Realized P&L
-$111.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$902
Hit rate
70.7%
Resolved
135
Trades
3,704
lifetime
Volume
$996.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$269
Open exposure
$10.1K
1 position
First seen
2026-01-20
last 07-02 16:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Politics
77%
33%
+$31,884
Other
18%
4%
-$121,907
Crypto
5%
13%
-$21,288
Sports
0%
17%
-$503
Tech
0%
50%
-$61
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | +57,500 | $10,964 | 18¢ | $10.1K | -$902 | 06-12 17:09 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 237 | $335.1K | 245,749 | 245,749 | +0 | Yes | +$41,744 | 04-05 08:23 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 325 | $253.5K | 561,694 | 561,694 | +0 | No | +$49,249 | 03-31 21:48 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 111 | $43.1K | 77,642 | 77,642 | +0 | Yes | +$4,845 | 03-10 21:39 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | 225 | $42.0K | 209,241 | 3,114 | +206,127 | No | -$41,578 | 04-27 13:13 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 211 | $30.0K | 649,510 | 439,829 | +209,681 | No | -$20,439 | 06-20 15:10 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 363 | $28.4K | 798,041 | 798,041 | +0 | No | -$15,298 | 03-25 17:31 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 195 | $26.3K | 438,191 | 268,600 | +169,590 | No | -$23,505 | 05-31 08:13 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 62 | $24.9K | 81,999 | 24,499 | +57,500 | open | — | 06-12 17:09 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 123 | $18.7K | 453,134 | 259,697 | +193,437 | No | -$15,615 | 04-30 21:44 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | 93 | $17.2K | 231,045 | 127,738 | +103,306 | No | -$16,760 | 04-28 02:28 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15 | 37 | $17.2K | 192,283 | 179,131 | +13,153 | No | -$13,679 | 04-12 14:51 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | 5 | $9.7K | 1,075 | 51,048 | -49,973 | No | +$9,274 | 05-05 03:06 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | 7 | $9.2K | 40,749 | 0 | +40,749 | No | -$9,224 | 05-05 22:11 |
| will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026 | 43 | $8.1K | 43,691 | 21,845 | +21,845 | No | -$8,085 | 04-16 19:39 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | 108 | $8.0K | 119,066 | 37,895 | +81,171 | No | -$7,258 | 05-01 01:29 |
| will uae strike iran by march 31 | 2 | $7.6K | 4,419 | 4,419 | +0 | No | +$178 | 03-24 11:40 |
| will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15 | 49 | $6.8K | 27,434 | 477 | +26,956 | No | -$6,750 | 04-12 14:15 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | 13 | $5.9K | 8,541 | 8,541 | +0 | $80k | +$34 | 04-07 17:55 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | 5 | $5.9K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | +$3,860 | 05-22 22:35 |
| spx up or down on february 13 2026 | 11 | $5.5K | 8,800 | 8,800 | +0 | Up | -$423 | 02-13 21:00 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 9 | $5.2K | 5,271 | 5,271 | +0 | Yes | +$114 | 04-12 12:09 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? | 23 | $4.5K | 11,321 | 11,321 | +0 | No | -$127 | 04-18 16:07 |
| bitcoin above 68k on february 25 | 18 | $4.4K | 4,376 | 4,376 | -0 | Yes | +$4,315 | 02-25 18:13 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 18 | $4.2K | 103,770 | 103,770 | +0 | Yes | -$2,973 | 03-01 01:46 |
| israel closes its airspace by june 15 687 | 19 | $4.1K | 10,000 | 10,000 | +0 | No | +$144 | 06-08 12:54 |
| will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026 | 30 | $3.8K | 23,649 | 13,780 | +9,869 | No | -$1,542 | 04-19 20:30 |
| bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026 | 87 | $3.5K | 80,220 | 80,220 | +0 | No | -$2,678 | 03-07 00:46 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | 38 | $3.4K | 79,252 | 79,252 | +0 | No | -$3,196 | 04-27 13:14 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 15 | $3.2K | 4,725 | 4,725 | +0 | Yes | +$325 | 03-10 21:39 |
| will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026 | 18 | $3.0K | 50,000 | 0 | +50,000 | No | -$3,050 | 02-02 14:38 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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