:40:07	cs2 vit ts7 2026 08 21	Vitality	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x2068b8…
08-21 18:39:43	cs2 vit ts7 2026 08 21	Vitality	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x8110d1…
08-21 18:29:49	cs2 vit ts7 2026 08 21	Vitality	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x610ccb…
08-21 18:29:45	cs2 vit ts7 2026 08 21	Vitality	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc8a81f…
08-21 18:27:51	cs2 vit ts7 2026 08 21	Vitality	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xd80f18…
08-20 16:52:45	cs2 g2 furia 2026 08 20 game1	G2	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x959d4c…
08-20 16:28:10	cs2 g2 furia 2026 08 20 game1	G2	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x70a6d6…
08-20 16:27:34	cs2 g2 furia 2026 08 20 game1	G2	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb7fa96…
08-20 12:45:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	61	68¢	$41	0x9b273e…
08-20 12:33:30	will the mongolz make cs2 ewc grand finals 20260810162242398	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x82ecc8…
08-20 12:30:48	will the mongolz make cs2 ewc grand finals 20260810162242398	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf2a867…
08-19 20:01:22	cs2 furia aur1 2026 08 19 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8de340…
08-19 19:52:57	cs2 furia aur1 2026 08 19 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x154960…
08-19 19:52:52	cs2 furia aur1 2026 08 19 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb37797…
08-19 19:51:36	cs2 furia aur1 2026 08 19 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x008903…
08-19 19:51:04	cs2 furia aur1 2026 08 19 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa8e390…
08-19 19:50:28	cs2 furia aur1 2026 08 19 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xabf8d7…
08-19 19:50:28	cs2 furia aur1 2026 08 19 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x949dfd…
08-19 19:50:18	cs2 furia aur1 2026 08 19 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe9fd73…
08-19 19:49:42	cs2 furia aur1 2026 08 19 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa7eb22…
08-19 18:28:24	cs2 furia aur1 2026 08 19 game1	FURIA	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x4c9807…
08-19 17:59:39	cs2 fut mgc 2026 08 19 game2	FUT Esports	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb44a4b…
08-19 17:58:37	cs2 gl1 mouz 2026 08 19 game1	MOUZ	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc449b9…
08-19 17:58:37	cs2 gl1 mouz 2026 08 19 game1	MOUZ	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1340cd…
08-19 16:58:55	cs2 fut mgc 2026 08 19	FUT Esports	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x6a4d5a…
08-19 16:57:06	cs2 fut mgc 2026 08 19	FUT Esports	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x2d193c…
08-19 16:29:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x43008c…
08-19 16:20:34	cs2 g2 ast10 2026 08 19	Astralis	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe9f545…
08-19 16:19:00	cs2 g2 ast10 2026 08 19	Astralis	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xdf4d0e…
08-19 16:18:57	cs2 g2 ast10 2026 08 19	Astralis	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xe2990f…