Realized P&L (30d)
+$677
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
5
Trades (30d)
16
340 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$5.33K
$59.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$176
Open exposure
$6.41K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-19 10:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
61% 86% +$1,313
Politics
39% 67% +$1,294
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,300 -$1,225 97¢ $-1267 -$42 07-03 06:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +900 $809 90¢ $806 -$4 10-15 19:58
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +800 $764 98¢ $784 +$20 07-09 20:41
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +800 $694 94¢ $748 +$54 10-15 20:44
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +620 $564 96¢ $592 +$28 07-24 07:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +600 $570 94¢ $564 -$6 10-19 10:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +500 $475 94¢ $468 -$8 08-29 15:21
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? No +473 $454 96¢ $453 -$1 10-12 20:00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +400 $329 96¢ $384 +$55 09-16 08:42
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +650 $214 30¢ $192 -$23 10-18 09:48
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +600 $227 23¢ $138 -$89 10-15 20:55
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -349 -$30 4¢ $-14 +$17 05-19 08:01