Realized P&L
-$3.34K
Unrealized P&L
+$361
Hit rate
79.0%
Resolved
1,238
Trades
9,195
lifetime
Volume
$118.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$11.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Crypto
47% 69% -$3,401
Politics
37% 83% +$126
Other
14% 71% -$129
Sports
1% 56% +$66
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 396 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,676 $2,610 98¢ $2.6K +$20 10-12 05:35
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,150 $2,112 99¢ $2.1K +$18 09-26 02:03
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,000 $1,986 99¢ $2.0K +$3 10-15 04:24
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,151 $1,137 99¢ $1.1K +$7 07-07 17:27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,150 -$669 13¢ $-654 +$15 10-10 07:43
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +569 $484 99¢ $563 +$79 10-29 17:29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,850 -$726 8¢ $-483 +$244 10-09 19:29
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,125 -$409 9¢ $-363 +$46 10-12 05:55
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -800 -$196 16¢ $-128 +$68 10-29 17:51
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -126 -$180 92¢ $-116 +$64 10-24 02:54
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$1 04-28 14:13
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +455 $247 22¢ $98 -$149 10-28 20:46
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +465 $141 17¢ $79 -$62 10-29 12:12
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,815 -$112 4¢ $-73 +$39 09-14 22:08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +69 $60 100¢ $69 +$9 10-06 20:09
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,675 -$63 3¢ $-68 -$6 08-31 13:36
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -3,318 -$63 2¢ $-68 -$5 08-10 23:31
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,200 -$91 1¢ $-65 +$26 10-13 22:00
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,122 -$53 1¢ $-64 -$11 10-12 21:15
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,550 -$13 1¢ $-64 -$51 10-11 18:40
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,290 -$75 1¢ $-62 +$13 10-24 11:12
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,415 -$95 1¢ $-55 +$39 08-12 20:02
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,835 -$42 2¢ $-52 -$10 10-19 20:38
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,819 -$52 3¢ $-48 +$4 09-02 16:31
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +60 $47 78¢ $47 +$0 10-29 17:29
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,058 -$29 1¢ $-45 -$16 10-17 20:31
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,522 -$18 2¢ $-44 -$26 09-04 11:47
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,181 -$26 1¢ $-34 -$7 10-19 09:26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -225 -$26 10¢ $-21 +$5 10-11 05:19
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,775 -$23 1¢ $-19 +$4 08-20 04:01