Realized P&L
+$130.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$600
Hit rate
88.3%
Resolved
992
Trades
40,199
lifetime
Volume
$3.19M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$79
Open exposure
$0
1 position
First seen
2026-01-15
last 07-24 14:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Politics
69%
69%
+$22,803
Crypto
17%
34%
+$102,923
Other
9%
68%
+$212
Sports
5%
76%
+$2,895
Tech
0%
75%
+$1,599
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | +0 | -$600 | 96¢ | $0 | +$600 | 07-02 08:04 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 301 | $843.4K | 490,088 | 390,088 | +100,000 | Yes | +$5,200 | 03-04 00:19 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 269 | $545.1K | 532,456 | 229,960 | +302,495 | Yes | +$110 | 04-08 00:04 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 142 | $181.9K | 106,923 | 99,568 | +7,355 | No | +$2,002 | 04-01 16:15 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 1 | $169.5K | 170,000 | 0 | +170,000 | No | +$510 | 04-29 22:56 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 170 | $158.3K | 155,461 | 108,485 | +46,976 | Yes | +$7,784 | 04-07 23:17 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 3 | $105.8K | 55,555 | 55,555 | +0 | No | -$96 | 03-17 09:25 |
| will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | 1 | $94.9K | 95,000 | 0 | +95,000 | Yes | +$95 | 07-08 23:56 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1 | $82.4K | 82,492 | 0 | +82,492 | Yes | +$82 | 06-17 15:08 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 2 | $79.7K | 80,497 | 0 | +80,497 | No | +$829 | 06-04 00:27 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | 11 | $71.9K | 72,000 | 0 | +72,000 | No | +$72 | 05-30 18:40 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026 | 90 | $53.4K | 137,426 | 75,807 | +61,618 | No | -$8,296 | 04-15 21:59 |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1 | $50.0K | 50,000 | 0 | +50,000 | No | +$50 | 03-31 22:29 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 19 | $43.3K | 23,750 | 23,750 | +0 | Yes | +$135 | 02-28 22:20 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 70 | $41.8K | 22,222 | 22,222 | +0 | open | — | 07-02 08:04 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 1 | $31.4K | 33,333 | 0 | +33,333 | No | +$1,900 | 02-28 21:38 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 226 | $28.4K | 81,225 | 81,225 | +0 | Yes | +$2,453 | 04-07 22:46 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:40 UTC | 21 | $28.1K | 30,792 | 0 | +30,792 | Down | +$2,737 | 03-07 22:45 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 81 | $22.3K | 22,252 | 22,252 | +0 | Yes | +$1,095 | 04-05 03:52 |
| andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129 | 55 | $20.6K | 14,561 | 12,547 | +2,014 | Yes | +$1,945 | 03-12 23:52 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 185 | $14.2K | 86,787 | 86,787 | +0 | No | +$349 | 03-27 16:47 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 19:00 UTC | 120 | $11.3K | 12,600 | 2,584 | +10,016 | Up | +$3,034 | 01-19 19:14 |
| fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 5pt5 | 8 | $10.8K | 10,850 | 0 | +10,850 | Over | +$35 | 06-18 23:54 |
| nba cha min 2026 04 05 spread away 4pt5 | 11 | $10.7K | 44,044 | 0 | +44,044 | Hornets | +$52 | 04-06 01:21 |
| ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars | 1 | $8.0K | 8,338 | 0 | +8,338 | Yes | +$334 | 04-07 20:53 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 84 | $7.6K | 16,713 | 16,648 | +65 | Yes | +$416 | 04-06 02:25 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 06:05 UTC | 69 | $6.8K | 7,803 | 0 | +7,803 | Down | +$1,047 | 04-11 06:10 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 01:35 UTC | 20 | $6.7K | 7,635 | 0 | +7,635 | Down | +$6 | 04-03 01:40 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 02:45 UTC | 63 | $6.4K | 19,429 | 1,269 | +18,160 | Down | +$10,103 | 01-20 02:58 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 16:45 UTC | 103 | $5.9K | 4,480 | 4,452 | +28 | Down | -$1,167 | 01-17 16:56 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | 4 | $5.9K | 5,976 | 3,648 | +2,328 | No | +$1,726 | 06-02 23:23 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||