Classic-Labour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,695

lifetime

Volume

$33.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$66

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-12 12:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 86% +$51

Other

23% 86% $-11

Politics

16% 0% $-41

Sports

4% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+44	$41	96¢	$42	+$1	07-08 22:16
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	+21	$10	50¢	$10	$-0	07-05 18:29
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	07-12 12:05
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	94¢	$5	+$0	06-22 13:36
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	+4	$4	93¢	$4	$-0	06-23 14:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$340	341	0	+341	open	—	06-02 02:02
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	48	$325	166	166	+0	open	—	07-07 15:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	9	$317	163	163	+0	open	—	04-24 20:46
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	3	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	04-05 22:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	04-01 19:03
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	3	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	06-04 03:53
will bitcoin reach 70k february 23 march 1	72	$279	144	144	+0	open	—	03-01 23:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$264	145	145	+0	open	—	05-31 10:07
will iran strike israel on march 4	3	$261	261	0	+261	open	—	03-06 20:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$252	188	69	+119	open	—	07-04 20:08
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	7	$251	146	146	+0	open	—	05-20 04:26
will ethereum dip to 1700 february 23 march 1	6	$245	125	125	+0	open	—	03-02 01:37
will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	18	$244	157	146	+11	open	—	06-04 03:04
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	10	$242	122	122	+0	open	—	05-18 05:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	24	$240	176	172	+4	open	—	04-10 20:30
will ethereum dip to 2100 april 13 19	4	$240	121	121	+0	open	—	04-20 01:05
will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 17	71	$238	120	120	+0	open	—	04-18 00:46
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	11	$228	150	95	+55	open	—	06-17 19:16
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	3	$221	221	0	+221	open	—	03-12 18:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	7	$217	123	98	+25	open	—	04-28 10:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$217	111	111	+0	open	—	05-18 03:11
iran closes its airspace by june 15	3	$210	210	0	+210	open	—	06-08 01:01
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$201	201	0	+201	open	—	01-17 05:22
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$201	202	0	+202	open	—	04-07 17:29
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	6	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	06-17 22:00
enl eas tam 2026 04 18 eas	4	$199	120	80	+40	open	—	04-18 16:50
will solana dip to 70 february 23 march 1	6	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	03-01 19:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	6	$178	93	87	+6	open	—	06-20 03:21
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	7	$170	86	86	+0	open	—	05-31 16:02
cwbb cabap ucla 2026 03 21	3	$170	170	0	+170	open	—	03-18 21:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 12:08:16	will pete hegseth sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950070	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcac7f6…
07-12 12:05:56	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf26249…
07-12 12:02:02	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x9ce667…
07-12 05:40:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc46a56…
07-12 00:09:02	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	Gable Steveson	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x28b268…
07-12 00:08:52	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	Gable Steveson	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0xe2c544…
07-10 17:28:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd698c3…
07-10 15:32:28	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Benoît Saint Denis	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xc2af94…
07-10 15:19:04	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x374680…
07-10 14:51:13	ufc cod1 adr 2026 07 11	Adrian Yanez	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x26b724…
07-10 14:09:58	ufc cod1 adr 2026 07 11	Adrian Yanez	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xbb2b8f…
07-10 12:11:41	ufc cod1 adr 2026 07 11	Adrian Yanez	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x0abf91…
07-10 02:25:50	ufc kai2 luk12 2026 07 11	Luke Riley	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x1d98b9…
07-10 02:24:52	ufc bra6 lon 2026 07 11	Lone'er Kavanagh	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x61d7f9…
07-10 02:21:28	ufc bra6 lon 2026 07 11	Lone'er Kavanagh	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x7910d0…
07-10 01:50:16	ufc bra6 lon 2026 07 11	Lone'er Kavanagh	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x713a8c…
07-09 19:39:01	ufc kai2 luk12 2026 07 11	Luke Riley	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x741b56…
07-08 22:20:37	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd80d8b…
07-08 22:16:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7edb75…
07-08 14:14:52	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x00b97d…
07-08 12:37:37	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952743	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x709acd…
07-08 12:37:05	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952745	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa0110b…
07-07 20:09:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xff90b1…
07-07 20:09:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x06423b…
07-07 20:08:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d7014…
07-07 19:48:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997 185	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf88da2…
07-07 17:27:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf61f3d…
07-07 17:27:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2bbe56…
07-07 17:27:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa31d5c…
07-07 17:27:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc54dbe…
07-07 17:27:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9096de…
07-07 15:29:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xc9f2e7…
07-07 15:28:53	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xdcb531…
07-07 01:40:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc88f1b…
07-06 02:53:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x137b5a…
07-06 02:41:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef1712…
07-06 02:41:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c4b39…
07-06 02:39:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xabe7e5…
07-05 18:43:25	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdfcb16…
07-05 18:29:34	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x70bba6…
07-05 17:21:23	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x30d9fb…
07-05 14:58:59	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6eab5d…
07-05 13:54:07	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xf5a4ef…
07-05 05:38:13	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xec4e89…
07-05 05:08:32	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xebd617…
07-05 05:02:40	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x646f36…
07-05 03:57:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xe6605b…
07-05 03:56:49	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x94afa1…
07-04 21:33:49	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x08785b…
07-04 21:33:47	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x51ef8d…
07-04 21:33:46	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x1d9384…
07-04 20:08:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$65	0x89ddf0…
07-04 19:54:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x199774…
07-04 19:48:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4d3c52…
07-04 06:12:59	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x9964e0…
07-04 06:12:47	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x08010c…
07-04 05:57:11	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x01550c…
07-04 03:42:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf17eb5…
07-04 02:59:14	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcbd415…
07-04 02:59:14	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbbd2ec…
07-04 01:08:43	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x1ae0a9…
07-01 20:45:47	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x9bcd82…
07-01 16:09:02	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x20bccc…
07-01 16:02:29	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa6f617…
07-01 15:17:55	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe4d074…
07-01 15:16:38	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdb487…
07-01 14:07:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb67f0a…
07-01 14:07:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xb7fef2…
07-01 14:07:17	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x5d326e…
07-01 14:07:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf83f3e…
07-01 13:53:23	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc95b44…
07-01 13:53:20	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x3e7265…
07-01 10:13:44	will openais valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf7f9c3…
07-01 09:12:44	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xea50a3…
06-29 08:18:17	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd4b420…
06-29 01:58:17	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7e2261…
06-29 01:58:16	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9850a7…
06-29 00:29:59	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74ddea…
06-28 16:44:52	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33d3e6…
06-28 16:42:02	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6640de…
06-28 07:22:14	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x84dcc0…
06-28 03:41:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x51c31b…
06-24 18:47:35	will openais valuation hit low 600b by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc0a5f…
06-24 16:09:46	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x71ec83…
06-24 14:44:14	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x23b751…
06-24 14:32:11	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x02bb93…
06-24 06:16:35	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd35e48…
06-24 06:15:32	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac28ba…
06-24 05:41:07	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf43e67…
06-24 05:11:52	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x82331d…
06-24 03:18:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7aea5…
06-24 03:14:59	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3dc316…
06-24 02:51:50	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47d8a6…
06-24 02:41:13	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb2ada9…
06-24 02:13:55	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x43d906…
06-24 01:00:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x91aae8…
06-24 00:50:01	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8a744f…
06-24 00:22:05	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe9d3b5…
06-24 00:22:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xeaee54…
06-23 21:31:50	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e29cb…