Threadbare-Signal 0xb88658…dd81b3
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$205
Hit rate
1.5%
Resolved (90d)
3
Trades (90d)
57
57 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$5.87K
$5.87K lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$4.12K
27 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 00:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
69% 100% +$8
Politics
31% 0% $-4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? Yes +61,207 $1,683 3¢ $1.7K +$62 05-12 20:40
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +2,368 $852 25¢ $592 $-260 05-11 18:14
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? Yes +23,383 $257 1¢ $269 +$12 05-12 16:26
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? Yes +184,520 $185 0¢ $185 +$0 05-10 11:40
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes +9,746 $168 2¢ $161 $-7 05-13 22:09
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? Yes +1,109 $154 14¢ $154 $-1 05-13 12:43
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes -141,109 $-141 0¢ $-141 +$0 05-13 22:46
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? Yes -2,301 $-83 6¢ $-137 $-54 05-10 02:20
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? Yes -14,594 $-304 1¢ $-124 +$180 05-13 23:48
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? Yes -47,436 $-120 0¢ $-119 +$2 05-13 09:55
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Yes +35,173 $194 0¢ $88 $-107 05-13 16:17
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? Yes +84,553 $85 0¢ $85 +$0 05-11 10:17
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +134 $91 58¢ $79 $-13 05-11 18:22
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? Yes -1,152 $-94 6¢ $-69 +$25 05-09 12:34
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? Yes -35,203 $-70 0¢ $-35 +$35 05-12 23:26
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? Yes +33,333 $100 0¢ $33 $-67 05-06 20:25
Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? Yes -684 $-19 4¢ $-29 $-10 05-13 00:08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Yes -306 $-18 6¢ $-20 $-2 05-11 19:04
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? Yes +2,449 $22 1¢ $16 $-6 05-12 19:22
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026? Yes -1,505 $-14 1¢ $-16 $-2 05-14 00:40
Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Yes +6,296 $6 0¢ $13 +$6 05-11 21:07
Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? Yes -10,209 $-10 0¢ $-10 +$0 05-10 01:56
Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes -157 $-2 1¢ $-2 +$0 05-13 01:48
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +200 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 05-13 04:13
Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Yes -400 $-1 0¢ $-1 +$1 05-08 16:27
Will Sweden be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? Yes -6 $-0 3¢ $-0 $-0 05-14 00:49
Will Georgia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Yes -120 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-07 00:22