Fatal-Pottery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.27K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,211

lifetime

Volume

$34.2M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10.6K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-08 04:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

72% 100% +$633

Other

22% 100% +$4,634

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 339 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	137	$1.97M	1,771,935	200,000	+1,571,935	open	—	04-08 21:17
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$1.89M	1,895,236	0	+1,895,236	open	—	04-29 05:06
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	61	$1.77M	1,768,391	0	+1,768,391	open	—	03-24 18:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	188	$1.67M	1,698,111	26,625	+1,671,486	open	—	06-02 09:20
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	210	$1.61M	1,616,137	0	+1,616,137	open	—	03-12 08:58
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	30	$1.54M	1,544,759	0	+1,544,759	Yes	+$4,634	05-03 12:45
will iran strike israel on march 10	60	$1.47M	1,470,551	0	+1,470,551	open	—	03-16 19:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$1.41M	1,410,550	0	+1,410,550	open	—	04-01 23:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	167	$1.39M	1,395,960	0	+1,395,960	open	—	04-09 02:53
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$1.37M	1,375,497	0	+1,375,497	open	—	03-04 18:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	261	$1.30M	747,161	575,000	+172,161	open	—	03-29 06:49
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	70	$1.24M	1,246,007	0	+1,246,007	open	—	04-20 20:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	160	$1.24M	1,250,496	0	+1,250,496	open	—	03-03 19:24
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	15	$1.04M	1,038,137	0	+1,038,137	open	—	05-29 21:21
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	105	$1.03M	994,343	38,175	+956,168	open	—	04-01 06:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	135	$801.3K	802,637	0	+802,637	open	—	02-28 08:59
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	114	$799.0K	799,835	0	+799,835	open	—	03-18 20:53
will trump say waste this week march 1	81	$794.5K	796,292	0	+796,292	open	—	03-05 14:07
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	130	$786.4K	787,225	0	+787,225	open	—	04-17 00:46
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	115	$771.3K	772,425	0	+772,425	open	—	02-28 06:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	15	$632.0K	632,595	0	+632,595	Yes	+$633	05-09 19:45
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$572.2K	572,723	0	+572,723	open	—	06-08 04:48
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	1	$546.3K	547,420	0	+547,420	open	—	05-11 21:51
will iran strike israel on march 6	45	$468.4K	469,126	0	+469,126	open	—	03-11 08:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	30	$439.4K	439,986	0	+439,986	open	—	03-15 19:34
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	93	$428.9K	429,309	0	+429,309	open	—	02-27 07:32
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	69	$398.4K	398,836	0	+398,836	open	—	05-21 13:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$357.8K	358,176	0	+358,176	open	—	06-01 03:05
will gta 6 cost 100	124	$337.7K	338,473	0	+338,473	open	—	02-28 23:37
will iran strike israel on march 3	5	$299.7K	300,000	0	+300,000	open	—	03-06 20:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 04:48:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	572,723	100¢	$572,150	0xfffe3d…
06-02 09:20:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	174	99¢	$173	0x83c452…
06-02 08:32:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86,124	99¢	$85,607	0x53af82…
06-02 08:32:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	83,333	99¢	$82,833	0xb2b766…
06-02 08:32:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	166,667	99¢	$165,667	0x5e54b3…
06-02 08:32:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	357	99¢	$355	0x16c813…
06-02 08:31:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	166,667	99¢	$165,667	0x6c76ea…
06-02 08:31:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x373d23…
06-02 08:31:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcce2a7…
06-02 08:31:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x727efb…
06-02 08:31:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	103,551	99¢	$102,930	0xbf4ea4…
06-02 05:10:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x3ce88d…
06-02 05:04:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14,063	100¢	$14,006	0x27fbeb…
06-02 05:04:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,195	100¢	$1,190	0xbe4004…
06-02 05:03:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	743	100¢	$740	0xf2494d…
06-02 05:03:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,960	0x7ac23e…
06-02 05:03:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,138	100¢	$1,133	0x1b217f…
06-02 05:03:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,619	100¢	$3,604	0xde2dc0…
06-02 05:03:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0xd5b2be…
06-02 05:03:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$598	0x26b049…
06-02 05:02:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x360918…
06-02 05:02:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x1ea874…
06-02 05:02:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,960	0xc3a302…
06-02 05:02:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	755	100¢	$752	0x39979f…
06-02 05:02:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x750689…
06-02 05:01:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0xba9171…
06-02 05:01:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	764	100¢	$761	0x053edf…
06-02 05:01:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	76,412	100¢	$76,107	0xdd5ddd…
06-02 05:01:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	750	100¢	$747	0x9f3df7…
06-02 05:01:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,490	0xa034d1…
06-02 05:01:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0xa6a372…
06-02 05:01:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12,500	100¢	$12,450	0x9595af…
06-02 05:00:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,490	0x90da8a…
06-02 05:00:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x4266e2…
06-02 05:00:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,453	100¢	$1,447	0xbef20f…
06-02 04:46:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500,000	100¢	$498,500	0x4d8f1a…
06-01 20:07:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,025	100¢	$1,023	0x8ae0e2…
06-01 20:07:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x9c073e…
06-01 20:06:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4d1733…
06-01 20:06:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x6ee57b…
06-01 20:06:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,500	100¢	$3,493	0x5fc42d…
06-01 20:06:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xfd1169…
06-01 20:06:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xc3bfc0…
06-01 20:05:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,048	0x85902d…
06-01 20:05:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,800	100¢	$4,790	0x53a58b…
06-01 20:05:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	880	100¢	$878	0x4f900c…
06-01 20:05:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	900	100¢	$898	0xe70cac…
06-01 20:05:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,805	100¢	$4,795	0x5812c8…
06-01 20:05:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	507	100¢	$506	0xe03597…
06-01 20:05:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,600	100¢	$3,593	0x1e3e4e…
06-01 20:04:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	900	100¢	$898	0xd138ac…
06-01 20:04:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xc26a58…
06-01 20:04:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,500	100¢	$4,491	0x6b65fe…
06-01 20:04:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	950	100¢	$948	0x813859…
06-01 20:04:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,400	100¢	$3,393	0xa49282…
06-01 20:04:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x4f0446…
06-01 20:03:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,208	100¢	$5,197	0xf07cef…
06-01 20:03:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	888	100¢	$886	0x3c0629…
06-01 20:03:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x4bbcfd…
06-01 20:02:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47,600	100¢	$47,505	0x9c575d…
06-01 20:02:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf01520…
06-01 20:02:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$60	0x76d532…
06-01 20:02:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x3c36c1…
06-01 20:02:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,390	100¢	$7,375	0x9c0213…
06-01 20:01:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xb6c620…
06-01 20:01:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x986881…
06-01 20:01:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,500	100¢	$3,493	0xb0af1a…
06-01 20:01:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0xb7e7bc…
06-01 20:01:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xef543b…
06-01 20:01:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,980	0x761b64…
06-01 20:01:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,992	0x6d88aa…
06-01 20:00:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x09fe2f…
06-01 20:00:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xd0900d…
06-01 20:00:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x0ea630…
06-01 20:00:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,960	0x88983e…
06-01 20:00:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x15e681…
06-01 20:00:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,859	100¢	$3,852	0xadf120…
06-01 19:59:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x6982f6…
06-01 19:59:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x0a2f46…
06-01 19:59:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ba924…
06-01 19:59:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x7be783…
06-01 19:59:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x49dea6…
06-01 19:58:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbd44c7…
06-01 19:58:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8befe3…
06-01 19:58:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4c0182…
06-01 19:58:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0x21359a…
06-01 19:57:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,497	0x4535d9…
06-01 19:57:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb3ac30…
06-01 19:57:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	650	100¢	$649	0x0dec0c…
06-01 19:57:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,590	100¢	$2,585	0x83b9d7…
06-01 19:57:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x4586b5…
06-01 19:56:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x7ebe60…
06-01 19:56:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x6ed401…
06-01 19:56:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46,650	100¢	$46,557	0x6fc0ea…
06-01 19:56:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b2232…
06-01 19:56:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,980	0xc64f10…
06-01 19:55:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x88ce3e…
06-01 19:55:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0xab9728…
06-01 19:55:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	447	100¢	$446	0x4ecdbf…
06-01 19:54:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x49f1c9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x5449…992b	58	$42.4K	13,235	06-04 00:17
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	56	$28.8M	32,915	06-08 04:00
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	56	$314.7K	22,387	06-07 23:31
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	55	$181.4K	14,490	03-28 06:05
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	54	$824.5K	12,048	06-07 23:31
Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021	54	$135.9K	2,221	06-03 15:46
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	53	$245.8K	813	06-07 21:42
Trained-Villa 0x0bfb…26a7	53	$218.7K	1,344	06-08 04:17