Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$171

Unrealized P&L

-$174

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

114

Trades

564

lifetime

Volume

$121.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$215

Open exposure

$6.32K

17 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 00:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

88% 67% -$1,971

Crypto

11% 62% +$1,957

Sports

0% 33% -$160

Politics

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-1,142	-$971	94¢	$-1068	-$97	07-17 03:43
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	-1,250	-$708	60¢	$-744	-$35	10-08 02:21
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	-750	-$658	96¢	$-719	-$61	07-19 10:01
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+768	$506	94¢	$718	+$212	10-13 21:55
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-704	-$655	96¢	$-680	-$25	07-24 10:01
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	-420	-$256	95¢	$-400	-$144	05-21 05:18
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-401	-$348	93¢	$-373	-$25	10-13 21:55
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	-335	-$297	91¢	$-305	-$8	10-08 15:55
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	-325	-$244	92¢	$-300	-$57	09-13 17:42
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	-305	-$287	96¢	$-292	-$5	06-07 18:02
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	-435	-$286	62¢	$-272	+$14	09-02 00:33
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-132	-$102	92¢	$-122	-$20	06-26 20:37
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	No	-140	-$99	84¢	$-118	-$19	08-11 17:35
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	-75	-$73	98¢	$-74	-$1	06-26 22:43
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	-75	-$71	96¢	$-72	-$1	07-18 11:06
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-125	-$88	44¢	$-54	+$33	08-11 17:32
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-155	-$76	6¢	$-10	+$66	08-11 17:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	41	$20.7K	10,931	9,931	+1,000	No	+$20	01-08 03:16
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 740plus	51	$16.6K	8,842	7,810	+1,032	No	+$10	01-05 04:31
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 720 739	70	$15.0K	8,014	7,012	+1,002	No	+$9	01-05 06:33
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 0 19	2	$6.0K	4,000	2,000	+2,000	No	+$6	02-03 17:27
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	4	$4.5K	3,000	1,500	+1,500	No	+$7	01-25 22:16
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 140 159	5	$3.7K	2,360	1,300	+1,060	No	+$3	01-22 12:45
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 140 159	4	$2.5K	1,500	1,000	+500	No	+$2	01-15 07:45
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 20 39	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$5	02-03 20:13
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 480 499	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$1	01-08 18:34
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 160 179	5	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$2	01-14 15:12
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 0 19	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$4	03-17 07:20
Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?	2	$1.9K	1,000	900	+100	Yes	+$0	01-09 17:36
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 400 419	4	$1.9K	1,900	0	+1,900	No	+$2	01-08 10:45
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 20 39	10	$1.8K	1,826	0	+1,826	No	+$4	01-26 19:40
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$1.7K	915	1,240	-325	open	—	09-13 17:42
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	7	$1.5K	699	1,100	-401	open	—	10-13 21:55
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 40 59	1	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$2	01-08 10:44
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	4	$1.5K	1,000	500	+500	No	+$2	01-22 09:15
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	3	$1.5K	1,000	500	+500	No	+$2	01-22 09:48
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 0 19	2	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$3	01-25 02:11
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$1.5K	1,000	500	+500	No	+$4	01-16 04:42
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	14	$1.4K	1,291	523	+768	open	—	10-13 21:55
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 100 119	2	$1.3K	948	400	+548	No	+$1	01-12 21:30
Over $80M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$1.0K	507	507	+0	No	+$4	01-05 15:33
Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale?	5	$1000	505	505	+0	No	+$3	01-05 18:26
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 20 39	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	01-10 12:10
lighter market cap fdv 1b one day after launch	15	$999	0	1,000	-1,000	Yes	-$1	01-01 03:20
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 120 139	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$2	01-15 20:24
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 60 79	1	$997	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$3	03-11 19:08
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 160 179	4	$996	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$4	01-15 20:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 00:03:47	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xdfc17b…
10-24 23:20:36	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xf76197…
10-24 20:57:17	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x96070b…
10-24 20:57:05	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xd0425f…
10-24 20:44:30	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	28	84¢	$24	0x964b93…
10-24 20:12:51	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xbc7fe4…
10-24 20:04:24	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xdb01e0…
10-24 20:02:12	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x772ceb…
10-23 23:54:45	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x20c61a…
10-23 23:18:57	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xbd0e1c…
10-23 22:17:02	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xf4d707…
10-23 21:13:38	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xcd2279…
10-23 19:37:47	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x1798bf…
10-23 19:36:53	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x38c6b8…
10-23 19:34:03	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x493b4f…
10-17 14:46:15	Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x512d44…
10-17 14:46:15	Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x19094d…
10-16 00:59:57	Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x14b884…
10-15 23:10:01	Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xff25a3…
10-13 21:55:52	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,100	86¢	$949	0x1b9e46…
10-13 21:55:10	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	250	84¢	$210	0xcc3ee6…
10-13 21:54:40	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	73	85¢	$62	0x5355c1…
10-12 04:42:15	Saints vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xedd8db…
10-12 04:13:50	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x10c31b…
10-12 04:12:00	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	34	62¢	$21	0xc29cca…
10-11 16:20:39	Texans vs. Titans: O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x775a45…
10-11 00:50:36	Lions vs. Cardinals: O/U 54.5	Under	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x366580…
10-11 00:45:36	Eagles vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x28723f…
10-10 21:16:51	Eagles vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4533a9…
10-09 21:02:43	Eagles vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	22	47¢	$11	0xad163e…
10-08 23:27:59	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x4eee27…
10-08 23:27:03	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x3c10ab…
10-08 15:55:57	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	251	87¢	$218	0x89254b…
10-08 03:44:26	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11?	No	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x87a723…
10-08 03:28:35	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x39d189…
10-08 03:28:35	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	58	82¢	$48	0x1939c1…
10-08 02:41:17	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x388ec2…
10-08 02:40:38	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xa95627…
10-08 02:21:22	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	250	64¢	$160	0xa314b7…
09-13 17:42:10	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,240	80¢	$990	0x9fa50c…
09-02 01:19:07	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	89¢	$71	0x0e64db…
09-02 00:38:58	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	400	59¢	$236	0x3101b1…
09-02 00:33:15	Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	435	66¢	$286	0x2a35a5…
08-22 07:32:28	cambria listed on coinbase within 30 days of tge	Yes	BUY	350	15¢	$52	0xe1a083…
08-16 08:21:18	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	600	52¢	$312	0xadf0a3…
08-12 22:03:55	Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x382062…
08-12 22:03:54	Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	SELL	77	97¢	$75	0x52f4b1…
08-12 22:01:19	Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$25	0xcc9c39…
08-12 22:01:19	Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xcb49ff…
08-12 22:01:19	Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0xae99c6…
08-12 22:01:19	Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9e2da2…
08-12 22:01:19	Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x43ed60…
08-12 22:01:19	Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x2ec64d…
08-12 21:05:58	Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	SELL	302	98¢	$295	0x8cff13…
08-12 01:39:13	Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x326b92…
08-11 20:30:57	Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	114	69¢	$78	0x3301da…
08-11 18:38:06	Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x855d12…
08-11 18:25:03	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x91f6bf…
08-11 18:25:03	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x4a2b19…
08-11 18:25:03	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	19	34¢	$7	0x392e3a…
08-11 18:25:01	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xef5071…
08-11 18:25:01	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xde9c75…
08-11 18:25:01	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x0b7f15…
08-11 18:25:00	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xff6f98…
08-11 18:25:00	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xba4f09…
08-11 18:25:00	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	22	34¢	$8	0x6b4162…
08-11 18:25:00	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x35aa41…
08-11 18:25:00	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x1f6da5…
08-11 18:21:01	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	47	34¢	$16	0xa42fb0…
08-11 17:38:03	will kai or speed die to a slime 20260808122810984	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x1023e0…
08-11 17:35:36	Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	No	SELL	123	71¢	$88	0xa20f88…
08-11 17:32:34	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	155	49¢	$76	0x626482…
08-11 17:32:27	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	125	70¢	$88	0x260335…
08-11 05:45:39	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0x7d4a9d…
08-11 05:24:25	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xdfe26b…
08-11 04:46:31	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	32	82¢	$26	0x29191e…
08-11 04:22:33	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0xc54887…
08-10 20:18:55	will kai or speed be eliminated by powder snow 20260807142948641	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x46a71d…
08-10 00:26:07	Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	54	89¢	$48	0x004562…
08-09 23:50:04	Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	72	94¢	$67	0xd85d92…
08-09 22:29:06	Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x32c852…
08-09 22:28:57	Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x7dbd89…
08-09 20:28:39	Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xf3d31d…
08-09 20:19:46	will kai or speed die to a blaze 20260806175301188	Yes	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0xfaf4e0…
08-09 19:57:25	Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x021f42…
08-09 19:57:09	Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x55b4bc…
08-09 17:54:54	will kai or speed die to a blaze 20260806175301188	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xa25870…
08-09 17:01:49	will kai or speed die to a slime 20260808122810984	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x8ce426…
08-09 16:27:19	Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x7fc49f…
08-09 13:59:39	Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x869aaf…
08-09 12:39:31	Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x80ad90…
08-09 12:13:31	will kai or speed die to a blaze 20260806175301188	Yes	BUY	87	58¢	$50	0xcb5c94…
08-09 12:13:24	will kai or speed die to an enderman 20260806175301187	Yes	SELL	52	74¢	$38	0x19dda8…
08-09 11:18:06	Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x1aa13d…
08-09 10:38:27	will kai or speed die to an enderman 20260806175301187	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x3df018…
08-09 02:16:37	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	80	73¢	$58	0x2c162f…
08-09 00:38:55	Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xae3906…
08-09 00:16:58	will kai or speed be eliminated by powder snow 20260807142948641	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0a5ca8…
08-08 23:42:06	Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xdcebb8…
08-08 22:39:49	Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xba4c72…