Realized P&L (7d)
+$677
Unrealized P&L
-$72
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
1
341 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$760
$60.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$178
Open exposure
$7.11K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-02 09:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
61% 86% +$1,313
Politics
39% 67% +$1,294
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,300 -$1,225 98¢ $-1275 -$50 07-03 06:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +900 $809 90¢ $810 +$1 10-15 19:58
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +800 $764 98¢ $785 +$21 07-09 20:41
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +800 $760 94¢ $756 -$4 11-02 09:53
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +800 $694 94¢ $748 +$54 10-15 20:44
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +620 $564 94¢ $586 +$22 07-24 07:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +600 $570 96¢ $573 +$3 10-19 10:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +500 $475 94¢ $468 -$8 08-29 15:21
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? No +473 $454 95¢ $451 -$4 10-12 20:00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +400 $329 96¢ $384 +$55 09-16 08:42
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +600 $227 24¢ $141 -$86 10-15 20:55
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +650 $214 18¢ $120 -$94 10-18 09:48
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -349 -$30 4¢ $-13 +$17 05-19 08:01