Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
-$154
Hit rate
27.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
122
lifetime
Volume
$5.67K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$4.09K
9 positions
First seen
2026-10-01
last 10-27 21:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
99% 0% -$21
Other
1% 50% -$1
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +9,832 $3,312 32¢ $3.2K -$117 10-27 21:54
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,685 $859 49¢ $826 -$33 10-22 03:34
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,000 $24 1¢ $24 +$0 10-02 04:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +67 $10 20¢ $14 +$4 10-02 04:06
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +40 $10 32¢ $13 +$3 10-06 06:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +223 $19 3¢ $7 -$12 10-22 21:53
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +115 $3 5¢ $6 +$3 10-02 04:06
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +232 $3 2¢ $4 +$0 10-23 08:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +750 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 10-22 21:54