Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$461
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
109
lifetime
Volume
$154.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.42K
Open exposure
$140.3K
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 06-26 14:24
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
61%
Other
39%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +60,000 $52,800 86¢ $51.9K $-900 06-26 05:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +34,326 $30,407 88¢ $30.0K $-372 06-26 13:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +20,000 $18,880 96¢ $19.3K +$390 06-26 14:24
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +12,000 $11,232 94¢ $11.3K +$102 06-22 11:55
Trump out as President before 2027? No +12,000 $10,800 92¢ $11.0K +$180 06-22 02:04
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +9,220 $8,482 94¢ $8.6K +$161 06-07 23:44
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +6,498 $5,655 86¢ $5.6K $-34 06-26 05:59
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,728 $1,444 84¢ $1.5K +$8 06-26 05:49
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +1,002 $942 94¢ $944 +$2 06-26 05:53
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +100 $96 97¢ $97 +$1 06-22 00:37