Realized P&L
-$240.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$6.49K
Hit rate
86.8%
Resolved
388
Trades
14,712
lifetime
Volume
$20.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.36K
Open exposure
$370.7K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-28 02:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Other
65% 75% -$186,859
Politics
34% 90% +$196,756
Sports
1% 40% -$255,872
Crypto
0% 100% +$5,301
Tech
0% 100% +$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 367 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100,000 $93,000 99¢ $99.0K +$6,000 10-27 23:11
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -86,399 -$75,167 97¢ $-83504 -$8,337 05-10 15:38
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +50,640 $43,811 95¢ $48.1K +$4,297 10-28 02:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -50,000 -$51,300 82¢ $-40750 +$10,550 08-31 19:04
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +38,479 $30,356 96¢ $36.8K +$6,430 10-26 14:36
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -30,000 -$24,000 92¢ $-27450 -$3,450 05-24 07:54
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +22,659 $19,620 96¢ $21.7K +$2,054 10-28 00:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +15,404 $36,910 54¢ $8.2K -$28,669 10-28 03:15
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +5,355 $4,213 96¢ $5.1K +$929 08-25 15:27
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 16¢ $-2 -$1 08-04 16:15
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 -$1 12¢ $-1 +$0 08-04 16:15
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 08-04 16:15
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 08-04 16:15
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-04 16:15
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-04 16:15
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 08-04 16:15
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-04 16:15
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-04 16:17
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-04 16:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +0 -$3,710 94¢ $0 +$3,710 10-26 16:07
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 08-04 16:16
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 08-04 16:17
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 08-04 16:17
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 08-04 16:17
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 08-04 16:16
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 08-04 16:17
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 08-04 16:17
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 08-04 16:15