Flustered-Impala — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.17K

Unrealized P&L

+$5.12K

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

Trades

505

lifetime

Volume

$469.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$929

Open exposure

$44.7K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-15 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

91% 60% $-5,174

Politics

9% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+44,765	$39,576	100¢	$44.7K	+$5,122	06-11 20:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	70	$132.2K	74,610	74,610	+0	open	—	05-27 17:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	19	$47.5K	26,782	26,782	+0	open	—	05-10 22:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	35	$42.7K	26,582	26,582	+0	open	—	04-27 20:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$42.5K	56,265	11,500	+44,765	open	—	06-11 20:32
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	11	$34.0K	17,243	18,410	-1,167	open	—	06-02 00:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	9	$33.1K	7,346	26,550	-19,203	open	—	06-07 19:14
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	12	$12.6K	7,197	7,197	+0	open	—	05-30 11:51
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	11	$10.6K	5,480	5,480	+0	Vitality	+$323	05-11 22:38
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	39	$10.0K	7,393	7,393	+0	open	—	05-24 18:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	6	$9.7K	5,875	5,875	+0	open	—	04-07 22:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$8.2K	6,581	5,751	+830	open	—	04-07 23:09
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	20	$8.1K	10,316	0	+10,316	open	—	05-03 18:01
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	14	$7.0K	4,414	4,414	+0	open	—	05-01 16:50
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$6.9K	3,849	3,849	+0	open	—	04-01 01:32
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	4	$6.8K	7,736	0	+7,736	open	—	05-02 21:57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	15	$6.2K	6,184	6,184	+0	open	—	04-07 22:42
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	10	$6.2K	7,100	0	+7,100	open	—	04-29 23:39
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$5.5K	5,891	0	+5,891	BetBoom Team	$-5,463	05-11 22:40
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	1	$5.0K	6,180	0	+6,180	open	—	04-29 16:56
cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	3	$4.8K	2,792	2,769	+23	open	—	04-19 20:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$3.2K	2,045	2,045	+0	open	—	03-27 14:02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$1.7K	1,791	1,791	+0	open	—	03-09 02:55
cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07	2	$1.5K	1,042	1,042	+0	open	—	06-07 21:38
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	11	$1.4K	1,272	830	+442	open	—	04-30 01:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$1.4K	2,766	2,766	+0	open	—	04-07 22:36
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	2	$1.3K	855	855	+0	open	—	04-01 01:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	3	$1.3K	822	822	+0	open	—	03-27 14:02
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$1.2K	801	801	+0	open	—	03-05 18:21
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$1.2K	854	854	+0	open	—	03-08 23:28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	6	$1.2K	751	751	+0	open	—	05-02 19:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 16:13:57	cs2 navi g2 2026 06 15	Natus Vincere	BUY	1,216	65¢	$790	0xa8bbda…
06-15 13:37:12	cs2 bb3 fut 2026 06 15	FUT Esports	BUY	273	55¢	$150	0x7bf027…
06-14 18:24:04	cs2 navi fal2 2026 06 14	Natus Vincere	BUY	181	32¢	$58	0x2fdb2a…
06-13 20:35:30	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 13	Spirit	BUY	278	27¢	$75	0x0e0c46…
06-13 14:47:01	cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13	MOUZ	BUY	320	15¢	$48	0x432cdd…
06-13 14:19:16	cs2 fal2 mnte 2026 06 13	Monte	BUY	178	31¢	$55	0x0975bb…
06-13 11:05:42	cs2 b8 fut 2026 06 13	FUT Esports	BUY	307	76¢	$233	0x4f8f25…
06-12 18:27:00	cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12	Spirit	BUY	711	57¢	$405	0x8603fa…
06-12 17:08:46	cs2 vit 9z 2026 06 12 game1	9z	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xab6229…
06-12 17:01:54	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12	Team Falcons	SELL	392	6¢	$24	0x20f907…
06-12 16:55:28	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12	Team Falcons	BUY	392	22¢	$85	0x14201d…
06-11 20:32:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4,000	78¢	$3,120	0x03de26…
06-11 12:20:00	cs2 vit fut 2026 06 11	FUT Esports	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x017be4…
06-08 19:18:45	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	M80	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x85c1b6…
06-08 19:03:09	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	M80	BUY	173	11¢	$19	0x6b5da5…
06-08 18:21:46	cs2 g2 big5 2026 06 08	BIG	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xf888fa…
06-08 17:33:21	cs2 g2 big5 2026 06 08	BIG	BUY	148	21¢	$31	0x10fe0b…
06-08 13:44:12	cs2 mibr b8 2026 06 08	MIBR	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xa31cae…
06-07 21:38:52	cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07	FUT Esports	SELL	1,042	99¢	$1,031	0x87facd…
06-07 19:23:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	29,145	90¢	$26,230	0x3336d9…
06-07 19:14:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	16,080	99¢	$15,887	0x77fd98…
06-07 19:12:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0x542a13…
06-07 18:51:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	562	99¢	$556	0x595fa0…
06-07 18:36:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0xd43f32…
06-07 18:29:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x2e1c8a…
06-07 18:24:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x98c241…
06-07 18:06:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1ff60e…
06-07 17:58:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	9,590	99¢	$9,474	0xb8d0c2…
06-07 17:18:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	11,620	88¢	$10,226	0xb3b446…
06-07 17:17:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	11,500	12¢	$1,380	0xd51844…
06-07 17:17:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	11,500	13¢	$1,495	0x8f97a4…
06-07 16:58:54	cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07	FUT Esports	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0xa87daa…
06-06 19:24:57	cs2 b8 m80 2026 06 06	B8	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x426f72…
06-06 15:20:39	cs2 fut tyloo 2026 06 06	FUT Esports	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x74d599…
06-06 14:01:48	cs2 ts7 bb3 2026 06 06	Spirit	BUY	246	61¢	$150	0x900ddc…
06-04 15:38:57	cs2 mibr lvg 2026 06 04	Lynn Vision	BUY	155	26¢	$40	0xb4c9be…
06-04 15:24:07	cs2 gl1 big5 2026 06 04	GamerLegion	BUY	275	43¢	$118	0xebda05…
06-03 18:55:54	Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x23d86b…
06-03 18:55:43	Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	47	35¢	$16	0x9be519…
06-03 18:55:31	Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	32	35¢	$11	0x0669c6…
06-03 18:55:28	Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x22fce2…
06-02 19:30:34	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BetBoom Team	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x889b06…
06-02 19:30:29	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BetBoom Team	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xf0d3fb…
06-02 15:54:15	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	SELL	343	100¢	$343	0x447db9…
06-02 00:11:45	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	343	66¢	$226	0xa93e7c…
06-02 00:10:40	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	2,444	99¢	$2,427	0x81b803…
05-31 18:55:46	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xac0127…
05-30 18:23:14	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7fce19…
05-30 12:59:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	7,346	93¢	$6,832	0xc7c4aa…
05-30 11:51:04	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	6,496	99¢	$6,411	0x34c9ef…
05-30 11:11:04	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	274	99¢	$271	0x110ebe…
05-30 11:02:30	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	153	99¢	$151	0xdeec75…
05-29 18:35:53	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0xea9eeb…
05-28 14:19:59	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x51b52c…
05-28 14:08:40	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8e0750…
05-27 17:02:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	16,780	99¢	$16,646	0x7ee08f…
05-26 12:35:36	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x53e4e0…
05-26 04:49:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5,832	97¢	$5,680	0xe5f8ad…
05-26 01:00:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,660	97¢	$2,591	0x8e3b9b…
05-26 00:47:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x2843da…
05-26 00:46:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	8,281	97¢	$8,066	0x813099…
05-25 23:11:03	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	15,952	99¢	$15,761	0x6dc8a8…
05-24 19:53:31	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	16,868	91¢	$15,434	0x5efb4f…
05-24 18:23:09	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xd5e7cb…
05-24 18:22:50	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	318	66¢	$210	0x47b3ca…
05-24 17:53:01	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	291	66¢	$192	0xfb9522…
05-24 17:26:43	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xb62fdf…
05-24 17:26:13	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x50a20a…
05-24 17:25:45	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x5a9487…
05-24 17:25:21	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x94db63…
05-24 17:25:17	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	239	67¢	$159	0x1196bd…
05-24 17:23:01	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	133	93¢	$123	0xcb7925…
05-24 17:18:40	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x809543…
05-24 17:16:32	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	110	92¢	$102	0x57315f…
05-24 17:12:59	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	986	69¢	$680	0xd0422f…
05-24 17:08:20	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xb4d4f4…
05-24 17:06:42	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0xf014ad…
05-24 17:04:21	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	2,600	79¢	$2,054	0x9b0b7d…
05-24 16:57:03	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	1,150	71¢	$816	0x2f47ac…
05-24 16:56:25	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x3076f3…
05-24 16:55:23	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	2,000	78¢	$1,560	0x547f8a…
05-24 16:50:59	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	146	28¢	$41	0x014dd4…
05-24 16:48:34	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	714	28¢	$200	0x66425c…
05-24 16:47:54	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x43c0e0…
05-24 16:40:17	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x6e6034…
05-24 16:35:12	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	132	92¢	$121	0xce1ae4…
05-24 16:31:07	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,683	78¢	$1,312	0x1958f0…
05-23 21:10:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	19,501	80¢	$15,698	0xb6d636…
05-23 21:09:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3,355	80¢	$2,701	0xe64cc7…
05-23 21:05:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$9	0xb9e46c…
05-23 21:05:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	4,535	80¢	$3,651	0x97ff35…
05-23 21:05:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	9,274	81¢	$7,479	0x009c4c…
05-23 15:56:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	22,123	93¢	$20,486	0x18ae9e…
05-23 15:55:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x83ee3a…
05-23 08:57:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	19,568	98¢	$19,099	0xee1b12…
05-23 04:16:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,432	98¢	$1,397	0xe8e048…
05-22 22:24:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xbccf81…
05-20 21:01:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xf9ead2…
05-20 20:50:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0x97b3f1…
05-18 01:38:38	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	887	58¢	$511	0xc97974…