Violent-Going 0x7487d9…b6fc0c
hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.17K
Unrealized P&L
+$384
Hit rate
87.8%
Resolved
58
Trades
340
lifetime
Volume
$59.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$176
Open exposure
$9.50K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-19 10:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
61% 85% +$878
Politics
39% 66% +$1,289
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? No +2,039 $1,770 100¢ $2.0K +$266 09-19 20:26
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,300 -$1,225 97¢ $-1267 -$42 07-03 06:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +900 $809 88¢ $796 -$12 10-15 19:58
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +800 $764 98¢ $784 +$20 07-09 20:41
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +800 $694 94¢ $748 +$54 10-15 20:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +600 $480 100¢ $600 +$120 10-08 20:28
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +620 $564 96¢ $592 +$28 07-24 07:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +600 $570 92¢ $555 -$15 10-19 10:53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +500 $453 100¢ $499 +$46 08-29 15:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +500 $475 94¢ $468 -$8 08-29 15:21
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? No +473 $454 92¢ $436 -$19 10-12 20:00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +400 $329 96¢ $386 +$57 09-16 08:42
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +650 $214 24¢ $159 -$55 10-18 09:48
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +600 $227 26¢ $156 -$71 10-15 20:55
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -349 -$30 4¢ $-14 +$16 05-19 08:01