Frightened-Meaning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.97K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

389

Trades

836

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-31 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 60% -$1,183

Politics

33% 43% -$790

Other

2% 100% +$34

Sports

0% 50% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.7K	1,127	1,127	+0	No	+$135	05-04 14:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:30 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,046	1,031	+15	Up	+$395	03-21 22:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.3K	706	706	+0	No	+$100	04-29 11:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$1.3K	690	690	+0	No	+$84	04-21 23:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$787	14,972	0	+14,972	Yes	-$787	06-18 00:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 23:05 UTC	2	$539	734	686	+49	Down	-$493	03-21 23:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 12:15 UTC	2	$503	317	308	+8	Down	+$111	04-08 12:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 20:55 UTC	2	$464	312	307	+5	Down	+$149	03-21 21:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:55 UTC	1	$400	768	0	+768	Down	-$400	03-21 22:56
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:20 UTC	2	$330	607	598	+9	Down	-$310	03-21 22:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$300	15,866	0	+15,866	Yes	-$300	06-18 00:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 14:00 UTC	5	$295	197	192	+5	Up	+$50	04-09 14:14
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$259	2,028	2,028	+0	open	—	06-09 16:03
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 12:30 UTC	2	$244	185	179	+6	Up	+$50	04-08 12:34
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 13:15 UTC	2	$242	181	175	+6	Down	+$48	04-08 13:26
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:35 UTC	2	$234	137	136	+1	Up	+$36	03-21 22:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 23:20 UTC	2	$227	186	183	+3	Down	+$27	03-21 23:22
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:55 UTC	2	$217	119	118	+1	Down	+$18	03-30 13:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:40 UTC	2	$213	115	114	+1	Up	+$14	03-30 15:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 11:40 UTC	2	$211	121	119	+1	Up	+$12	04-08 11:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	2	$211	113	112	+1	Down	+$12	03-30 15:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:45 UTC	1	$200	480	0	+480	Down	-$200	03-21 22:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:10 UTC	2	$168	89	89	+0	Up	+$9	03-21 22:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:15 UTC	2	$163	282	278	+4	Down	-$157	03-21 22:19
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:00 UTC	3	$162	114	112	+2	Down	+$44	03-30 15:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:45 UTC	2	$146	109	107	+1	Down	+$68	03-21 17:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 11:30 UTC	2	$113	91	88	+3	Down	+$16	04-08 11:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:25 UTC	2	$108	60	59	+1	Up	+$9	03-30 01:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:00 UTC	2	$107	58	57	+0	Up	+$7	03-30 01:03
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:40 UTC	2	$102	174	113	+61	Down	-$98	03-21 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 21:04:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x886dcb…
10-31 20:55:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6e0414…
10-31 20:52:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb58840…
10-31 20:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeb7173…
10-31 20:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa873f7…
10-31 20:37:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9acd9b…
10-31 20:36:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x39790c…
10-31 20:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbe1cf3…
10-31 20:34:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4e0958…
10-31 20:31:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb187d8…
10-31 20:25:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe2bfcb…
10-31 20:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x54ffce…
10-31 20:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x19aaff…
10-31 20:16:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd8dfe0…
10-31 20:15:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x297e1d…
10-31 20:14:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x162e73…
10-31 20:12:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9c0190…
10-31 20:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x89609f…
10-31 20:06:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x670805…
10-31 20:02:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2c24b2…
10-31 20:00:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8544cb…
10-31 19:59:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7a1a67…
10-31 19:57:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfd9cea…
10-31 19:56:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x4e2e67…
10-31 19:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7c1264…
10-31 19:54:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3a7d24…
10-31 19:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x440945…
10-31 19:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x95093a…
10-31 19:42:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe7f9a0…
10-31 19:38:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x57a3a5…
10-31 19:30:57	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9d184c…
10-31 19:24:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x61089b…
10-31 19:21:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2c2f94…
10-31 19:16:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7e1299…
10-23 18:53:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb9c76d…
10-23 18:52:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfae128…
10-23 18:51:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x41f221…
10-23 18:48:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x389890…
10-23 18:47:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf5d35c…
10-23 18:46:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0e52f0…
06-18 00:37:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x285e1a…
06-18 00:28:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6,700	0¢	$7	0x7896aa…
06-18 00:06:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x6ef3b8…
06-18 00:06:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x41bba5…
06-17 01:19:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x358a53…
06-16 23:54:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0xaa949c…
06-15 23:01:36	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x8b58b2…
06-15 18:03:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,285	3¢	$70	0xc5373e…
06-15 17:44:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,351	4¢	$50	0xed081e…
06-15 17:44:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	831	4¢	$30	0xf46986…
06-15 13:45:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,255	9¢	$200	0xc90016…
06-12 20:26:06	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	125	51¢	$64	0x0d4567…
06-09 16:03:09	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,028	5¢	$109	0x5b3d96…
05-30 13:00:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	988	71¢	$700	0x63fabf…
05-17 18:39:31	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x8d9678…
05-17 18:39:03	Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$30	0xf69675…
05-15 11:15:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	694	7¢	$50	0x5d398f…
05-14 20:41:39	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	7¢	$50	0x5a9f6a…
05-14 13:53:47	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	7¢	$50	0xa8bcb8…
05-13 11:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x2914ac…
05-13 11:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc70de0…
05-13 11:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9138db…
05-04 14:07:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,127	83¢	$935	0x30b29e…
05-01 13:29:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x2733bd…
05-01 13:27:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x2de923…
04-29 11:50:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x579f06…
04-29 11:46:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x312407…
04-29 11:30:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,127	71¢	$800	0x0cb7b8…
04-29 11:28:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	706	99¢	$700	0x3ef71f…
04-22 08:37:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	706	85¢	$600	0x862bcd…
04-21 23:44:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 23:40 UTC	Down	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xbbccb3…
04-21 23:43:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7d1315…
04-21 23:42:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 23:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x016553…
04-21 23:41:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa89f36…
04-21 23:40:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x550a4e…
04-21 23:40:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 23:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x8f40c5…
04-21 23:40:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x598c58…
04-21 23:39:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	690	99¢	$684	0x50a41e…
04-15 17:21:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcaa0c8…
04-14 10:16:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	690	87¢	$600	0x2b8d56…
04-11 13:30:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3b6bbb…
04-10 12:28:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x44ddf4…
04-10 12:25:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6b1186…
04-10 12:23:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x75ec43…
04-10 12:23:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x96f177…
04-10 12:23:41	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	40	43¢	$17	0x5f01f7…
04-10 12:18:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0xf16041…
04-10 12:14:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x5ca3a3…
04-10 12:03:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x72f2fe…
04-10 12:02:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x311a1a…
04-10 11:58:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x193671…
04-10 11:55:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf49130…
04-10 11:53:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x07dbfc…
04-10 11:49:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd1709c…
04-10 11:46:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xbeaf20…
04-10 11:44:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:40 UTC	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x687e91…
04-10 11:41:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xd7a988…
04-10 11:39:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:35 UTC	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x5343ed…
04-10 11:37:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x9e07bf…
04-10 11:37:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xde89e5…