Flustered-Impala — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

Trades

622

lifetime

Volume

$512.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$823

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 08-13 01:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

84% 60% $-5,174

Politics

16% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	70	$132.2K	74,610	74,610	+0	open	—	05-27 17:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	19	$47.5K	26,782	26,782	+0	open	—	05-10 22:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$43.9K	56,265	12,998	+43,267	open	—	07-06 17:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	35	$42.7K	26,582	26,582	+0	open	—	04-27 20:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	93	$36.1K	41,000	4,999	+36,001	open	—	08-13 01:14
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	11	$34.0K	17,243	18,410	-1,167	open	—	06-02 00:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	9	$33.1K	7,346	26,550	-19,203	open	—	06-07 19:14
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	12	$12.6K	7,197	7,197	+0	open	—	05-30 11:51
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	11	$10.6K	5,480	5,480	+0	Vitality	+$323	05-11 22:38
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	39	$10.0K	7,393	7,393	+0	open	—	05-24 18:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	6	$9.7K	5,875	5,875	+0	open	—	04-07 22:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$8.2K	6,581	5,751	+830	open	—	04-07 23:09
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	20	$8.1K	10,316	0	+10,316	open	—	05-03 18:01
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	14	$7.0K	4,414	4,414	+0	open	—	05-01 16:50
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$6.9K	3,849	3,849	+0	open	—	04-01 01:32
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	4	$6.8K	7,736	0	+7,736	open	—	05-02 21:57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	15	$6.2K	6,184	6,184	+0	open	—	04-07 22:42
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	10	$6.2K	7,100	0	+7,100	open	—	04-29 23:39
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$5.5K	5,891	0	+5,891	BetBoom Team	$-5,463	05-11 22:40
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	1	$5.0K	6,180	0	+6,180	open	—	04-29 16:56
cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	3	$4.8K	2,792	2,769	+23	open	—	04-19 20:20
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	19	$4.0K	6,060	0	+6,060	open	—	08-08 21:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$3.2K	2,045	2,045	+0	open	—	03-27 14:02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$1.7K	1,791	1,791	+0	open	—	03-09 02:55
cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07	2	$1.5K	1,042	1,042	+0	open	—	06-07 21:38
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	11	$1.4K	1,272	830	+442	open	—	04-30 01:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$1.4K	2,766	2,766	+0	open	—	04-07 22:36
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	2	$1.3K	855	855	+0	open	—	04-01 01:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	3	$1.3K	822	822	+0	open	—	03-27 14:02
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$1.2K	801	801	+0	open	—	03-05 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 01:14:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x28ef32…
08-11 23:42:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x51994f…
08-10 02:08:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0x0cc419…
08-10 01:36:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0xf54952…
08-09 19:57:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xe70d88…
08-08 21:01:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	102	66¢	$68	0xf375a6…
08-08 20:56:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	147	66¢	$97	0xfabb9a…
08-08 20:54:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xda15ec…
08-08 20:54:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x98cb5a…
08-08 20:52:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	240	66¢	$158	0xaab6b2…
08-08 20:40:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xb9e25a…
08-08 20:36:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xf78741…
08-08 20:36:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xdee24c…
08-08 20:25:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x0ed1c7…
08-08 20:25:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x7b1fbd…
08-08 20:24:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	400	66¢	$264	0x4bbcc1…
08-08 20:23:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x15f730…
08-08 20:23:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x22d1cc…
08-08 20:19:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x3419b8…
08-08 20:19:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x1fe8d5…
08-08 20:18:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	47	66¢	$31	0x7baacc…
08-08 20:16:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	43	66¢	$28	0xc8ab1a…
08-08 20:16:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xbda86e…
08-08 20:16:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	4,945	66¢	$3,263	0x4f0c2d…
08-08 20:15:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4,820	83¢	$4,001	0xcdd2ea…
08-05 18:52:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	97	84¢	$81	0xab71b1…
08-05 13:52:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x953782…
07-28 21:51:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,092	78¢	$852	0x8d6e01…
07-28 21:51:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x987ac8…
07-28 21:51:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0xb7370a…
07-28 21:51:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4,911	78¢	$3,831	0xfac3f5…
07-28 21:51:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0xb6e0b1…
07-28 21:51:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	46	78¢	$36	0x88e762…
07-28 21:40:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x97caed…
07-28 21:39:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xdbf3c5…
07-28 21:37:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xda3317…
07-28 20:14:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xfa2959…
07-28 20:14:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5cb0bb…
07-28 19:47:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xed4ea8…
07-28 19:32:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x97f4b8…
07-28 19:18:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	240	78¢	$187	0xbf5a05…
07-28 18:35:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x774b70…
07-28 18:29:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xe8c07d…
07-28 18:20:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xd69c2e…
07-28 17:53:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xad4953…
07-28 17:34:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x5ff73c…
07-28 17:11:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	183	78¢	$143	0xf0122f…
07-28 17:05:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	90	78¢	$70	0xc84c85…
07-28 16:07:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,450	78¢	$1,131	0xaffdcf…
07-28 16:06:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,900	78¢	$2,262	0xd1a6fd…
07-28 15:53:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	227	78¢	$177	0x2fdd17…
07-28 14:32:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	520	78¢	$406	0x255a3b…
07-28 14:03:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xfa16f7…
07-28 13:55:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	114	78¢	$89	0xf9b80d…
07-28 13:47:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4,308	78¢	$3,360	0x350ab9…
07-28 13:30:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x34765b…
07-28 13:30:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x642840…
07-28 13:19:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x4077ba…
07-28 13:19:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xe12835…
07-28 12:51:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0x85f8ed…
07-28 12:25:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xebd20a…
07-28 12:02:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x537802…
07-28 12:01:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x617a6a…
07-28 11:53:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x5fe727…
07-28 11:28:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x16423f…
07-28 11:18:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xe78d52…
07-28 10:56:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	157	78¢	$123	0x242edb…
07-28 10:56:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$0	0x46cdc5…
07-28 10:56:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa71f17…
07-28 10:39:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,200	78¢	$936	0x77433d…
07-28 10:07:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x86bb4a…
07-28 10:01:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x01b000…
07-28 09:43:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4523a5…
07-28 09:40:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xea3652…
07-28 09:31:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3f97f6…
07-28 09:31:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	135	78¢	$106	0x3058da…
07-28 08:24:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xd8b880…
07-28 08:18:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x49538b…
07-28 08:18:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xc7754e…
07-28 08:12:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x48a6fc…
07-28 08:12:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xd3d636…
07-28 08:09:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xff37e9…
07-28 08:09:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x247ab8…
07-28 07:44:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xf48ccc…
07-28 07:20:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x63781b…
07-28 07:04:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	58	78¢	$45	0x0078b0…
07-28 06:49:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x9d6f45…
07-28 06:48:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x5df6c4…
07-28 06:04:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x530320…
07-28 05:57:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x954c3a…
07-28 05:45:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xbb9856…
07-28 05:36:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xcdfb03…
07-28 05:36:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0x892311…
07-28 05:36:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x5ea4e4…
07-28 05:33:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x4fde32…
07-28 05:33:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf1fda8…
07-28 05:32:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x415def…
07-28 05:32:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xc604f6…
07-28 05:32:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8c81e7…
07-28 05:32:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x54d422…