Fatal-Pottery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.27K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,645

lifetime

Volume

$38.9M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10.7K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 07-22 21:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

72% 100% +$633

Other

19% 100% +$4,634

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 246 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	137	$1.97M	1,771,935	200,000	+1,571,935	open	—	04-08 21:17
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$1.89M	1,895,236	0	+1,895,236	open	—	04-29 05:06
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	61	$1.77M	1,768,391	0	+1,768,391	open	—	03-24 18:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	188	$1.67M	1,698,111	26,625	+1,671,486	open	—	06-02 09:20
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	210	$1.61M	1,616,137	0	+1,616,137	open	—	03-12 08:58
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	30	$1.54M	1,544,759	0	+1,544,759	Yes	+$4,634	05-03 12:45
will iran strike israel on march 10	60	$1.47M	1,470,551	0	+1,470,551	open	—	03-16 19:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$1.41M	1,410,550	0	+1,410,550	open	—	04-01 23:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	167	$1.39M	1,395,960	0	+1,395,960	open	—	04-09 02:53
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$1.37M	1,375,497	0	+1,375,497	open	—	03-04 18:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	261	$1.30M	747,161	575,000	+172,161	open	—	03-29 06:49
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	1	$1.25M	1,255,975	0	+1,255,975	open	—	07-07 20:52
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	70	$1.24M	1,246,007	0	+1,246,007	open	—	04-20 20:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	160	$1.24M	1,250,496	0	+1,250,496	open	—	03-03 19:24
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	92	$1.16M	1,158,352	0	+1,158,352	open	—	07-22 21:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	228	$1.06M	1,081,622	0	+1,081,622	open	—	06-17 06:10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	15	$1.04M	1,038,137	0	+1,038,137	open	—	05-29 21:21
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	105	$1.03M	994,343	38,175	+956,168	open	—	04-01 06:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	94	$989.4K	994,954	0	+994,954	open	—	06-17 15:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	135	$801.3K	802,637	0	+802,637	open	—	02-28 08:59
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	114	$799.0K	799,835	0	+799,835	open	—	03-18 20:53
will trump say waste this week march 1	81	$794.5K	796,292	0	+796,292	open	—	03-05 14:07
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	130	$786.4K	787,225	0	+787,225	open	—	04-17 00:46
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	115	$771.3K	772,425	0	+772,425	open	—	02-28 06:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	15	$632.0K	632,595	0	+632,595	Yes	+$633	05-09 19:45
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$572.2K	572,723	0	+572,723	open	—	06-08 04:48
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	1	$546.3K	547,420	0	+547,420	open	—	05-11 21:51
will iran strike israel on march 6	45	$468.4K	469,126	0	+469,126	open	—	03-11 08:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	30	$439.4K	439,986	0	+439,986	open	—	03-15 19:34
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	93	$428.9K	429,309	0	+429,309	open	—	02-27 07:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 21:12:18	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	601,349	100¢	$600,747	0x30c0db…
07-21 19:47:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	123,558	100¢	$123,187	0xd9e62f…
07-21 19:46:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,047	0xf0f12b…
07-21 19:45:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x70b33e…
07-21 19:33:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xf867aa…
07-21 11:59:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	10,397	100¢	$10,365	0x560523…
07-21 11:59:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,333	100¢	$3,323	0x998ce1…
07-21 11:57:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,077	100¢	$3,067	0xf62ea9…
07-21 11:55:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	667	100¢	$665	0xfb6024…
07-21 11:55:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0xad6fc1…
07-21 11:53:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x17cc51…
07-21 11:50:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,670	100¢	$1,665	0x0e94e2…
07-21 11:48:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,667	100¢	$1,662	0x3775ed…
07-21 11:47:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,158	100¢	$1,154	0xb19bcc…
07-21 11:47:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	714	100¢	$712	0xd91fde…
07-21 11:45:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	6,817	100¢	$6,796	0xa89ea2…
07-21 11:43:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,991	0x303525…
07-21 11:39:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	10,070	100¢	$10,040	0x0009c8…
07-21 11:37:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x990bde…
07-21 11:36:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,580	100¢	$1,575	0x7dfe50…
07-21 11:35:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xe3145e…
07-21 11:33:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	106,667	100¢	$106,347	0x0196dd…
07-21 11:33:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	4,100	100¢	$4,088	0xe63fb8…
07-21 11:32:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,991	0x7ffd86…
07-21 11:31:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	6,666	100¢	$6,646	0x680a0a…
07-21 08:50:24	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	5,047	100¢	$5,032	0x13f576…
07-21 08:49:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xb2c3f6…
07-21 08:49:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x915e79…
07-21 08:46:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	17,820	100¢	$17,767	0xb160d7…
07-21 08:45:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	340	100¢	$339	0x8e666e…
07-21 08:43:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xf1d2db…
07-21 08:40:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	9,310	100¢	$9,282	0x320430…
07-21 08:40:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	4,014	100¢	$4,002	0x7ff977…
07-21 08:37:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	9,377	100¢	$9,349	0xd53d70…
07-21 08:37:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,333	100¢	$3,323	0x1a8df7…
07-21 08:35:42	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,333	100¢	$1,329	0x98e919…
07-21 08:32:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	6,127	100¢	$6,108	0xf0af2c…
07-21 08:32:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	33,333	100¢	$33,233	0xe6e2b5…
07-21 08:28:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xe9f843…
07-21 08:14:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x215db8…
07-21 08:07:42	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	340	100¢	$339	0x8a807a…
07-21 08:07:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x499c5b…
07-21 08:06:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x5e20ed…
07-21 08:05:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	8,407	100¢	$8,381	0x10e7aa…
07-21 08:05:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0xd6e855…
07-21 08:04:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb93812…
07-21 08:03:40	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,333	100¢	$3,323	0x936f03…
07-21 08:02:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x289c14…
07-21 08:00:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	4,077	100¢	$4,064	0x8a6bcb…
07-21 07:57:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,970	0x89587f…
07-21 07:57:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7c51dc…
07-21 07:55:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x403c65…
07-21 07:54:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,333	100¢	$3,323	0x3d7beb…
07-21 07:48:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	667	100¢	$665	0x76418e…
07-21 07:48:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6844ff…
07-21 07:46:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,333	100¢	$3,323	0xca3cc1…
07-21 07:43:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	559	100¢	$557	0xb918aa…
07-21 07:43:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	5,273	100¢	$5,258	0x5d7616…
07-21 07:41:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,493	100¢	$1,489	0xb1643e…
07-21 07:41:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,991	0x087bc4…
07-21 07:40:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2,246	100¢	$2,239	0x053c1b…
07-21 07:39:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x7bb5f6…
07-21 07:36:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2,040	100¢	$2,034	0x97ecbf…
07-21 07:33:31	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,497	100¢	$1,492	0x75d74e…
07-21 07:30:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,333	100¢	$3,323	0x8ad6b8…
07-21 07:29:16	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,450	100¢	$1,446	0x5a1bb4…
07-21 07:27:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,242	100¢	$3,232	0x2daa8f…
07-21 07:25:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,496	0x5fba0b…
07-21 07:25:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x37946c…
07-21 07:24:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,333	100¢	$3,323	0x86625b…
07-21 07:23:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	700	100¢	$698	0x365029…
07-21 07:22:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,117	100¢	$3,107	0x8aa10b…
07-21 07:19:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0xf84f34…
07-21 07:17:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	9,087	100¢	$9,059	0xcb0e18…
07-21 07:16:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x57a729…
07-21 06:51:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x3e3805…
07-21 06:50:31	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x597a56…
07-21 06:48:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	383	100¢	$382	0x1da17a…
07-21 06:48:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	29,553	100¢	$29,465	0x4d4610…
07-21 06:46:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xf85488…
07-21 06:43:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,757	100¢	$1,751	0x4af648…
07-21 06:43:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x973668…
07-21 06:41:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x51e131…
07-21 06:36:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0xb2cc76…
07-21 06:34:55	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,970	0x8f614e…
07-21 06:34:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0xd43592…
07-21 06:33:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	8,333	100¢	$8,308	0x721e95…
07-21 06:33:18	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x25fec3…
07-21 06:33:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	4,787	100¢	$4,772	0x23edd0…
07-21 06:32:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x74e894…
07-21 06:27:55	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	31,667	100¢	$31,572	0x34a495…
07-21 06:27:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	720	100¢	$718	0x7d2902…
07-07 20:52:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,255,975	100¢	$1,254,719	0xf5a877…
06-17 15:39:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15,819	100¢	$15,804	0x466efc…
06-17 15:37:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x4f36c6…
06-17 15:36:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85,000	100¢	$84,915	0x7c6ec0…
06-17 15:36:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	760	100¢	$759	0x396fb8…
06-17 15:36:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,743	100¢	$2,740	0x09de50…
06-17 15:36:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x16852b…
06-17 15:33:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe12e56…