Realized P&L
-$110.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$17.4K
Hit rate
44.4%
Resolved
47
Trades
899
lifetime
Volume
$1.41M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.57K
Open exposure
$147.4K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-28 21:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Politics
81% 40% -$92,463
Other
19% 40% -$17,637
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -45,100 -$44,034 99¢ $-44536 -$501 05-11 18:49
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +35,251 $24,323 72¢ $25.2K +$881 09-24 19:35
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +35,212 $24,588 57¢ $20.2K -$4,342 10-03 22:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -83,398 -$2,026 18¢ $-15429 -$13,403 06-14 21:34
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +15,000 $13,650 92¢ $13.7K +$75 10-07 16:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -10,000 -$6,800 96¢ $-9615 -$2,815 05-08 12:55
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +13,000 $9,612 72¢ $9.3K -$317 10-28 21:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +23,643 $6,577 17¢ $4.0K -$2,558 09-19 23:13
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,836 $3,337 92¢ $3.5K +$192 10-04 23:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +28,126 $4,419 4¢ $1.3K -$3,153 05-07 20:36
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +11,860 $755 4¢ $534 -$222 09-19 23:14
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $102 2¢ $22 -$80 10-28 19:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7 -$3,969 75¢ $5 +$3,974 10-28 16:37
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 -$5,440 96¢ $1 +$5,441 09-28 18:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1 $549 66¢ $0 -$549 09-24 19:36