Realized P&L
-$1.34K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.65K
Hit rate
40.1%
Resolved
51
Trades
146
lifetime
Volume
$28.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$192
Open exposure
$16.2K
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 09-16 00:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Politics
88% 36% +$1,622
Other
12% 12% -$2,963
Crypto
0% 67% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +67,707 $13,943 18¢ $11.8K -$2,095 09-16 00:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -3,062 -$2,381 94¢ $-2894 -$513 07-06 04:40
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +19,011 $2,459 4¢ $732 -$1,727 09-11 05:51
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -6,287 -$880 6¢ $-409 +$472 07-25 05:07
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -3,152 -$441 8¢ $-236 +$205 07-25 05:07
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -509 -$34 5¢ $-24 +$10 06-20 04:52
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -467 -$23 4¢ $-21 +$3 07-06 04:39
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +14 $3 26¢ $4 +$1 09-11 05:03
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes -105 -$19 3¢ $-3 +$16 05-10 06:34
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes +2,053 $23 0¢ $2 -$21 05-31 04:21